99 Stats Until Kickoff (#99) Peyton vs. Eli: A statistical analysis of the Mannings
Peyton Manning (Photo credit: Greece Trip Admin)
From May 30 and every day until September 5… the start of the 2013 NFL season… Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ will publish “99 Stats Until Kickoff” a daily dose of NFL stats that will get you ready for the 2013 NFL season.)
About a year ago I posted a blog that looked at the stats of Peyton Manning and how those numbers compared to his little brother, Eli. That blog has been, by far, the most read of the blogs I have posted in the almost two years that I have been blogging. I guess people have a significant interest in all things Manning.
The crux of that blog was that while Peyton had four MVP Awards, many records and regular season stats that put him in an elite group of quarterbacks, Eli has had a fairly nondescript regular season career. But Eli’s post-season numbers are not only better than his regular season stats, but in some cases, his playoff stats exceed Peyton’s. (Notice below how Peyton’s numbers drop in the playoffs while Eli’s rise from the regular season to the playoffs.)
Because of that blog and the fact that we have now have another season to add to these stats, I have updated these numbers to include the 2012 regular season (and the Broncos loss in the ’12 playoffs).
With Denver’s “one-and-out,” in this year’s playoffs, the case of Peyton’s regular season numbers versus his post-season numbers was again a topic for discussion. I think you’ll see the clear difference in how Peyton’s numbers take a dip when it’s playoff time, whereas Eli’s stats go up in the post-season. Peyton received a lot of mention for MVP for the just-completed season, but Eli has post-season bragging rights with a pair of Super Bowl wins and two Super Bowl MVP trophies to go with those title game wins.
Here’s a quick look at some select stats for both Peyton and Eli in regular season and postseason games. (Regular season stats listed first then playoff stats.)
Wins/losses as starter
Peyton: 154-70 (.688)/9-11 (.450)
Eli: 78-57 (.578)/8-3 (.727)
Completion pct.
Peyton: 65.2%/63.2%
Eli: 58.6%/61.5%
QB Rating
Peyton: 95.7/88.4
Eli: 82.7/89.3
TD/Interception Ratio
Peyton: 436-209 (2.09)/32-21 (1.52)
Eli: 211-144 (1.47)/17-8 (2.11)
TDs per game
Peyton: 436-224 (1.95)/32-20 (1.6)
Eli: 211-137 (1.54)/17-11 (1.5)
Yards per pass attempt
Peyton: 7.6/7.46
Eli: 7.1/7.07
Did you know? Eli is 5-1 in road playoff games; Peyton is 2-5.
“99 Stats Before Kickoff” (Stats you need to know before the start of the 2013 NFL season) is available from e-book publisher Smashwords. Go to www.smashwords.com to download a copy, including a pdf version which can be viewed on your home computer. Cost is $2.99.
99 Stats Until Kickoff (#89) Best individual performances in a Super Bowl loss
Jake Delhomme (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
From May 30 and every day until September 5… the start of the 2013 NFL season… Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ will publish “99 Stats Until Kickoff” a daily dose of NFL stats that will get you ready for the 2013 NFL season.)
We all remember Joe Montana, Dwight Clark and “The Catch.” Or Joe Namath’s guarantee. Or Lynn Swann’s great catch. Or how about Jerry Rice… Bart Starr’s two MVP awards. Yes, we remember the great performances from the teams that won the Super Bowl.
But what about the great performances from players whose team lost? Here’s my list of the 20 best (offensive) performances from players who were on the losing side of the Super Bowl. Had things been a little different, some of these listed may have been hoisting an MVP trophy.
What do you think? Agree? Disagree? Who would be at the top of your list?
1. Jake Delhomme, Carolina, QB (Super Bowl 38; lost to New England 32-29) 16 of 33, 323 yards, three TDs, no interceptions. 113.6 passer rating. Nine of 13 in the fourth quarter for 212 yards and two scores.
2. Thurman Thomas, Buffalo, RB (Super Bowl 25; lost to New York Giants 20-19) 15 rushing attempts for 135 yards, one touchdown. Five receptions for 55 yards. Had 68 yards on four carries in the fourth quarter.
3. Kurt Warner, Arizona, QB (Super Bowl 43; lost to Pittsburgh 27-23) 31 of 43, 377 yards, three TDs and one interception. 112.3 passer rating. Fourteen of 19 in the fourth quarter with two TDs. Second most passing yards in a Super Bowl game.
4. Antonio Freeman, Green Bay, WR (Super Bowl 32; lost to Denver 31-24) Nine catches for 126 yards and two touchdowns. Also returned six kickoffs for 104 yards.
5. Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona, WR (Super Bowl 43, lost to Pittsburgh 27-23) Seven catches for 127 yards and two scores. Six of his seven catches came in the fourth quarter.
6. Eddie George, Tennessee, RB (Super Bowl 34; lost to St. Louis 23-16) Rushed for 92 yards on 28 carries with two touchdowns. Two receptions for 35 yards.
7. Dan Ross, Cincinnati, TE (Super Bowl 16; lost to San Francisco 26-21) Eleven receptions for 104 yards and two touchdowns. Six of his 11 catches and his two TDs came in the fourth quarter. Tied with three other players for most receptions in a Super Bowl game.
8. Andre Reed, Buffalo, WR (Super Bowl 27; lost to Dallas 52-17) Eight catches for 152 yards. Tied for fifth on the all-time list for most receiving yards in a Super Bowl.
9. Tom Matte, Baltimore, RB (Super Bowl 3; lost to New York Jets 16-7) Eleven carries for 116 yards. Two receptions for 30 yards. Second-most rushing yards for a player from the losing team.
10. Joseph Addai, Indianapolis, RB (Super Bowl 44; lost to New Orleans 31-17) Thirteen carries for 77 yards and a touchdown; seven receptions for 58 yards.
11. Brett Favre, Green Bay, QB (Super Bowl 32; lost to Denver 31-24) Completed 25 of 42 passes for 256 yards. Three TDs and one interception. Passer rating of 91.0.
12. Dorsey Levens, Green Bay, RB (Super Bowl 32; lost to Denver 31-24) Nineteen carries for 90 yards; six receptions for 56 yards. Had four runs of 10 yards or more. Had five catches in the fourth quarter.
13. Terrell Owens, Philadelphia, WR (Super Bowl 39; lost to New England 24-21) Nine catches for 122 yards.
14. Muhsin Muhammad, Carolina, WR (Super Bowl 38; lost to New England 32-29) Four receptions for 140 yards (three catches for 117 yards in the fourth quarter).
15. Tony Dorsett, Dallas, RB (Super Bowl 13; lost to Pittsburgh 35-31) Ninety-six yards on 18 carries. Five catches for 44 yards.
16. Roger Staubach, Dallas, QB (Super Bowl 13; lost to Pittsburgh 35-31) Seventeen completions in 30 pass attempts for 228 yards. Three TDs and one interception. Passer rating of 100.4. Rushed for 37 yards on four carries. Completed 11 of 16 with two scores in the final period.
17. Vance Johnson, Denver, WR (Super Bowl 21; lost to New York Giants 39-20) Five receptions for 121 yards. Had catches of 47 and 54 yards.
18. Bill Miller, Oakland, WR (Super Bowl 2; lost to Green Bay 33-14) Had a pair of 23-yard touchdowns. Five catches for 84 yards.
19. Kenny Anderson, Cincinnati, QB (Super Bowl 16; lost to San Francisco 26-21) Completed 25 of 34 passes for 300 yards with two TDs and two picks. Passer rating of 95.2. Rushed for a TD. Completed 10 of 12 with two touchdowns in the fourth quarter.
20. Wes Welker, New England, WR (Super Bowl 42; lost to New York Giants 17-14) Had 11 catches for 103 yards. Also returned a punt 15 yards. Tied with three other players for most receptions in a Super Bowl game.
“99 Stats Before Kickoff” (Stats you need to know before the start of the 2013 NFL season) is available from e-book publisher Smashwords. Go to www.smashwords.com to download a copy, including a pdf version which can be viewed on your home computer. Cost is $2.99.
99 Stats Until Kickoff (#64) One and out in the playoffs
(Photo credit: Wikipedia)
From May 30 and every day until September 5… the start of the 2013 NFL season… Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ will publish “99 Stats Until Kickoff” a daily dose of NFL stats that will get you ready for the 2013 NFL season.)
