Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ is a sports statistics blog published with a focus on stats that go beyond the numbers.
The first round of the 2013 NFL Draft will take place tonight. The event has gotten so big that some people are making a living on everything NFL Draft (see Mel Kiper). Whether its predictions prior to the draft or analysis after the picks have been made, the NFL Draft is big business.
Another element of draft analysis are those people who try to evaluate whether or not a team had a good draft after that first season (for the draft choices) has been played. Well, let me take a shot at that…
How well did NFL team draft choices do in 2012? Here’s my formula: Let’s look at a few stats from the offensive and defensive side.
First, how many of the 2012 draft choices scored TDs last season? Here’s a look at how many TDs were scored by passing, rushing and receiving from players drafted by each team in 2012.
TDs by drafted players, Team(s)
44: Indianapolis, Washington
12: Tampa Bay
8: New York Giants
5: Jacksonville, St. Louis
3: Chicago, New York Jets
2: Arizona, Detroit, Minnesota, Pittsburgh
1: Baltimore, Buffalo, Denver, Houston, Oakland
0: Atlanta, Carolina, Dallas, Green Bay, Kansas City, New England, New Orleans, San Diego, San Francisco
Note: The Colts were led by #1 draft choice Andrew Luck who passed for 23 TDs and ran for five more. Five other 2012 draft choices accounted for the other 16 scores. The Redskins were led by #2 pick Robert Griffin III who passed for 20 TDs and ran for seven. Fellow rookie QB Kirk Cousins tossed four TD passes, and rookie running Alfred Morris has 13 rushing TDs, giving them their 44 TDs.
Next, let’s look at the other side of the ball. How many of the 2012 draft choices either had interceptions or sacks last season? Here’s a look at how many interceptions and sacks were recorded by each team’s draft choices from 2012.
Interceptions and sacks by drafted players, Team(s)
13.5: Green Bay
10: New England, St. Louis
7: Denver, San Diego
6.5 Carolina, New York Jets
6: Houston, Minnesota
4: Tampa Bay
2.5: Chicago, Oakland
1: Buffalo, Dallas, New Orleans, New York Giants, Washington
0: Arizona, Atlanta, Indianapolis, Kansas City, Pittsburgh, San Francisco
Note: The Seahawks were led by first round selection Bruce Irvin with eight sacks. The Packers got six interceptions from rookie draft choice Casey Hayward.
So, which of the players taken in the next couple of days will score a touchdown (via pass, run or reception), intercept a pass or get a sack in a game in 2013?
Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp