Monthly Archives: November, 2012

NFL Week 13: Head-to-Head stats you need to know

Leon Washington (29) takes a handoff from Mark...

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ is a sports statistics blog published with a focus on stats that go beyond the numbers.

Following is a look at this week’s NFL schedule and some historical stats on the head-to-head matchups.

Jacksonville vs. Buffalo: The Jaguars hold a slight 6-5 lead in the series. Jacksonville has won two of the last three against the Bills in Buffalo. The Jags have won the last two in the series and four of the last six.

Seattle vs. Chicago: Seattle has won nine and lost six in the series. The two teams have split the last eight games dating back to 2000. The Bears have won three of the last five games played in Chicago. The Seahawks won the last game played between the two teams 38-14 last December in Chicago.

Indianapolis vs. Detroit: The Colts have a 20-18-2 advantage in the series. Indianapolis has won the last three. The Colts have also won four of the last five games played in Detroit. Indy has scored 102 points in the last three games in the series. The last Detroit win was on Nov. 23, 1997.

Minnesota vs. Green Bay: This is the 103rd meeting between the two teams. The Packs has a 53-48-1 lead. Green Bay has won the last four games and has won nine of the last 12. The Packers have won five of the last six played at Lambeau Field. The Packers scored 109 points in the last three games against the Vikes.

Carolina vs. Kansas City: The two teams have played only four times. The teams have split those four games. Carolina has won the last two games. They have split the two games played in Kansas City. The Panthers won the last game in the series 34-0 back in 2008.

New England vs. Miami: Miami holds a 50-43 lead in the series. New England has won the last four games. The Patriots have won four of the last five played in Miami. New England has won eight of the last 10 games between the two teams.

Arizona vs. New York Jets: The Jets have won five games and lost two against the Cardinals. The Jets have won five straight against the Cards. The Jets are 3-1 in games played at home against Arizona. The Jets won the last game played in the series 56-35 in 2008.

San Francisco vs. St. Louis: The two teams tied 24-24 in their first game of the season back on Nov. 11. The 49ers have a 62-61-3 lead in the series. Prior to the tie earlier this season, the 49ers had won seven of the last eight against the Rams. The 49ers have won four of the last five games played in St. Louis. Four of the last five games in the series were decided by eight points or less.

Houston vs. Tennessee: The Titans lead the series 14-7. Houston has won five of the last eight games. The two teams have split the last four games. The Texans won 38-14 earlier this season.

Tampa Bay vs. Denver: The two teams have played seven games with the Broncos winning five of those contests. The Broncos won the last two games, both by a score of 16-13. The Broncos are 3-1 against the Bucs in games played in Denver. Tampa Bay has scored 13 points in each of the last three games against Denver.

Pittsburgh vs. Baltimore: The Steelers hold a 21-15 advantage in the series. The Ravens have won the last three games. The two teams have split the last four games played in Baltimore. Six of the last eight games in the series have been decided by three points. Pittsburgh has scored only 37 points in the last three games.

Cleveland vs. Oakland: Oakland has won 13, the Browns have won eight in the 21 games played. Oakland has won the last two games played at home. Cleveland has won four of the last six. Five of the last six games have been decided by seven points or less.

Cincinnati vs. San Diego: The Chargers have a 19-12 lead in the series. The Chargers have won five of the last six games played in San Diego against the Bengals. San Diego is 8-3 in the last 11 games in the series. San Diego has scored 27 or more points in 10 of the last 11 games against the Bengals.

Philadelphia vs. Dallas: The two teams will play for the 108th time with the Cowboys holding a 60-47 lead in the series. The two teams have split the last 14 games dating back to 2006. Dallas won 38-23 against the Eagles three weeks ago. The Eagles have won the last two games played in Dallas.

New York Giants vs. Washington (Monday): The Giants lead the all-time series 93-64-1. New York won 27-23 in the Oct. 21 game this season. The Giants have won seven of the last nine games in the series. The Giants have won five of the last six games played in Washington.

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Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings: How well do you know the series?

English: Brett Favre with the Vikings

Brett Favre with the Vikings (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ is a sports statistics blog published with a focus on stats that go beyond the numbers.

The Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings began their series back in 1961 when the Packers won a 33-7 contest on October 22 at Metropolitan Stadium. Sunday’s game will be the 103rd in the series.

How well do you know the series? Take this 10-question trivia quiz and find out.