Five teams that made the playoffs in 2012 had a quick exit from last season’s postseason. Cincinnati, Denver, Indianapolis, Minnesota and Washington each played only one game in the playoffs this season because they lost their first playoff game… a “one and out” experience. For the Bengals, it was the second consecutive season that they lost their first playoff game.
Here’s a look at the teams/franchises that have had the most “one and out” in the NFL playoffs during the Super Bowl era (since 1966).
Playoff seasons with ‘One & Out”
13 Indianapolis/Baltimore Colts, Minnesota
12 Dallas
11 Kansas City
10 Miami, Tennessee/Houston Oilers
9 Denver, Detroit, St. Louis/Los Angeles Rams
8 Cincinnati, Cleveland, New England, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh
7 Buffalo, Chicago
6 Atlanta, Green Bay, New York Giants, New York Jets, San Francisco, Tampa Bay, Washington
5 New Orleans, San Diego, Seattle
3 Arizona/St. Louis Cardinals, Oakland/Los Angeles Raiders
2 Baltimore Ravens, Jacksonville
1 Carolina
0 Houston Texans
Did you know? Three NFL franchises experienced three straight “One & Out” postseasons. Detroit went one and out in the playoffs in 1993, 1994 and 1995; the Baltimore Colts went one and out in 1975, 1976 and 1977; and Philadelphia went one and out in 1988, 1989 and 1990.
The Indianapolis Colts have the most “one and out” appearances in the NFL playoffs since 2000. The Colts have been one and out seven times since 2000. The Cincinnati Bengals, Green Bay Packers, New York Giants and Tampa Bay Bucs have each been one and out four times since 2000.
“99 Stats Before Kickoff” (Stats you need to know before the start of the 2013 NFL season) is available from e-book publisher Smashwords. Go to www.smashwords.com to download a copy, including a pdf version which can be viewed on your home computer. Cost is $2.99.
99 Stats Until Kickoff (#53) How many points does it take to win a playoff game?
From May 30 and every day until September 5… the start of the 2013 NFL season… Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ will publish “99 Stats Until Kickoff” a daily dose of NFL stats that will get you ready for the 2013 NFL season.)
(Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Looking at the 444 playoff games that have been played in the Super Bowl era (since 1966), here is a breakdown of win-loss records when teams scored a certain range of points.
Points, Record
0-9 points 3-107 .027
10-19 points 63-205 .235
20-29 points 192-112 .632
30-39 points 134-19 .876
40-49 points 43-1 .977
50 points or more 9-0 1.000
Here’s a few more stats:
* The most frequent score in the playoffs has been 17 points, which has happened in 69 of the 444 playoff games since 1966.
* Teams that scored 25 or more points in a playoff game since 1966 have won 263 and lost 49 (a .843 winning percentage).
* Teams were 66-312 (.175) when they scored under 20 points in a playoff game since ’66.
* Teams that scored 25-plus points in the 2012 playoffs were 7-5; teams that scored under 20 points were 1-5.
* Most points scored in a playoff game (since 1966) to lose a game is 45. Green Bay Packers’ fans will remember that loss to the Arizona Cardinals in the first round of the 2009 playoffs.
* Three teams that scored 30 or more points in last year’s postseason lost games: Denver, Green Bay and San Francisco (in the Super Bowl). This was only the second time in an NFL playoff season that three teams that scored 30-plus points in a game lost that contest. The first time was this happened was during the 2002 postseason.
“99 Stats Before Kickoff” (Stats you need to know before the start of the 2013 NFL season) is available from e-book publisher Smashwords. Go to www.smashwords.com to download a copy, including a pdf version which can be viewed on your home computer. Cost is $2.99
2012 NFL schedule: How 2011 playoff teams impact the schedules?
Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ is a sports statistics blog published multiple times weekly focusing on stats that go beyond the numbers.
(Photo credit: Wikipedia)
The 2012 National Football League schedule has been released and experts and fans alike are analyzing the games and dates. Here’s my evaluation of the schedules based on the number of last year’s playoff teams that each team plays on its 2012 schedule. Each NFL team plays 16 games against 13 different opponents. Denver, the New York Giants and Philadelphia each play seven 2011 playoff teams this season, most in the league.
