Tag Archives: Christian Yelich

Today’s Sportstat: July 11, 2019

Yelich, Bellinger and Alfonso reach 30 HRs before All-Star break

A trio of National League sluggers, Milwaukee’s Christian Yelich, the Dodgers’ Cody Bellinger, and New York Mets rookie Pete Alfonso each reached the 30-HR mark before this year’s All-Star break (Yelich has 31 HRs while the other two have 30). They became the 31st, 32nd and 33rd players to reach 30 home runs before the ASG in baseball history.

It was the first time since 1998 that three or more players had 30 or more home runs before the All-Star break. In 1998 it was Mark McGwire with 37, Ken Griffey, Jr. with 35, Sammy Sosa with 33 and Greg Vaughn with 30

Here are five stats you may not know about players who have reached the 30-HR mark before the All-Star break.

  • There have now been 43 times in MLB history that a player had 30 or more home runs before the All-Star break. The quartet mentioned above who reached that mark in 1998 is the most players in a season. In addition to this year’s threesome, three players reached 30 HRs before the All-Star break in 1994 (Ken Griffey, Jr., Matt Williams and Frank Thomas) and 1969 (Reggie Jackson, Frank Howard and Willie McCovey).
  • Mark McGwire tops the list with four seasons with 30 or more HRs before the All-Star break. Others who reached that 30-HR mark multiple times: Ken Griffey, Jr. and Babe Ruth (three times each) and Barry Bonds, Sammy Sosa and Willie Stargell (twice each).
  • Of the 40 times a player reached 30 HRs before the All-Star Game (prior to this year’s group), 18 ended the season with 50 or more home runs. Two players reached 70 (McGwire 70 in 1998 and Bonds 73 in 2001), three reached 60-69 home runs and 13 ended the year with 50-59 homers. Eighteen players ended the year with 40-49 HRs and four players ended the year with less than 40 homers that season (Dave Kingman 37 in 1976… he had 30 HRs at the break; Frank Thomas 38 in 1994… he had 32 at the break; Jose Canseco 34 in 1999… he had 31 at the break; and McGwire 32 in 2000… he had 30 at the break).
  • The 1990s had the most players with 30 HRs at the All-Star break with 12. The 2000’s had eight players and the 2010s seven players is next on the list. The other decades: 1920s-2, 1930s-2, 1940s-none, 1950s-1, 1960s-5, 1970s-4, 1980s-2.
  • So, how many home runs will Yelich, Bellinger and Alfonso end the 2019 season with? The 40 times a player had 30 or more HRs at the All-Star break saw that player end the season with an average of an additional 18 home runs (18.07 to be exact). That puts this year’s trio ending the 2019 campaign with just under 50 for the season.

 

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Today’s Sportstat: June 24, 2019

Is ChristianYelich getting ready to shatter an 80-year-old MLB home run record?

Brewers outfielder Christian Yelich is the reigning National League MVP and he is certainly making a case that he should be considered the leading candidate for this year’s honor.

Yelich is leading the majors with 29 home runs, but 21 of those 29 have come in home games at Miller Park. What makes that total all the more amazing is that the Brewers team record for most home runs at home in a season is 28. The Major League Baseball record for most home runs at home in a season is 39.

Yelich’s 21 HRs at Miller Park this season has been accomplished in 32 games. That means that Yelich has the potential of playing in 42 more games at Miller Park this season. With 21 home runs in 32 games at Miller Park and 42 more games on the schedule at Miller Park, Yelich, if he plays in all 42 of those home games, is on a pace to hit 49 home runs at Miller Park this season. And think about this… that’s just the projected number of Yelich’s home runs at Miller Park! For most players, a season with 48 or 49 total home runs would be a phenomenal season and here we are talking about Yelich potentially hitting just under 50 home runs at home!

Richie Sexson holds the Brewers team record for most home runs by a player at home with 28 in 2001. Yelich’s 21 home runs at Miller Park through games of June 23 already places him 12th on the team’s all-time list for most home HRs in a season. (He hit 22 home runs at Miller Park last season, good enough for a tie for ninth place on the team’s home HR list.) All he needs is nine more home runs at Miller Park this season (in the final 42 games at home) to set the club record.

Following are the Brewers players who hit 20 or more home runs at home games in a season.

Richie Sexson, 28 in 2001
Prince Fielder, 27 in 2007
Ryan Braun, 24 in 2012
Prince Fielder, 24 in 2011
Chris Carter, 24 in 2016
Richie Sexson, 23 in 2003
Ryan Braun, 23 in 2008
Prince Fielder, 23 in 2009
Corey Hart, 22 in 2012
Christian Yelich, 22 in 2018
Gorman Thomas, 22 in 1979
Christian Yelich, 21in 2019 (through games of June 23)
Eric Thames, 20 in 2017
Larry Hisle, 20 in 1978

Here are the six times in MLB history that a player has hit 35 or more home runs in their home park in a season…

Hank Greenberg, 39 in 1938

Mark McGwire, 38 in 1998

Barry Bonds, 37 in 2001

Mark McGwire, 37 in 1999

Sammy Sosa, 35 in 1998

Jimmie Foxx, 35 in 1938

 

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Today’s Sportstat: June 10, 2019

Yelich, Moustakas challenging Brewers record for most HRs before the All-Star break

Through games of June 9, the Brewers have a pair of players near the top of the list for most home runs this season: Christian Yelich leads the majors with 24 long balls while Mike Moustakas is tied for third with 20.

Yelich and Moustakas became the 15th and 16th players in Brewers history to have 20 or more home runs before the All-Star break. When you consider there are 25 more games remaining on the schedule (as of June 10) for the Brew Crew before this year’s All-Star Game on July 9, Yelich and “Moose” could put up some pretty impressive home run numbers before the All-Star break.

Yelich has 24 HR’s in 59 games and is on a pace to have 34 homers at the All-Star break; Moustakas has 20 HRs in 59 games and is on a pace for 28 home runs before the All-Star Game. Prince Fielder holds the Brewers record for most home runs prior to the All-Star Game with 29… he did it in 2007. That means that Yelich has a very real chance of surpassing Fielder’s record of 29 and Moustakas could certainly make a run at that number as well.

Fielder is currently one of four Brewers players to have 25 or more HRs before the All-Star Game. The others: Jeromy Burnitz (26 in 1999), Carlos Lee (26 in 2006) and Richie Sexson (25 in 2003). There are three players who are tied with Yelich with 24 home runs before the All-Star break… Jesus Aguilar (he had 24 last season), Greg Vaughn (24 in 1996) and Ryan Braun (he had 24 in 2012).

Yelich could make a run at becoming one of only a handful of MLB players to have 35 or more home runs before the All-Star Game. As noted above, he is on a pace to have 34 before the All-Star Game. The MLB record is 39 held by Barry Bonds; he did that in 2001. Here are the six players who had 35 or more home runs before the All-Star Game in baseball history.

Barry Bonds, 39, 2001

Mark McGwire, 37, 1998

Reggie Jackson, 37, 1969

Chris Davis, 37, 2013

Luis Gonzalez, 35, 2001

Ken Griffey, Jr., 35 in 1998

 

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Today’s Sportstat: April 22, 2019

Christian Yelich loves to hit HRs vs. the Cardinals

When Christian Yelich hit a three-run HR against the Cardinals on April 16, it was his eighth home run against the Cards this season in only seven games. Those eight homers against the Cardinals this year established a new record for home runs by a Brewers players against the Cards in a single season. The previous record was seven HRs hit by Ryan Braun in 2008 vs St. Louis.

Here is a look at the Brewers who have hit the most home runs versus the Cardinals in a single season:

8-Christian Yelich, 2019 (through games of April 17)

7-Ryan Braun, 2008

6-Christian Yelich, 2018… Richie Sexson, 2001… Khris Davis, 2015

5-Rickie Weeks, 2010… Eric Thames, 2017… Corey Hart, 2011… Bill Hall, 2006… Jesus Aguilar, 2017… Aramis Ramirez, 2013… Prince Fielder, 2007

Braun holds the Brewers all-time record for most career home runs versus the Cardinals with 25. It’s interesting to note, however, that Yelich, in just seven short months as a member of the Brewers, is already tied for sixth on this all-time list with 14 career four-baggers against the Cards.

Following Braun on the list of most career HRs against St. Louis: 19-Prince Fielder, 17-Geoff Jenkins, Corey Hart, 15-Rickie Weeks, 14-Yelich, Richie Sexson, 13-Bill Hall.

The Brewers play against the Cardinals 19 times this season, meaning that Yelich will have several more opportunities to increase his record of HRs versus the Cardinals. The Brewers and Cards face-off against each other in a three-game series April 22-24, and then the two teams don’t play again until three three-game series on August 19-21, August 26-28 and September 13-15.

Yelich became the 14th Brewers player in history to have seven or more home runs against one team in a season. The 14:

Eric Thames vs. Reds, 10 in 2017
George Scott vs. Tigers, 9 in 1975
Greg Vaughn vs. Royals, 8 in 1996
Prince Fielder vs. Pirates, 8 in 2010
Christian Yelich vs. Cardinals, 8 in 2019
Tommy Harper vs. Angels, 7 in 1970
Gorman Thomas vs Royals, 7 in 1979
Robin Yount vs. Orioles, 7 in 1982
Gorman Thomas vs. Red Sox, 7 in 1982
Ryan Braun vs. Cardinals, 7 in 2008
Prince Fielder vs. Reds, 7 in 2009
Ryan Braun vs. Reds, 7 in 2011
Corey Hart vs. Astros, 7 in 2012
Christian Yelich vs. Reds, 7 in 2018

Two more HRs against the Cardinals this season would put Yelich in a tie with Thames for most HRs by a Brewers players versus one team in a season… three would break the record.

Yelich could also make a run at the MLB record; Lou Gehrig in 1936 hit 14 home runs against the Cleveland Indians. That is the most by a player versus one team in a season. With eight against the Cards as of April 17 and 12 more games this season against the Cards, Yelich would need to hit six more home runs against St. Louis by the end of the season to tie Gehrig for this unique record.

For those who are interested, Reggie Jackson holds the record for the most career home runs against the Brewers. He hit 62 versus the Brew Crew. He is followed by Sammy Sosa with 44 and Albert Pujols with 42. Sosa holds the number one spot for most home runs against the Brewers in a season… he hit 12 versus the Brew Crew in 1998.

 

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Today’s Sportstat: March 4, 2019

Can Christian Yelich repeat his 2018 season?

One of the most frequent questions you will hear throughout Miller Park during the early months of the 2019 MLB season is… Can Christian Yelich have another big season?

Yelich won the National League MVP last season with a .326 average, 36 home runs and 110 RBI. While reaching these numbers again this season might be asking for much, it does beg the question… Can Yelich, statistically speaking, match his 2018 output?

To answer that question, let’s take a journey over the past five seasons and see how the last five MVPs in each league did the year following their MVP season.

For the record, here are the MVPs for each league from 2013-17:

American League: Miguel Cabrera (2013), Mike Trout (2014), Josh Donaldson (2015), Mike Trout (2016) and Jose Altuve (2017).

National League: Andrew McCutchen (2013), Clayton Kershaw (2014), Bryce harper (2015), Kris Bryant (2016), Giancarlo Stanton (2017).

As you can see, nine of the 10 MVPs prior to 2018 were everyday players (the only exception was Kershaw in 2014). To get a take on what has happened to previous MVPs and how it might answer the question about whether or not Yelich will match his 2018 MVP season, let’s see how the previous nine everyday MVPs did statistically when it comes to comparing the batting average, HR and RBI numbers from the MVP season to the following year.

Here’s what we find… of the nine non-pitcher MVPs from 2013-17:

  • Only three of the nine increased their season HR totals the year after the MVP season;
  • All nine saw their RBI totals the season after their MVP campaign decrease the following season;
  • Only two of the nine increased their season batting average the year after the MVP year.

Here’s another stat using these year-after-the-MVP numbers… of the nine non-pitchers MVPs from 2013-17:

  • Their season home run totals dropped by an average of 7.8 home runs from their MVP season to the following year;
  • Their season RBI totals dropped by an average of 21.8 RBI from their MVP season to the following year;
  • Their season batting average dropped by an average of 19.7 points from their MVP season to the following year.

If we apply the above numbers to Yelich’s totals from 2018 to project what he might do statistically (batting average, HRs and RBIs) in 2019, we would project Yelich to end 2019, the year after his MVP, with a .306 average with 28 home runs and 88 RBI. Again, this would be based on what we’ve seen from the past five MVPs in each year and what they did the year after their MVP campaign.

Those projected 2019 numbers would not be all that bad for Yelich, but certainly not where he ended the year in 2018. A World Series appearance for the Brewers in 2019 would certainly carry more weight than Yelich reaching his 2018 stats in 2019.

One more quick note: Looking at Clayton Kershaw’s MVP numbers the year after his MVP season, we see that in 2014 (the year Kershaw won the N.L. MVP) he had a 21-3 record with a 1.77 ERA and a WHIP of 0.857. Using those stats as a comparison, Kershaw dropped in each category the year after his MVP; in 2015 Kershaw had a 16-7 record, a 2.13 ERA, and a 0.881 WHIP. Very respectable numbers, but, again, he did not reach the numbers he had in his MVP season.

Will Yelich have a “successful” 2019 season? It all depends on how you want to define successful. History, however, may be telling us that Yelich may not reach the major stats he had in 2018. Are the Brew Crew faithful okay with that?

 

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp