It appears that weather will be a factor in Sunday’s playoff game between the Green Bay Packers and Dallas Cowboys. Projected temperatures for Green Bay are for the high teens, possibly with a high of 18 degrees around game time.
How might that affect the Packers-Cowboys contest? Here’s a few stats that will shed some light on who has the “statistical” weather advantage.
- Since 2000, the Packers are 26-9-1 (.736 winning percentage) in regular season games played outdoors with the temperature under 32 degrees. That .736 winning percentage is third in the league; Houston is a perfect 3-0 in such games, and the New England Patriots are 15-5 (.750) in regular season games played outdoors with the temperature under 32 degrees since 2000. The Pack is 25-4-1 (.850) in these games at home and 1-5 (.167) on the road.
- The Cowboys are 1-5 in games outdoors with a temperature of under 32 degrees since 2000.
- Green Bay is 6-6 in playoff games played outdoors with temperatures under 32 degrees since 2000; the Cowboys did not play a post-season game outdoors in weather under 32 degrees from 2000-2014.
- The Packers were 29-9-1 in all home games (regular season and playoffs) played outdoors in temperatures under 32 degrees from 2000-2014; 3-6 in road games; and 32-15-1 in all games
- Let’s look at games (regular season and playoffs) played outdoors in temperatures under 20 degrees. From 1966-2014, the Packers are 21-18-1 in such games, while the Cowboys are 1-3.
- The Packers played the most regular season games outdoors with temperatures under 32 degrees since 2000 with 33 and the most playoff games in those conditions with 12.
- Green Bay has played the most games (regular season and playoffs) outdoors with temperatures under 20 degrees since 1966 with 40. Chicago (25), Minnesota (23) and Denver (21) are the only other teams to have played over 20 such games during this timeframe.
Advantage Packers? It certainly seems that way.
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