First is a look at how many 2011 playoff teams are on each teams’ schedule. After that is a quick breakdown of how those games against last season’s playoff teams fit into the structure of each teams’2012 schedule.
Note: For those of you who have forgotten, here are the 2011 playoff teams: AFC-New England, Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Cincinnati, Houston and Denver; NFC-New York Giants, Green Bay, Detroit, New Orleans, Atlanta and San Francisco.
Number of 2011 playoff teams on 2012 schedule, Teams
7: Denver, New York Giants, Philadelphia
6: Baltimore, Dallas, Kansas City, Oakland, San Diego, Washington
5: Arizona, Cleveland, Green Bay, Houston, Indianapolis, Jacksonville, New Orleans, San Francisco, Tennessee
4: Atlanta, Carolina, Chicago, Cincinnati, Detroit, Miami, Minnesota, New England, New York Jets, Pittsburgh, St. Louis, Seattle, Tampa Bay
3: Buffalo
Here’s a snapshot look at each team and some interesting notes about their 2012 schedule and the 2011 playoff opponents on their ’12 schedule
Arizona-Play three straight games against 2011 playoff teams (San Francisco, Green Bay and Atlanta).
Atlanta-Only play two 2011 playoff teams in their first 11 games; they play New York Giants and Detroit in Weeks #15 and #16.
Baltimore-With two games apiece against division foes/fellow 2011 playoff teams Pittsburgh and Cincinnati, half of their 16 games in 2012 are against 2011 playoff teams.
Buffalo-Their last game against a 2011 playoff team is Week #11 against New England.
Carolina-Three of their first four games are against 2011 playoff teams.
Chicago-They face three 2011 playoff teams in a five-week span starting 22.
Cincinnati-Face off against Denver and the New York Giants at home the first two games in November after their bye week.
Cleveland-Half of their 16 games in 2012 are against 2011 playoff teams.
Dallas-Play Cincinnati, Pittsburgh and New Orleans in three consecutive weeks in December.
Denver-NFL schedulemakers are going to make Peyton Manning work early in the schedule: six of their first eight games are against 2011 playoff teams, including four of their first five.
Detroit-Play 2011 playoff teams Green Bay and Houston in five days in November.
Green Bay-Three away games against 2011 playoff teams in six weeks between Week #6 and Week #12.
Houston-Have Green Bay and Baltimore in back-to-back weeks in October.
Indianapolis-Four games in five weeks against 2011 playoff teams from Nov. 18 to Dec. 16.
Jacksonville-Face NFC Central teams Green Bay and Detroit in consecutive weeks (Week #8 and Week #9).
Kansas City-Brutal three-game stretch when they play Pittsburgh, Cincinnati and Denver in three consecutive weeks.
Miami-Open december with back-to-back games against New England and San Francisco.
Minnesota-Two of their first four games are against 2011 playoff teams.
New England-Do not face a 2011 playoff team from Oct.14 to Dec. 2.
New Orleans-Play San Francisco, Atlanta and New York Giants in three consecutive weeks.
New York Giants-In an eight-week stretch from Nov. 4 to Dec. 23, they play six 2011 playoff teams, Washington, and have a bye.
New York Jets-Four of their first seven games are against 2011 playoff teams. A rematch against division foe New England is the only 2011 playoff team they face over the last 10 weeks of the season.
Oakland-Six of their nine games from Sept. 23 to Nov. 25 are against 2011 playoff teams.
Philadelphia-The first half of their season is against six 2011 playoff teams.
Pittsburgh-Open against Denver and then don’t play a 2011 playoff team until Week #7.
St. Louis-Play Green Bay and New England prior to their bye and then face San Francisco after their bye.
San Diego-Play the three AFC Central playoff teams (Pittsburgh, Baltimore and Cincinnati) in three straight weeks (Weeks #12, #13, #14).
San Francisco-Open the season against NFC Central playoff teams Green Bay and Detroit.
Seattle-Last three games in October are against 2011 playoff teams New England, San Francisco and Detroit.
Tampa Bay-Back-to-back games against 2011 playoff teams Atlanta and Denver in Weeks #12 and #13.
Tennessee-Four of their first six games are against 2011 playoff teams.
Washington-Five of their eight games the first half of the season are against 2011 playoff teams.
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