Monthly Archives: January, 2015

Stats from the Seahawks four losses in 2014: Can the Pack duplicate?

NFL: Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers

Here’s one final posting before the Packers-Seahawks game this afternoon…

Let’s examine the four Seattle losses this season (they lost to Dallas, Kansas City, San Diego and St. Louis). Here are 10 stats that defined each of the four losses:

* Seattle allowed their opponents to rush for over 100 yards in each loss.

* The opposition had 27 or more rushing attempts in each defeat.

* Seattle scored under 27 points in each loss.

* Opponents scored 24 or more points in the four wins over Seattle.

* The opponents completed over 65% of their passes in each of the four Seattle losses.

* The Seattle defense had no interceptions in their four games they lost.

* The Seattle defense had one or no sacks in those four losses.

* The Seattle defense allowed 275 or more total yards to each team that beat them.

* Each team that defeated Seattle in 2014 had at least 14 points at halftime.

* In their four losses, the Seahawks were behind going into the fourth quarter in two games (down by eight to the Rams; down by six to the Chargers) tied with Dallas, and ahead by three versus Kansas City.

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A look back at previous Championship Game appearances by the Packers

NFL: Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers

Okay Packers fans… are you looking for some sign that will indicate if the Packers can win on Sunday versus the Seahawks? Green Bay has played in seven NFL/NFC Championship Games since 1966. They are 5-2 in those games. Here are a few stats (since 1966) that give some history to what helped the Pack win those five games.

  • Green Bay is 3-1 in Championship Games on the road.
  • In title games where they scored 21 or more points, they are 5-1.
  • If they held the opposition under 20 points, they were 4-0. If they allowed 23 or more points, they were 1-2.
  • If the Packers QBs threw two or more interceptions, the team was 1-2. If the QBs had one or no interceptions, they were 4-0.
  • In the seven Championship Games where they gained 80 or more yards rushing, the Packers were 5-0. If they had 20 or more rushing attempts in the title game they were also 5-0.
  • If the Pack attempted 35 or more passes, Green Bay was 0-2. If they attempted 30 or fewer passes, they were 5-0.
  • The Packers were 4-0 if they scored at least one TD via a run.
  • Green Bay was 1-2 if they allowed the opponents to have 100 or more yards rushing.
  • If the Packers defense got two or more takeaways in the game, they were 5-0. If they got one or no takeaways, they were 0-2.
  • Green Bay was 3-0 in NFL/NFC Championship Games where they held the opponents scoreless in the first quarter.
  • If they allowed the opposition to score 10 or fewer points in the first half, the Packers were 4-1.

So based on past history (and stats), the Packers have a good shot at winning if they… score over 21 points, hold Seattle to under 20 points, have no more than one turnover, run the ball well (and often), have the defense get at least two takeaways, hold Seattle scoreless in the first quarter, and hold them to 10 points or less in the first half. Shouldn’t be too difficult, right?

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

AFC, NFC Championship Game stats

PackvsSea

The 2014 season edition of the AFC and NFC championship games will take place on Sunday when the Packers travel to Seattle and the Patriots host the Colts.

Green Bay, Indianapolis and New England are no strangers to these title games, while the Seahawks are fast becoming perennial championship contenders after their Super Bowl win last year.

Ten different NFL franchises have not made an appearance in a conference championship game this century. Three of those 10 teams played in the playoffs this season — Cincinnati, Dallas and Detroit – but none of the three advanced to the title contest.

Here is the last time each NFL franchise made an appearance in a conference championship game.

Never: Houston
1988: Cincinnati
1989: Cleveland
1991: Detroit, Washington
1992: Miami
1993: Buffalo, Kansas City
1995: Dallas
1999: Jacksonville
2001: St. Louis Rams
2002: Oakland, Tampa Bay, Tennessee
2005: Carolina
2007: San Diego
2008: Arizona, Philadelphia
2009: Minnesota, New Orleans
2010: Chicago, New York Jets, Pittsburgh
2011: New York Giants
2012: Atlanta, Baltimore
2013: Denver, San Francisco
2014: Green Bay, Indianapolis, New England, Seattle

Here’s a few more stats about the conference championship games since 1970 (the NFL-AFL merger).

  • Five AFC teams have not won a conference championship since 1970 (Cleveland, Houston, Jacksonville, Kansas City and New York Jets), while only one NFC team has not won an NFC title since the merger (Detroit).
  • San Francisco and Pittsburgh are tied with the most championship game appearances since 1970, 15. They are followed by Dallas (14), New England and Oakland (11), St. Louis/L.A. Rams and Denver (9), Minnesota (8), Indianapolis and Miami (7), Green Bay, Philadelphia and Washington (6).
  • The Steelers have hosted the most conference title games since 1970 with 11. They are followed by San Francisco (9), Denver, Miami and New England (6), Dallas, Oakland, Washington (5).
  • The Cowboys have won the most conference championship games on the road since 1970 with four. New England and the New York Giants have each won three, while Baltimore, Denver, Green Bay, Pittsburgh and San Francisco have each own two.

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

Packers Numbers Notebook: Stats from their playoff win over Dallas

ARod12

Here are a few stats you may not know from the Packers 26-21 win over the Cowboys in their NFC Divisional playoff game. (These playoff game stats reflect Packers playoff games since 1966, start of the Super Bowl era, unless noted otherwise.)

1. The Packers scored first in the game, the 13th straight game where they scored first. They are 11-2 in those games. Since the start of the 2012 season, the Packers are 22-6-1 (.776) in all games when they score first. Green Bay is 15-7 in playoff games since 1966 when they score first in the contest.

2. Green Bay shut-out the Cowboys in the fourth quarter. It was the 10th playoff game where the Packers have held their opponents scoreless in the final quarter; they are 8-2 in such playoff games.

