99 Stats Until Kickoff (#56) How many wins will get an NFL team in the playoffs?

From May 30 and every day until September 5… the start of the 2013 NFL season… Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ will publish “99 Stats Until Kickoff” a daily dose of NFL stats that will get you ready for the 2013 NFL season.)

Logo of the National Football League Playoffs,...

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Since 1990, when the NFL went to six teams from each conference making the playoffs, there have been 276 teams that have played in the NFL playoffs. Here’s a breakdown of the number of regular season wins by each of those teams.

7 wins: 1 team… Seattle in 2010 (0.4 percent)
8 wins: 9 teams (3.3 percent)
9 wins: 42 teams (15.2 percent)
10 wins: 70 teams (25.4 percent)
11 wins: 58 wins (21.0 percent)
12 wins: 44 teams (15.9 percent)
13 wins: 35 teams (12.7 percent)
14 wins: 13 teams (4.7 percent)
15 wins: 3 teams… Minnesota in 1998; Pittsburgh in 2004; Green Bay in 2011 (1.1 percent)
16 wins: 1 team… New England in 2007 (0.4 percent)

Here’s a breakdown of how many teams with 8 or more wins in the regular season since 1990 made the playoffs.

8 wins: 86 teams won 8 games; 9 made the playoffs; 77 did not… 10.5%
9 wins: 81 teams won 9 games; 42 made the playoffs; 39 did not… 51.9%
10 wins: 78 teams won 10 games; 70 made the playoffs; 8 did not… 89.7%
11 wins: 59 teams won 11 games; 58 made the playoffs; 1 did not… 98.3%
12 wins: 44 teams won 12 games; 44 teams made the playoffs… 100%
13 wins: 35 teams won 13 games; 35 teams made the playoffs… 100%
14 wins: 13 teams won 14 games; 13 teams made the playoffs… 100%
15 wins: 3 teams won 15 games; 3 teams made the playoffs… 100%
16 wins: 1 team won 16 games; 1 team made the playoffs… 100%

Here’s a few more interesting stats:

* 96.1% of the teams that won 10 or more games since 1990 made the playoffs.

* New England is the only team since 1990 to win 11 games in the regular season and not make the playoffs.

You want a sure thing? It looks like 12 wins is that sure thing. Teams have a great chance with 10 or 11 wins. Nine wins? Teams have about a 50-50 chance.

“99 Stats Before Kickoff” (Stats you need to know before the start of the 2013 NFL season) is available from e-book publisher Smashwords. Go to www.smashwords.com to download a copy, including a pdf version which can be viewed on your home computer. Cost is $2.99

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