Monthly Archives: October, 2016

Packers Number Crunches: Week 5 game versus the Giants

pack-giants

Here are some of the numbers that helped define the Packers 23-16 win over the New York Giants on October 9.

  • The Packers have been a pretty “average” team when it came to night games over the past few years. Prior to yesterday’s win over the Giants, the Packers were 36-25 since 2000 in games that started after 6pm. They had lost four of their last five, and were 9-9 in their last 18 and 5-5 in their last 10 night games.
  • Green Bay’s first drive of the game was a 16-play drive that took 8 minutes and 42 seconds. It was the team’s second drive of 16 plays or more on the season, and they now have the third and fourth longest drives based on time in the NFL this year (they had a drive versus Jacksonville in Game One that took 9:14). Arizona has the longest drive based on time this season at 9:20.
  • The Pack scored first in the game and has now won five of their last six when they get on the scoreboard first in a contest. They are 46-13-1 since 2010, and are 14-2 when they scored first in their last 16 games at Lambeau Field.
  • Aaron Rodgers had two interceptions in the game; the Packers are now 7-6 in games where Rodgers has multiple picks.
  • Green Bay led 17-6 at halftime. They have now won 16 straight when they have a lead of 10 points or more at half and have won 32 straight at home when they lead at halftime by 10 or more.
  • Eddie Lacy had 81 yards on 11 carries in the game for a 7.4 yards per carry average. In games where Lacy had at least 10 carries, this 7.4 is the second highest of his career in a game. His highest average was 8.1 in a game versus the Vikings in 2014 when he had 105 yards on 13 carries, a per-carry average of 8.1 yards.
  • The Packers had an eight-point lead going into the fourth quarter. They have now won 22 straight when they take a lead of seven points or more into the last quarter. In games at Lambeau, the Packers last lost a game when they took a seven-point lead into the fourth quarter on October 12, 2003 against the Kansas City Chiefs. They lost that game 40-34 in overtime after taking a seven-point lead into the fourth quarter.
  • This was the first regular season game of Rodgers’ career where the Packers won in a game when he had two interceptions and a completion rate under 60%. They were previously 0-4 in those games. The Packers did win a playoff game against the Bears when Rodgers had two interceptions and a completion percentage of 56.7%.
  • Mason Crosby had three field goals in the game for the 34th time in his Packers career. The team is 28-6 when Crosby connects on three or more field goals in a game.
  • Receiver Randall Cobb went over the 100-yard mark in receiving (108 yards to be exact) on nine receptions. Green Bay is 10-2 when Cobb has a 100-yard receiving game.
  • Rodgers was not sacked in the contest in the 45 pass attempts he made. It was the eighth time since 1970 that the Packers did not give up a sack when they attempted 45 or more passes in a game. Most pass attempts in a game with no sacks by the Packers is 59 in 1986.
  • All four of the games this season have been decided by seven points or less (the Packers are 3-1). Last season the Packers played in five games that were decided by seven points or less… they were 2-3 in those games.
  • Green Bay won the time of possession battle with 36:38 to only 23:22 for the Giants. The Packers have won 12 of their last 13 when they have 36 or more minutes TOP in a non-overtime game.
  • The Packers gained 147 yards rushing in the game and allowed the Giants only 43 yards on the ground. In the history of the franchise, the Pack is 30-0 when they gain over 140 yards rushing and allow the opposition less than 50 yards.

2016 MLB playoffs: Head-to-Head stats

2016-post-season

With the Blue Jays and Giants winning the Wild Card games, the next round of the 2016 MLB playoffs is set and will begin tonight.

Here is a brief look at each of the four series and some head-to-head stats for each.
AMERICAN LEAGUE

Cleveland vs. Boston * Boston won the 2016 series against Cleveland, 4-2 * Boston was 2-1 at home; Cleveland was 1-2 at home * There were two one-run games of the six played between the two teams; each team won one. * The Red Sox scored five or more runs in four of the games, winning three of four; the Indians scored five or more runs in only one game, winning that contest. * There was only one blowout of the six games (a game decided by five runs or more); the Red Sox won that game.

Texas vs. Toronto * Toronto won the 2016 series against Texas, 4-3 * Toronto was 3-1 at home; Texas was 2-1 at home * There were four one-run games of the seven played between the two teams; Texas won three of those games, Toronto won one. * The Blue Jays scored five or more runs in four of the seven games, winning two and losing two; the Rangers scored five or more runs in two games, winning both. * There were two blowouts of the seven games (a game decided by five runs or more); the Blue Jays won both of those games.

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington * Los Angeles won the 2016 series against Washington, 5-1 * Los Angeles was 3-0 at home; Washington was 1-2 * There were two one-run games of the six played between the two teams; Los Angeles won both contests. * The Dodgers scored five or more runs in two of the six games, winning both; the Nationals scored five or more runs in one game, winning that game. * There was only one blowout of the six games played between the two teams; the Nats won that game.

Chicago vs. San Francisco * Chicago won the 2016 series against San Francisco, 4-3 * Chicago was 3-1 at home; San Francisco was 2-1 * There were five one-run games of the seven played between the two teams; the Cubs won three, the Giants won two. * The Cubs scored five or more runs in two of the seven games, winning both; the Giants score five or more runs in only game, winning that contest. * There was only one blowout of the seven games played; the Cubs won that game.

Predictions: Based on the stats above, here are my unscientific guesses for the winners of these four series… Boston in four games, Texas in five games, the Dodgers in four games, the Cubs in four games.

90 losses in an MLB season

loss

Eight MLB teams in 2016 finished the season with 90 or more losses. Of those eight, four did it for the second straight year: Atlanta, Cincinnati, Oakland and Philadelphia.

Of the other four teams, Tampa Bay last had a 90-loss season in 2007; San Diego last lost 90 in 2011; and Arizona and Minnesota both last lost 90 games in 2014.

In looking at the other 22 MLB teams, it’s interesting to note that three of those teams, Angels, Yankees and Cardinals, have not lost 90 or more games in a season in the 21st century. In fact, the Cards have the longest time since a 90-loss season… the last time they lost 90 games was in 1990.

Following is a look at the last time each of the 30 current MLB franchises lost 90 games in a campaign.

1990: St. Louis Cardinals

1991: New York Yankees

1999: Los Angeles Angels

2004: Toronto Blue Jays

2005: Detroit Tigers, Los Angeles Dodgers

2008: San Francisco Giants

2009: New York Mets

2010: Washington Nationals

2011: Baltimore Orioles, Pittsburgh Pirates

2012: Cleveland Indians, Kansas City Royals

2013: Chicago Cubs, Chicago White Sox, Seattle Mariners

2014: Boston Red Sox, Houston Astros, Texas Rangers

2015: Colorado Rockies, Miami Marlins, Milwaukee Brewers

2016: Arizona Diamondbacks, Atlanta Braves, Cincinnati Reds, Minnesota Twins, Oakland A’s, Philadelphia Phillies, San Diego Padres, Tampa Bay Rays

 

Green Bay Packers after the bye week in the Mike McCarthy era

byeweek
The Green Bay Packers do not play this week, getting an early bye in the 2016 season.

Let’s take a look at how well the team has played prior to and after the bye week during the Mike McCarthy era, starting in 2006. Following are three stats from the past 10 seasons (2006-15).

The game after the bye week The Pack has played very well in the game after the bye week during McCarthy’s time as head coach. They are 8-2 (.800 winning percentage) in games after the bye since 2006. They lost in 2008 and last season.

The three games prior to the bye and the three games after the bye The Packers have identical 21-9 records (.700 winning percentage) in the three games prior to the bye week and the three games after the bye week. Last season was a rarity during the McCarthy era as the team was 3-0 in the three games prior to the bye week and then went 0-3 in the three games following the bye.

All games prior to the bye week and all games after the bye week The Packers had a 104-55-1 record (.653 winning percentage) in the 10 seasons from 2006-15. Prior to running the numbers, I would’ve thought that the Packers had a better record after the bye week than before it in the past 10 seasons… I was wrong!

Green Bay was 61-34-1 (.641 winning percentage) in all games after the bye week in the past 10 seasons and 43-21 (.672 winning percentage) in all games prior to the bye week.

They have, however, done better after the bye week in the past five seasons going 31-15-1 (.670 winning percentage) in games after the bye week in the past five seasons.

One final stat Green Bay has had a pretty decent record in games after the bye week (17-10 since the bye week format started in 1990). But when they get their bye week during the season is another story; if the Packers have their bye week in Week #3-Week #7, the team is 8-8 in the game after the bye. If they have their bye week in Week #8-Week #10, the Packers are 9-2 in the game following the bye.