1. The Packers and Vikings will meet for the 102nd time in the regular season on Sunday. They have played once in the playoffs. Who won that playoff game?

2. In how many of the games between the two teams have the Packers scored 40 or more points in a game? Two times, four times, six times, or eight times? For extra credit, how many times have the Vikings scored 40 or more points in a game in the series? Once, three times, five times?

3. Who has scored the most TDs for the Packers against the Vikings? Which Vikings player has scored the most TDs against the Packers?

4. The Packers have returned only two kickoffs for touchdown against the Vikings. When did it happen last and name the player who did it? Hint: It happened in the 1990’s.

5. The Packers have had five quarterbacks who have attempted 100 or more passes against the Vikings in their careers with the Packers. Can you name the five?

6. Who was the last Packers running back to gain 100 or more yards rushing in a game against Minnesota? Hint: It was done in 2007.

7. Which Packers kicker has the most career field goals made versus the Vikings? Which Vikings kicker has the most career field goals made versus the Packers?

8. Which Green Bay player has the most career receptions against the Vikings?

9. Former Green Bay QB Brett Favre played four games with the Vikings against the Packers. Facing off against Packers QB Aaron Rodgers, the two teams split those four games. In those four games, which of the two QBs, Favre or Rodgers, had more TD passes, fewer interceptions, and a higher passer rating?

10. The Packers and Vikings played 20 times in the 1990s. Which team won more games that decade in the series?

ANSWERS

1. The Vikings won the NFC first-round playoff game, 31-17, after the 2004 season.

2. The Packers have scored 40-plus points in four games. The Vikings have scored 40 or more only once in the series.

3. Packers running back Ahman Green has the most TDs in games against Minnesota, nine. Receiver Randy Moss scored 13 touchdowns against the Packers, most for the Vikings.

4. The last time the Packers returned a kickoff for TD against the Vikings was Oct. 5, 1998. Roell Preston returned a second quarter kickoff 101 yards for the Pack.

5. The five Packers QBs who have attempted 100 or more passes against the Vikings are: Brett Favre (666), Bart Starr (223), Lynn Dickey (187), Aaron Rodgers (177) and Don Majkowski (102).

6. Ryan Grant is the last Green Bay runner to gain over 100 yards in a game versus the Vikings. He gained 119 in a Nov. 11, 2007 game.

7. Ryan Longwell made 29 three-pointers against the Vikings. Fred Cox had 43 field goals made in his career against the Pack.

8. Donald Driver has 92 receptions versus the Vikings.

9. In those four games Favre played against the Pack, he had eight TDs, four interceptions and a passer rating of 89.9. Rodgers had 11 TDs, three interceptions and a passer rating of 111.3. Rodgers won in each category.

10. The Vikings won 12, the Pack won eight of those 20 games played in the 1990s.

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Eli Manning reaches 200-TD milestone with New York Giants

Eli Manning during a 2007 training camp

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ is a sports statistics blog published with a focus on stats that go beyond the numbers.

With his 13-yard touchdown pass to Hakeem Nicks in the third quarter of the Giants’ 38-10 win over the Green Bay Packers last Sunday night, Eli Manning reached a couple of milestones in his career:

* Manning’s TD pass to Nicks gave him 200 for his career and moved him ahead of Phil Simms (199 TD passes) for most TD passes by a New York Giants QB.

* Manning became the 33rd QB in NFL history to reach the 200-TD mark.

In addition, Eli became the 19th QB in league history to throw 200 or more touchdown passes for one team, making the Giants the 15th franchise to have at least one QB with 200-plus TD passes.

Here’s a rundown of the teams with one (or more) QBs with 200-plus TD passes with their franchise:

3: San Francisco (Joe Montana, 244; Steve Young, 221; John Brodie , 214)

2: Indianapolis (Peyton Manning, 399; Johnny Unitas, 287)
2: San Diego (Dan Fouts, 254, John Hadl, 201)

1: Arizona (Jim Hart, 209)
1: Buffalo (Jim Kelly, 237)
1: Denver (John Elway, 300)
1: Green Bay (Brett Favre, 442)
1: Kansas City (Len Dawson, 237)
1: Miami (Dan Marino, 420)
1: Minnesota (Fran Tarkenton, 239)
1: New England (Tom Brady, 324)
1: New Orleans (Drew Brees, 232)
1: New York Giants (Eli Manning, 200)
1: Philadelphia (Donovan McNabb, 216)
1: Pittsburgh: (Terry Bradshaw, 212)

There are 14 QBs who have thrown for 200-plus TDs in their career, but do not have 200 or more with one team. Those QBs are: Warren Moon, Vinny Testaverde, Sonny Jurgensen, Drew Bledsoe, Dave Krieg, Boomer Esiason, Y.A. Tittle, George Blanda, Kerry Collins, Kurt Warner, Randall Cunningham, Jim Everett, Roman Gabriel and Matt Hasselbeck.

It’s also interesting to note that four current quarterbacks are approaching the 200-TD mark for their teams and will likely change the landscape of the list above in various ways. For example:

* Dallas’ Tony Romo is currently tied with Troy Aikman for most TD passes in Cowboys’ history with 165. Romo’s next TD pass will give him the franchise record. Will Romo still be in Dallas to become the first Cowboys’ QB to throw 200 TD passes?

* The Packers Aaron Rodgers earlier this year passed Bart Starr (152) for second on the team’s list for most TD passes with the franchise. He now has 160 TD passes and could become the Pack’s second 200-TD QB next season.

* Ben Roethlisberger of the Steelers has been on the sidelines for the past couple of weeks and has not added to his career TD passes of 182. He would join Terry Bradshaw as Pittsburgh’s 200-TD quarterbacks; that will likely happen in 2014.

* San Diego’s Philip Rivers has 181 career TD passes with the Chargers. He would join Fouts and Hadl with 200 when he reaches that mark (likely 2014) and would make the San Diego franchise only the second in league history to have three QBs with 200-plus TD passes.

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

Last 5 weeks of the NFL season: Patriots the best at this time of the season!

Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ is a sports statistics blog published with a focus on stats that go beyond the numbers.

Head coach Bill Belichick of the New England P...

Head coach Bill Belichick of the New England Patriots   (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

With three Super Bowl titles and five appearances in that game since 2001 and a league-leading record of 147-56 since 2000, it pretty obvious that the New England Patriots have been the NFL’s best franchise this century.

So what has been the reason for their success? Bill Belichick taking over as head coach in 2000? Tom Brady becoming the team’s starting quarterback in the 2001 season?

There are probably a handful of other reasons in addition to the above two men who have led the team in the past decade-plus. But let me offer another reason for the Patriots’ success: The Patriots have been great finishers.

Today starts the last five weeks of the 2012 regular season. If you look at the last five games of each season since 2002 (10 seasons times the last five games of each season equals 50 games), the Patriots have compiled a 42-8 record in those 50 games, by far the best record in the league. This .840 winning percentage in the final five games of the season from 2002-11 shows that the Patriots have been a team that finishes the season on a high note.

Following are the number of wins for each NFL team in the last five games of the season over the past 10 years (50 games).

42: New England

36: Pittsburgh

35: Philadelphia, San Diego

33: Indianapolis

32: Green Bay

31: Baltimore

30: Carolina

28: Tennessee

26: New Orleans, Seattle

25: Atlanta, Miami, San Francisco

24: Chicago, New York Giants, New York Giants

23: Arizona, Cincinnati, Denver, Kansas City

22: Houston, Jacksonville, Minnesota

21: Dallas

20: Buffalo, Washington

19: Tampa Bay

16: Cleveland, St. Louis

15: Oakland

14: Detroit

Here’s a few more stats regarding the last five games of the season over the past 10 years:

* Fifteen different teams went 5-0 in the last five games of the season since 2002. As you might expect, the Patriots accomplished this four times (2003, 2007, 2010 and 2011). The other teams: San Diego (2006, 2007, 2009), Miami (2005, 2008), Indianapolis (2008), New Orleans (2011), Philadelphia (2006), Pittsburgh (2004), Tennessee (2002), Washington (2005). Of these 15 teams that went 5-0, 14 of them made the playoffs that year. The only exception was in 205 when the Miami Dolphins went 5-0 to end the season but did not make the playoffs.

* Of the 20 teams that have played in the Super Bowl in the last 10 years, three went 5-0 in their last five games, seven went 4-1, seven went 3-2 and three went 2-3.

* The three Super Bowl teams that went 5-0 were the New England Patriots of 2003, 2007 and 2011.

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New England Patriots carve out another end zone feast on Thanksgiving

New England Patriots at Washington Redskins 08...

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ is a sports statistics blog published with a focus on stats that go beyond the numbers.

