Monthly Archives: July, 2013

99 Stats Until Kickoff (#59) Do NFL teams have better records when they play in their own time zone?

List of current National Football League stadiums

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

From May 30 and every day until September 5… the start of the 2013 NFL season… Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ will publish “99 Stats Until Kickoff” a daily dose of NFL stats that will get you ready for the 2013 NFL season.)

Periodically you will hear football commentators talk about a team on the east coast taking a road trip to the west coast to play a foe and how the travel may affect their performance (or vice versa).

To see if there is any significant difference between teams playing in their own time zone versus traveling to other time zones to play, I looked at the last five seasons in the NFL and tracked how well teams played within their own time zone and how well they played outside their time zone.

The findings? There is a difference. Case in point: Look below at the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers, who play in an eastern time zone city, were 49-17 (a .742 winning percentage) in games they played in the eastern time zone. But when the Steelers had to travel out of their time zone, they were only 4-10 in those five years, a .286 winning percentage. That’s a difference of .456 percentage points. That difference was the largest of any team in this five-year analysis.

All total, of the 32 NFL teams, 26 played better in their own time zones versus playing outside their time zone. To quantify it, NFL teams in the last five season were 951-832-3 (.533 winning percentage) when they played in their own time zone and 327-446-1 (.423 winning percentage) when they played outside their time zone, a difference of .110 percentage points.

Following is a look at each NFL team and their win-loss record when they played games in their own time zone and their record outside their time zone in the last five seasons (2008-12).

EASTERN TIME ZONE       In time zone                Outside time zone                   Difference
Atlanta                                     45-17 .726                   11-7 .611                                 + .115
Baltimore                                46-20 .697                   8-6 .571                                   + .126
Buffalo                                    23-42 .354                   6-9 .400                                   –  .046
Carolina                                   27-34 .443                   8-11 .421                                 + .022
Cincinnati                                31-36-1 .463                6-6 .500                                   –  .037
Cleveland                                20-48 .294                   3-9 .250                                   + .044
Detroit                                     18-34 .346                   4-24 .143                                 + .203
Indianapolis                            37-23 .617                   12-8 .600                                 + .017
Jacksonville                             23-37 .383                   4-16 .200                                 + .183
Miami                                      31-33 .484                   7-9 .438                                   + .046
New England                          50-15 .769                   10-5 .667                                 + .102
New York Giants                    37-24 .607                   11-8 .579                                 + .028
New York Jets                         38-27 .585                   5-10 .333                                 + .252
Philadelphia                            35-26-1 .573                7-11 .389                                 + .184
Pittsburgh                                49-17 .742                   4-10 .286                                 + .456
Tampa Bay                              23-36 .390                   10-11 .476                               + .086
Washington                             24-40 .375                   9-7 .563                                   –  .188

CENTRAL TIME ZONE       In time zone                Outside time zone                   Difference
Chicago                                   31-24 .564                   14-11 .560                               + .004
Dallas                                      27-21 .563                   15-17 .469                               + .094
Green Bay                               40-16 .714                   13-11 .542                               + .172
Houston                                  31-19 .620                   14-16 .467                               + .153
Kansas City                             16-28 .364                   9-27 .250                                 + .114
Minnesota                               31-24 .564                   10-15 .400                               + .164
New Orleans                           34-15 .694                   18-13 .581                               + .113
St. Louis                                  11-35 .239                   8-25-1 .250                              –  .011
Tennessee                               29-22 .569                   13-16 .448                               + .121

MOUNTAIN TIME ZONE   In time zone                Outside time zone                   Difference
Arizona                                   24-16 .600                   13-27 .325                               + .275
Denver                                    21-20 .512                   20-19 .513                               –  .001

PACIFIC TIME ZONE         In time zone                Outside time zone                   Difference
Oakland                                  17-29 .370                   13-21 .382                               –  .012
San Diego                               29-17 .630                   16-18 .471                               + .159
San Francisco                         29-15-1 .656                16-19 .457                               + .199
Seattle                                     24-22 .522                   10-24 .294                               + .228

“99 Stats Before Kickoff” (Stats you need to know before the start of the 2013 NFL season) is available from e-book publisher Smashwords. Go to www.smashwords.com to download a copy, including a pdf version which can be viewed on your home computer. Cost is $2.99

Advertisements

99 Stats Until Kickoff (#58) The game after the bye week

Primary Logo''' 1996–present

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

From May 30 and every day until September 5… the start of the 2013 NFL season… Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ will publish “99 Stats Until Kickoff” a daily dose of NFL stats that will get you ready for the 2013 NFL season.)

The Philadelphia Eagles last season lost to the Atlanta Falcons 30-17 the week following their bye week. It was only the fifth time since 1990 that the Eagles have lost a game after the bye week. Even with the loss, the Eagles retained their lead as the NFL’s best team after the bye week. The Eagles are 19-5 in those games, a .792 winning percentage.

NFL teams were 15-15-2 after the bye week in 2012 with NFC teams going 8-6-2 and AFC teams going 7-9.

Following are the records of each NFL team in games following the bye week since it was added to NFL schedules in 1990.

AFC Team, record the week following the bye week (1990-2012)
Denver 18-6 .750
Baltimore, 12-5 .706
Buffalo, 15-9 .625
Pittsburgh, 15-9 .625
Indianapolis, 14-10 .583
Miami, 14-10 .583
New England, 14-10 .583
Kansas City, 13-11 .542
Tennessee, 13-11 .542
New York Jets, 12-12 .500
Jacksonville, 9-9 .500
San Diego, 11-12 .478
Oakland, 9-15 .375
Cleveland, 7-12 .368
Houston 4-7 .364
Cincinnati 6-17-1 .271

NFC Team, record the week following the bye week (1990-2012)
Philadelphia, 19-5 .792
Minnesota, 17-7 .708
Chicago, 16-8 .667
Dallas, 16-8 .667
Green Bay, 15-9 .625
Atlanta, 14-10 .583
New Orleans, 12-12 .500
Washington, 12-12 .500
St. Louis, 11-12-1 .479
Detroit, 11-13 .458
Tampa Bay, 11-13 .458
Carolina, 8-10 .444
San Francisco, 10-13-1 .438
Arizona, 10-14 .417
New York Giants, 9-15 .375
Seattle 6-18 .250

A few teams last season used their bye week to run off a slew of victories. The Denver Broncos won 10 straight after their bye week, followed by the Washington Redskins who won seven straight to end the season after their bye week. New England and Houston each won five straight games after their bye week; the Ravens won four straight after having a week off.

“99 Stats Before Kickoff” (Stats you need to know before the start of the 2013 NFL season) is available from e-book publisher Smashwords. Go to www.smashwords.com to download a copy, including a pdf version which can be viewed on your home computer. Cost is $2.99

99 Stats Until Kickoff (#57) SIX STATS you might not know about… winning 13 or more games in the NFL regular season

From May 30 and every day until September 5… the start of the 2013 NFL season… Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ will publish “99 Stats Until Kickoff” a daily dose of NFL stats that will get you ready for the 2013 NFL season.)

Image:Wilsonnflfootball.jpg, modified to have ...

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

1. The Atlanta Falcons and Denver Broncos last season each won 13 games. They became the 65th and 66th teams to win 13 or more games in an NFL regular season since 1960. Of those 66 teams with 13-plus wins, one team won 16 games (New England, 2007), five won 15 games (San Francisco, 1984; Chicago, 1985; Minnesota, 1998; Pittsburgh, 2004; and Green Bay, 2011), 20 teams won 14 games, and 40 teams won 13 games.

2. The last year that no NFL team won 13 or more games in the regular season was in 2002. Prior to that, no teams won 13 or more in 1993.

3. Thirty-three of the 66 teams that won 13 or more regular season games went on to play in the Super Bowl that season. Eighteen of those teams won the Super Bowl. The last team to win 13 or more regular season games and win the Super Bowl that same year was New Orleans in 2009. Prior to that it was the 2004 New England Patriots.

4. There have been six Super Bowls where the match-up was between two teams that had both won 13 or more games in the regular season: 2004-New England/Philadelphia; 1999-St. Louis/Tennessee; 1998-Denver/Atlanta; 1991-Washington/Buffalo; 1990-New York Giants/Buffalo; 1984-San Francisco/Miami.

5. Of the 26 teams that have won 14 or more games in a regular season, 10 won the Super Bowl… six lost in the Super Bowl… three lost in the Conference Championship game… seven lost in the Divisional Playoff game.

6. The most teams to win 13 or more regular season games in a season is four, accomplished twice: 2007 (New England, Indianapolis, Dallas and Green Bay) and 1999 (Indianapolis, Jacksonville, Tennessee and St. Louis).

“99 Stats Before Kickoff” (Stats you need to know before the start of the 2013 NFL season) is available from e-book publisher Smashwords. Go to www.smashwords.com to download a copy, including a pdf version which can be viewed on your home computer. Cost is $2.99

99 Stats Until Kickoff (#56) How many wins will get an NFL team in the playoffs?

From May 30 and every day until September 5… the start of the 2013 NFL season… Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ will publish “99 Stats Until Kickoff” a daily dose of NFL stats that will get you ready for the 2013 NFL season.)

Logo of the National Football League Playoffs,...

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Since 1990, when the NFL went to six teams from each conference making the playoffs, there have been 276 teams that have played in the NFL playoffs. Here’s a breakdown of the number of regular season wins by each of those teams.

7 wins: 1 team… Seattle in 2010 (0.4 percent)
8 wins: 9 teams (3.3 percent)
9 wins: 42 teams (15.2 percent)
10 wins: 70 teams (25.4 percent)
11 wins: 58 wins (21.0 percent)
12 wins: 44 teams (15.9 percent)
13 wins: 35 teams (12.7 percent)
14 wins: 13 teams (4.7 percent)
15 wins: 3 teams… Minnesota in 1998; Pittsburgh in 2004; Green Bay in 2011 (1.1 percent)
16 wins: 1 team… New England in 2007 (0.4 percent)

Here’s a breakdown of how many teams with 8 or more wins in the regular season since 1990 made the playoffs.

8 wins: 86 teams won 8 games; 9 made the playoffs; 77 did not… 10.5%
9 wins: 81 teams won 9 games; 42 made the playoffs; 39 did not… 51.9%
10 wins: 78 teams won 10 games; 70 made the playoffs; 8 did not… 89.7%
11 wins: 59 teams won 11 games; 58 made the playoffs; 1 did not… 98.3%
12 wins: 44 teams won 12 games; 44 teams made the playoffs… 100%
13 wins: 35 teams won 13 games; 35 teams made the playoffs… 100%
14 wins: 13 teams won 14 games; 13 teams made the playoffs… 100%
15 wins: 3 teams won 15 games; 3 teams made the playoffs… 100%
16 wins: 1 team won 16 games; 1 team made the playoffs… 100%

Here’s a few more interesting stats:

* 96.1% of the teams that won 10 or more games since 1990 made the playoffs.

* New England is the only team since 1990 to win 11 games in the regular season and not make the playoffs.

You want a sure thing? It looks like 12 wins is that sure thing. Teams have a great chance with 10 or 11 wins. Nine wins? Teams have about a 50-50 chance.

“99 Stats Before Kickoff” (Stats you need to know before the start of the 2013 NFL season) is available from e-book publisher Smashwords. Go to www.smashwords.com to download a copy, including a pdf version which can be viewed on your home computer. Cost is $2.99

99 Stats Until Kickoff (#55) Patriots open up big lead in ‘Team of the Century’ race

From May 30 and every day until September 5… the start of the 2013 NFL season… Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ will publish “99 Stats Until Kickoff” a daily dose of NFL stats that will get you ready for the 2013 NFL season.)

New England Patriots logo

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

With a 12-4 record this past season, the New England Patriots have now opened up a 13-game lead in the “Team of the Century” standings.

The Pats have won 151 and lost 57 since 2000, a .726 winning percentage. They are 13 games better this century than the Indianapolis Colts who are 138-70 (a .663 winning percentage).

The Green Bay Packers have the best record of NFC teams since 2000 with a 131-77 win-loss mark (a .630 winning percentage).

Following are the records of each of the 32 NFL teams this century (since 2000).

Winning percentage since 2000, team
1. New England .726
2. Indianapolis .663
3. Pittsburgh .651
4. Green Bay .630
5. Baltimore .606
6. Philadelphia .603

7. Denver .567
8. New York Giants .558
9. New Orleans .548
10. Tennessee .538
11. Atlanta .536
12. Chicago .529
13. San Diego .524
14. Seattle .514
15. New York Jets .505
16. Dallas .500

17. Minnesota .495
18. Tampa Bay .481
19. Miami .476
20. San Francisco .474
21. Carolina .452
22. Cincinnati .440
23tie. Jacksonville .438
23tie. Washington .438
23tie. Houston .438
26. Kansas City .428
27. St. Louis .421

28tie. Buffalo .394
28tie. Oakland .394
30. Arizona .385
31. Cleveland .341

32. Detroit .298

We are now three seasons into the decade of the 2010’s. The Patriots are also at the top of that list with the most wins in this decade (since 2010) with 39. They have three more victories than the two teams tied for second on the list with 36, Atlanta and Green Bay. Here’s a look at how many wins each of the NFL teams have this decade.

Wins since 2010, team(s)
39: New England
36: Atlanta, Green Bay
34: Baltimore
32: Pittsburgh
31: New Orleans
30: San Francisco
29: Chicago
28: Houston, N.Y. Giants
25: Denver, N.Y. Jets, Seattle
24: San Diego
23: Cincinnati, Indianapolis
22: Dallas, Philadelphia
21: Tennessee, Tampa Bay, Washington
20: Detroit, Miami, Oakland
19: Kansas City, Minnesota
18: Arizona
16: Buffalo, St. Louis
15: Carolina, Jacksonville
14: Cleveland

“99 Stats Before Kickoff” (Stats you need to know before the start of the 2013 NFL season) is available from e-book publisher Smashwords. Go to www.smashwords.com to download a copy, including a pdf version which can be viewed on your home computer. Cost is $2.99