How many wins would the Brewers need in the 2018 season to secure a Wild Card spot in this year’s playoffs (that’s assuming they don’t overtake the Cubs for the National League Central title)?
Since the 2012 season Major League Baseball has had in place a playoff format whereby two teams from each league get a Wild Card berth in the MLB post-season in addition to the three division winners. That means there have been 24 teams that have been Wild Card participants since that ’12 season.
In the American League, the 12 Wild Card teams since 2012 have won an average of 89.5 games; in the National League, the 12 Wild Card teams since 2012 have won an average of 90.9 games.
Of the 24 Wild Card teams (12 in each league since 2012), 11 won 90 or more games to reach the post-season; 18 of the 24 won 88 or more games.
Most wins by a Wild Card team since 2012 was 98 by the Pittsburgh Pirates in 2015. The fewest wins by a Wild Card team since 2012 was 85 by the Minnesota Twins last season.
The Brewers are currently 82-62 (through games of September 9). They are two games behind the Cubs in the N.L. Central race, but they hold the number one Wild Card spot in the league, 2.5 games ahead of the St. Louis Cardinals, who have a one-game lead over the Dodgers for the second Wild Card spot in the N.L.
If we use 90 wins as a benchmark for making the playoffs, the Brewers would need to go at least 8-10 in their final 18 games to finish with 90 wins for the season.
Since 2012, only two teams with 90 or more wins failed to reach the post-season: In 2012, Tampa Bay won 90 games but did not make the playoffs… the next season the Texas Rangers won 91 but did not reach the post-season.
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PACKERSTATS-Game #1-2018 season
Written and Compiled by Jerry Tapp
Here are some of the numbers that helped define the Packers 24-23 win over the Chicago Bears on September 9.
- The Packers have now won nine of their last 11 games against the Bears at Lambeau Field.
- This was the fifth regular season game in the long series with the Bears that the game was decided by one point. The Packers have won each of those five one-point games. The last one-point game in the series was back in 1997, a 24-23 win by the Packers.
- Bears QB Mitchell Trubisky had a 77.2 Passer Rating in the game. The highest passer rating of a Bears QB in a game at Lambeau Field is 124.4 by Jim Harbaugh in a contest in 1990 won by the Bears 31-13.
- The Bears scored first in the game, but it was the sixth straight time that the Bears scored first in a game against the Packers and lost that contest.
- The Packers were scoreless in the first half. The team is now 5-19 in games versus the Bears when they do not score in the first two quarters. Since 2000, Green Bay is 6-13 in regular season games when they are held scoreless in the first half.
- Green Bay QBs were sacked four times in the game. Green Bay is 56-133-3 (.299 winning percentage) in the Super Bowl era (since 1966) when they allow four or more sacks in a game
- The Pack was behind 17-0 at halftime. It was only the third time in 17 games since 2000 that the Packers have won a game where they were behind by 17 or more points at halftime. They are 5-48-1 (.102 winning percentage) in regular season games in the Super Bowl era where they are behind by 17 or more points at half.
- This was the first time in Packers history that they won a regular season game where they were behind by 17 or more points going into the fourth quarter. They had been 0-104 in those games prior to the win over the Bears.
- The Packers tallied 21 points in the fourth quarter, the 16th time since 1966 that they did so. They are now 14-2 in games where they score 21 or more points in the fourth quarter of a regular season game.
- Randall Cobb had nine catches for 142 yards (and the game-winning TD). The 142 yards receiving were a career-high.
- It was the fifth time in Cobb’s career that he had nine or more catches and more than 100 yards receiving in a game.
- The 142 yards for Cobb was the third-highest receiving yards by a Packers player in the opening game of the season in team history. The highest total is 165 yards receiving by Billy Howton in Game One of the 1957 season. James Lofton had 154 yards receiving for the Pack in the first game of the 1983 campaign.
- Aaron Rodgers had three TD passes in a game for the 59th time in his career. He ranks sixth all-time in this category behind Peyton Manning (93), Drew Brees (80), Tom Brady (78), Brett Favre (72) and Dan Marino (62). Rodgers is now four three-TD games behind Favre, who had 63 such games with the Packers.
- Rodgers had three TD passes and no interceptions, the 42nd time in his career that he has done that. He ranks fourth all-time in this stat behind Brady (55), Manning (51) and Brees (43).
- Rodgers had a Passer Rating of 130.7, the fifth time in his career that he had a Passer Rating above 130 against the Bears. The Packers are now 26-1 in regular season games when Rodgers has a Passer Rating above 130.
Could Christian Yelich become the fifth 30-100-.300 player in Brewers history?
Through games of August 31, Yelich, who this past week had a six-hit game that included hitting for the cycle, is having an MVP-type season. He has 26 home runs, 76 RBI and a batting average of .317. With 26 games left in the season, he’ll need four homers (doable), 24 RBI (could be a challenge) and keep his average above the .300 mark to reach these milestone numbers.
If Yelich reaches these 30-100-.300 stats, it would be the eighth time in team history; Ryan Braun has done it three times for the Brewers, Cecil Cooper did it twice for the Brew Crew.
Here’s a look at the seven times in Brewers history that a player reached the 30 home run, 100-RBI, .300 batting average in a season for the team.
1980: Ben Oglivie, 41-118, .304
1982: Cecil Cooper, 32-121, .313
1983: Cecil Cooper, 30-126, .307
1996: John Jaha, 34-118, .300
2009: Ryan Braun, 32-114, .320
2011: Ryan Braun, 33-111, .332
2013: Ryan Braun, 41-112, .319
In addition to these seven seasons above, the Brewers had four other near-misses when it comes to a 30-100-.300 season. In 1982, Robin Yount had 29 home runs, 114 RBI and a .331 BA; in 2007, a pair of Brewer players missed this milestone… Braun had 34 HRs, 97 RBI and a batting average of .324 while Prince Fielder ended that ’07 campaign with 46 homers, 141 RBI and a .299 average; Fielder again missed having a 30-100-.300 season in 2011 when he hit 38 home runs with 120 RBI and a .299 average.
The Major League leader for 30-100-.300 season is Babe Ruth with 12. He is followed by Albert Pujols, Manny Ramirez and Lou Gehrig, each with 10 such seasons.
The Brewers this season have another pair of players who could reach the 30-HR, 100-RBI milestone: Jesus Aguilar has 31 HRs and 93 RBI while Travis Shaw ended August with 27 homers and 76 runs driven in. Aguilar has an outside chance at a 30-100-.300 season, but he would need to go on a tear in the final month to bring his average up to .300 from his current mark of .276. Shaw’s average was at .247 going into the final month.
One final stat: How about we drop the numbers a little and check how many Brewers have ended a season with 25 or more home runs, 80 of more RBIs, and a batting average of .280 or better. Seventeen different players for the Brewers have reached these numbers with Braun having the most with eight such seasons. Here are those 17 players and the number of 25-80-.280- seasons with the Brew Crew.
8 seasons: Ryan Braun
3 seasons: Cecil Cooper, Geoff Jenkins, Prince Fielder
2 seasons: Ben Oglivie
1 season: Aramis Ramirez, Carlos Lee, Corey Hart, Davey May, George Scott, Greg Vaughn, Jeromy Burnitz, John Jaha, Larry Hisle, Robin Yount, Sixto Lezcano, Tommy Harper
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