For Tom Brady and the New England Patriots’ offense, it was just another day at the office on Turkey Day. The Pats on Thanksgiving evening defeated the New York Jets 49-19 with the offense scoring five touchdowns in 11 possessions.

It was the fourth straight game that the offense scored four or more touchdowns and gave them 20 touchdowns in their last 38 offensive possessions. Add in five field goals in that same four-game stretch and the Patriots have scored 25 times in those 38 possessions, a staggering 65.8 percent success rate. That means the Patriots offense has scored two out of every three times they touched the ball in the last four games.

The Patriots and New York Giants are the only two teams to have scored on 50 percent or more of their offensive possessions this season. The Giants offense have scored on exactly half of their 116 possessions this season, while New England has scored on 63 of their 117 offensive possessions, a success rate of 53.8 percent.

Through 12 weeks of the 2012 NFL season, offenses have scored (an offensive TD or field goal) on about 36.5 percent of their possessions.

The Patriots retained their big lead in the weekly NFL POP Score rankings with a 2.69 rating. The Giants moved into second place with a strong offensive showing against the Green Bay Packers last Sunday night. The G-Men’s offense tallied five TDs and a field goal in 10 possessions against the Pack.

(POP Score is based on the simple premise that it is the offensive team’s objective to score a touchdown (or at the least, kick a field goal) in each possession. POP Score stands for Points per Offensive Possession. Here’s how it works: The Falcons in Week One had nine possessions in their game. On four of the possessions, they scored a touchdown. On four of their possessions they kicked a field goal. They punted once. They scored 24 points on their four TDs (extra points are not included in Pop Score); 12 points on their four field goals. The Atlanta offense scored 36 points on nine possessions. By dividing the 36 points by the nine possessions, you get a POP Score of 4.0. Maximum POP Score is 6.0, which would indicate that a team scored a touchdown every time they had an offensive possession.)

Here’s a look at the POP Score rankings through Week 12.

Team, POP Score, (Season Offensive Scores/Possessions)

1. New England 2.69 (63 scores in 117 possessions)

2. New York Giants 2.25 (58 scores in 116 possessions)

3. Atlanta 2.14 (55 scores in 118 possessions)

4. New Orleans 2.13 (46 scores in 117 possessions)

5. Tampa Bay 2.1 (52 scores in 120 possessions)

6. San Francisco 2.03 (47 scores in 111 possessions)

7. Denver 1.98 (48 scores in 121 possessions)

8. Houston 1.97 (54 scores in 134 possessions)

9tie. Cincinnati 1.96 (49 scores in 124 possessions)

9tie. Washington 1.96 (47 scores in 118 possessions)

11. Green Bay 1.87 (43 scores in 119 possessions)

12tie. Baltimore 1.85 (48 scores in 120 possessions)

12tie. Detroit 1.85 (49 scores in 125 possessions)

14. Minnesota 1.73 (46 scores in 120 possessions)

15. Dallas 1.72 (44 scores in 115 possessions)

16. Pittsburgh 1.71 (43 scores in 116 possessions)

17tie. Indianapolis 1.66 (42 scores in 114 possessions)

17tie. Seattle 1.66 (38 scores in 109 possessions)

19. Chicago 1.63 (43 scores in 121 possessions)

21. San Diego 1.56 (40 scores in 119 possessions)

22. Tennessee 1.55 (41 scores in 120 possessions)

23. Oakland 1.52 (44 scores in 128 possessions)

24. Carolina 1.42 (32 scores in 118 possessions)

25tie. Philadelphia 1.39 (38 scores in 121 possessions)

25tie. St. Louis 1.39 (36 scores in 114 possessions)

27tie. Miami 1.38 (35 scores in 122 possessions)

27tie. New York Jets 1.38 (35 scores in 120 possessions)

29. Cleveland 1.35 (40 scores in 131 possessions)

30. Jacksonville 1.26 (38 scores in 128 possessions)

31. Arizona 1.15 (35 scores in 136 possessions)

32. Kansas City 1.11 (35 scores in 127 possessions)

Biggest gainers this week: Carolina (up four spots this week); Washington (up four spots this week); Chicago (up three spots this week); Dallas (up three spots this week)

Biggest losers this week: Pittsburgh (down five spots this week); Cleveland (down three spots this week); Green bay (down three spots this week)

NFL POP Score league average through Week 12: 1.71

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