3. The Pack had 10 points at halftime, behind 14-10. In the previous 14 playoff games where they had only 10 or fewer points at halftime, the Packers won only three of those 14 games.

4. The Packers were behind at half. In the 15 previous playoff games where they were behind at halftime, the Packers won only two of those 15 contests.

5. Rookies Davante Adams and Richard Rodgers each had a TD in the playoff game versus the Cowboys. They became the 11th and 12th rookie players to score a playoff TD for the Packers. The last Packers rookie to score a playoff TD was James Starks in 2011. Adams and Rodgers were only the second set of Packers rookies to score TDs in the same playoff game since Ryan Grant and Brandon Jackson did so on January 12, 2008 in a playoff game against the Seahawks.

6. Green Bay was behind by a point going into the fourth quarter. Previous to yesterday’s game, the Packers were 1-14 in playoff games where they were behind going into to the fourth quarter. The only win was a 33-27 OT victory over Seattle on January 4, 2004.

7. Rookie receiver Davante Adams had seven receptions for 117 yards. He became only the second Packers rookie receiver to have 100 or more yards receiving in a playoff game for the Pack. The other: Javon Walker had five catches for 104 yards in the playoff loss to Atlanta on January 4, 2003.

8. Dallas running back DeMarco Murray gained 123 yards rushing against the Packers. He was the 10th running back to gain 100-plus yards against the Packers in a playoff game. It was only the third time the Packers won a playoff game when they allowed a 100-yard rusher by the opposition.

9. Including the NFL Championship Games played from 1933-69, the Packers are 11-4 in championship games, most NFC title game wins. The Packers lost title games in 2007, 1995, 1960 and 1938.

10. Green Bay had two 100-yard receivers in the game, Adams with 117 yards, Randall Cobb had 116. They became the third set of Packers teammates to each have a 100-yard receiving game in the playoffs. It first happened on January 6, 1996 (Robert Brooks and Keith Jackson in a win over San Francisco) and Jermichael Finley and Greg Jennings (in a loss to Arizona).

11. This was Aaron Rodgers fourth three TD, 300-yard passing game in the playoffs, tying him with Kurt Warner and Tom Brady for second in that category (Peyton Manning has five such games).

12. Eddie Lacy gained 101 yards on 19 carries. Since 1966, the Packers are 6-2 in playoff games when they have a 100-yard rusher in a playoff contest. The other Packers running backs who gained 100-plus yards in a playoff game: Edgar Bennett, Ryan Grant, Ahman Green, Dorsey Levens (three times), James Starks.

13. Green Bay had one turnover in the game. Since 2000, NFL teams that have zero or one turnover in a playoff game are 118-55 (.682). The Packers are 6-2 in playoff games since 2000 when they have one or no turnovers in the game.

14. Aaron Rodgers had QB Rating of 125.4 in the game, the second highest playoff QBR in his career (he had a 136.8 QBR in the January 15, 2011 playoff win over Atlanta). In 10 playoff starts, Rodgers has had six games with a QBR over 100 (the Packers are 5-1 in those games). Rodgers has had a 125 or higher QBR in 24 regular season starts; the Packers are 23-1 in those games.

15. This was the Packers first playoff game in history where they had a quarterback with over 300 yards passing (Rodgers 316 yards), a running back with over 100 rushing (Lacy 101 yards), and two receivers each with over 100 yards receiving (Adams 117 yards, Cobb 116 yards).

16. In playoff games since 1966, the Packers are 14-2 in games when they scored 28 or more points. They are 10-14 when they score under 28 points in a playoff game. They are 9-12 when they score 26 or fewer points in a playoff game.

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

Home field advantage in the 2014 NFL playoffs: You decide!

 

Can the Patriots run away from the Ravens in the playoffs?

Can the Patriots run away from the Ravens in the playoffs?

We are a few hours away from the next round of the NFL playoffs. Today’s contests are Baltimore at New England and Carolina at Seattle. Tomorrow will have Green Bay hosting Dallas and Indianapolis traveling to Denver to face the Broncos.

Here’s a few stats about the eight remaining teams and their home/road performances in the playoffs (when not mentioned, all stats reflect numbers since 1970).

* The four home teams this weekend have a combined 49-15 record in playoff games since 1970 (the AFL-NFL merger). Seattle has the best home playoff record since 1970 at 9-2 (.818). AFC teams Denver and New England are both 15-4 (.789) in the playoffs since 1970 as the home team, while the Packers are 10-5 (.667) as a playoff home team since ’70. Seattle has won seven straight home playoff games; Denver has won six of their last eight home playoff contests; the Patriots are 4-3 in their last seven home playoff games; the Packers are 3-5 in their last eight playoff games at Lambeau field.

* The Pittsburgh Steelers have lost the most home playoff games at home since 1970 with nine. The San Francisco 49ers are second on the list with eight home playoff losses. The Steelers and 49ers are tied for the most home playoff wins since 1970 with 20.

* Of the four road teams this weekend, the Ravens and Panthers have had success as road playoff teams. Baltimore is 10-5 (.667) in road playoff games, the Panthers are also at .667 with four wins and two losses. Dallas is 9-12 (.429 winning percentage) since 1970 as a road playoff team; the Colts franchise is only 5-12 (.294) in road playoff games. The Ravens have won three straight road playoff games; the Panthers have won four of their last five road playoff games. At the other end, the Cowboys have lost six consecutive road playoff games; the Colts have lost five of their last six road playoff games.

* The Ravens lead the NFL since 1970 with 10 road playoff wins. The Cowboys are second with nine wins as an away playoff team. The Colts and Cowboys franchises are tied for second with the most road playoff losses with 12.

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp