NFL playoff seeds: Does it really matter?

Created by Jason R Remy (Jayron32)

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

With one week left in the 2013 regular season, there is still a lot of uncertainty about which teams will make the playoffs and which seed they have.

Back in 1990, the NFL went to a 12-team playoff system with six teams making the post-season from the two conferences; each conference is seeded from the top seed to the #6 seed. So with all this jockeying for playoff position, the question becomes… does it really matter what seed a team is in the playoffs? The obvious answer is “Yes.” To back up that statement, let’s look at how well each seed has done in the playoffs since 1990 when the current 12-team playoff format was put in place.

Division Seed 1990-99     2000-12         Total
AFC #1                     11-9               13-12       24-21 .533
AFC #2                    11-10             16-10       27-20 .574
AFC #3                    10-10            14-12        24-22 .522
AFC #4                    15-9              14-11         29-20 .592
AFC #5                     4-10              7-13         11-23 .324
AFC #6                     1-10              9-12         10-22 .313

NFC #1                   22-4              16-12         38-16 .704
NFC #2                   15-8              12-12         27-20 .574
NFC #3                    5-10             11-13          16-23 .410
NFC #4                    7-10             14-12         21-22 .488
NFC #5                    3-10               8-12         11-22 .333
NFC #6                    6-10               9-12         15-22 .405

Here’s a look at the win-loss records if we combine the seeds for the two conferences.

AFC/NFC combined W-L, Pct
#1 Seed 62-37 .626
#2 Seed 54-40 .574
#3 Seed 40-45 .471
#4 Seed 50-42 .543
#5 Seed 22-45 .328
#6 Seed 25-44 .362

Did you know? Thirty-four of the 46 Super Bowl teams since 1990 have either been a #1 or #2 seed. The NFC #1 seed has won seven Super Bowls since 1990, most during that time. The AFC #2, NFC #2 and AFC #4 have each won three during that time. The NFC #1 seed has played in 12 of the 21 Super Bowls since 1990.

Did you know? (Part 2) The AFC #5 seed and the NFC #3 seed have not won a Super Bowl since 1990; in fact, an AFC #5 seed has not appeared in the Super Bowl since the NFL went to the current playoff format in 1990.

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: