Tonight will be the 38th Game 7 in World Series history. Let’s take a look at the last 10 Game Sevens (since 1982) and see if any trends have developed that could give us a hint as to which of tonight’s teams, the Cubs or Indians, will be victorious.
The Game 6 winner: The team that won Game Six also won Game Seven in eight of the last 10 World Series Game Sevens. Advantage: Cubs; they won Game Six last night.
Score: Of the 20 teams that have played in the last 10 Game Sevens in the World Series, only four scored six or more runs in Game Seven. In fact, only seven of the 20 teams even scored four or more runs. The loser of the last 10 Game Sevens in the World Series scored two or fewer runs in eight of those 10 games. Expect a low-scoring game tonight.
Scored first in the game: Five of the last 10 teams to win a Game Seven in the World Series scored first in the decisive game. Scoring first in the game is not that important.
Run differential: Six of the last 10 World Series Game sevens was decided by two runs or less, four were decided by one run. It will probably be a close game, maybe one or two runs.
Score in the first inning: Only one of the 10 winners of the last 10 Game Sevens scored in the first inning. Not a factor.
Home field advantage: The home team has won nine of the last 10 World Series Game Sevens. Advantage: Cleveland… they host tonight’s contest.
More hits: The team with more hits in the game has won nine of the last 10 World Series Game Sevens.
Errorless game by the winner: Seven of the last 10 winners of a Game Seven in the World Series did not have an error in the game.
Home Runs: HRs in Game Seven of the World Series has not been a factor. Only four of the 10 teams that won Game Seven had an HR in that game.
Errors: The 10 winning teams of the last 10 World Series Game Sevens had a combined total of three errors; the 10 losing teams of the last 10 World Series Game Sevens had a combined total of six errors.
Starting pitchers: Of the 20 starting pitchers in the last 10 World Series Game Sevens, 13 pitched five or more innings… eight were from the winning team, five from the losing team. Each team will be looking to get five innings out of their starter.
Having the lead after six innings: Of the teams that won the last 10 World Series Game Sevens, seven had the lead after the sixth inning, two were tied after six innings, and one was behind going into the seventh inning. You don’t want to be behind in Game Seven going into the 7th inning.
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