How to win the Super Bowl… by the numbers

super bowl champions
What will it take for the Patriots or Seahawks to win this year’s Super Bowl? Win the turnover game? Running the ball? Red-zone offense?

Following is a look back at the previous 48 Super Bowls and which stats were a good indicator for victory. Here are 31 stats and how often a Super Bowl team won (and lost) the big game when they reached these noted statistical markers.

Note: The interesting thing about last year’s Super Bowl was that the Seahawks accomplished five of the top six stats listed below in their Super Bowl 48 win over Denver: They had at least a 10-point lead at halftime; returned an interception for TD; went into the fourth quarter with a lead of seven points or more; had a two or more takeaway margin over the Broncos; and had no turnovers in the contest.

When a Super Bowl team…

Had a 10-point lead at halftime… 24-0 1.000
Returned an interception for TD… 12-0 1.000

Went into the fourth quarter with a lead of at least seven points… 32-2 .941
Had a two or more takeaway margin over the opponent… 28-2 .933
Scored 30 or more points in the game… 25-2 .926
Had 0 turnovers… 18-2 .900

Had three or more takeaways… 32-4 .889
Did not throw an interception… 30-4 .882
Did not let the opposition score in the second half… 7-1 .875
Had two or more rushing touchdowns… 16-3 .842
Had 30 or more rushing attempts… 35-7 .833
Made three of more field goals… 10-2 .833
Rushed for 150-plus yards… 17-4 .810
Held the opponent scoreless in the fourth quarter… 20-5 .800
Had more than 100 yards of total offense than the opposition… 16-4 .800

Allowed 24 or fewer points in the game…43-16 .789
Had 400 or more total yards… 14-4 .778
Held the opponents to under 50% pass completions… 17-5 .773
Completed 70% or more of their passes… 10-3 .769
Held opponents to 0 rushing touchdowns… 25-9 .735

Held the opponents scoreless in the third quarter… 23-10 .697
Had three or more passing touchdowns… 11-5 .688
Held the opponents under 10 points in the first half… 28-13 .683
Held the opponents to 0 points in the first quarter… 25-12 .676
Scored first in the game… 32-16 .667
Did not allow a sack… 8-4 .667
Passed for 300 or more yards… 9-5 .643
Scored 10 or more points in the first quarter… 10-6 .625

Recovered a fumble for touchdown… 3-3 .500

Returned a kick-off for TD… 4-6 .400

Attempted 30 or more passes… 20-34 .370

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

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