Tag Archives: Green Bay Packers

Today’s Sports Stat: August 6, 2018

Based on the opponents on the Green Bay Packers 2018 schedule, is QB Aaron Rodgers likely to have a great, good, or challenging season?

In 142 regular season starts with the Pack, Rodgers has a 94-48 record. His career Passer Rating is 103.8, and he has completed 65.1% of his passes. With those numbers as the foundation, let’s take a look the teams against which he has had the best, and worst, career stats.

First, Passer Rating. Of the 10 teams that Rodgers has his best career regular season Passer Rating, five are on the 2018 schedule… a good sign for Packers fans. Of the 10 teams that Rodgers has the worst Passer Rating, only two are on the schedule this year.

Here are the Top 10 and Bottom 10 for Rodgers with regards to regular season Passer Ratings. (A * indicates that team is on the Packers 2018 schedule.)

Top 10
Cleveland 135.0
L.A. Chargers 132.5
Houston 122.4
Atlanta 112.2*
Denver 110.8
Kansas City 113.3
Minnesota 111.7*
L.A. Rams 117.5*
Washington 112.0*
Detroit 109.4*

Considering that the Packers will play the Vikings and Lions twice, the above means that Rodgers will play seven of his (hopefully) 16 games this season against teams that he has had success (or at least success, statistically speaking, in Passer Rating).

Bottom 10
Buffalo 67.8*
Baltimore 77.9
Oakland 80.9
Cincinnati 83.3
Tampa Bay 84.4
New York Jets 87.4
Tennessee 92.1
Jacksonville 93.0
Miami 93.0*
New England 95.4

For the record, Rodgers has a 106.1 Passer Rating in NFC games and a 97.3 Passer Rating in AFC contests.

Secondly, Rodgers is undefeated in his regular season starts versus five teams, two of which (Jets and Rams) are on the 2018 schedule. Rodgers is 4-0 against the Rams, and 2-0 against the Browns, Raiders, Jets and Chargers. He has a losing regular season record (under .500) against seven foes: Atlanta (2-4), Carolina (2-3), Cincinnati (1-2), Indianapolis (1-2), Pittsburgh (0-1), Tennessee (1-2) and Washington (1-2). Of this list of seven opponents, two are on the ’18 schedule… the Falcons and Redskins.

Finally, Rodgers regular season completion rate is 66.7% against NFC opponents and 60.5% versus AFC foes. Of the five teams that he has his best career pass completion percentage, only one (Atlanta) is on the schedule this season; of the five teams that he has his worst pass completion percentage, Rodgers will face four of them this season, Buffalo, the Jets, New England and Miami, ironically all AFC East squads.

Here are the Top 5 and Bottom 5 teams for Rodgers when it comes to pass completion percentage in his career.

Top Five
Cleveland 71.4%
Denver 71.7%
New Orleans 70.0%
Atlanta 68.9%
Seattle 68.6%

Bottom Five
Buffalo 50.7%
New York Jets 52.6%

Pittsburgh 54.2%
New England 56.0%
Miami 56.0%

 

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

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Today’s Sports Stat: July 30, 2018

Davante Adams goes into the 2018 NFL season as the #1 receiver on the Green Bay Packers depth charts. Over the past two seasons, Adams has caught 22 TD passes, 12 in 2016 and 10 last season.

The interesting thing about Adams’ stat line over the past two campaigns is that while he had 10 or more TD receptions in the last two seasons, he did not reach the 1,000-yard milestone in either of those seasons. Adams had 997 yards receiving in 2016 and 885 in 2017.

Adams was one of two receivers in the NFL last season to have 10 or more TD receptions with less than 1,000 yards receiving. The other? New Packers tight end Jimmy Graham; he had 10 TD catches and only 520 receiving yards for the Seattle Seahawks.

Adams became only the sixth receiver in NFL history to have 10 or more TD receptions and less than 1,000 yards receiving in consecutive seasons. He joined Bob Hayes (1967, 1968), Nat Moore (1977, 1978), Daryl Turner (1984, 1985), Stephone Paige (1985, 1986) and Julius Thomas (2013, 2014).

Adams also became the 76th player in the Super Bowl era to have at least one season with 10 or more TD receptions with less than 1,000 yards receiving. It has happened 96 times since 1966 with 17 players doing it multiple times since that year.

Here are the 17 players with two or more NFL seasons with 10 or more TD receptions and less than 1,000 receiving yards since 1966.

3: Antonio Gates, Bob Hayes, Paul Warfield

2: Davante Adams, Bob Chandler, Gary Collins, Vernon Davis, Al Denson, Tony Gonzalez, Jimmy Graham, Rob Gronkowski, Nat Moore, Stephone Paige, Lynn Swann, Julius Thomas, Daryl Thomas, Wesley Walls

Adams is the fifth Packers receiver since 1966 with a 10-TD season without reaching the 1,000-yard receiving milestone… Paul Coffman did it in 1983 (11 TD catches, 814 yards), Keith Jackson did it in 1996 (10 TD catches, 505 yards), Greg Jennings did it in 2007 (12 TD catches, 920 yards) and James Jones did it in 2012 (14 TD catches, 784 yards).

 

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Today’s Sports Stat: July 23, 2018

The Green Bay Packers have had Mike McCarthy as their head coach for 12 seasons. During that time the team has compiled a 121-70-1 record.

Did you know that in the McCarthy era the Packers have their best record in Game #6 and Game #13 contests (both 10-2) and their worst record in Game #8 contests (4-8)? In fact, there are games where the Packers are not above .500 in the past 12 years… Game #5, Game #8, Game #11 and Game #14

Here’s a look at the Packers record in each of the 16 games of the season since McCarthy took over as head coach.

Game #1: 8-4
Game #2: 8-4
Game #3: 7-5
Game #4: 9-3
Game #5: 6-6
Game #6: 10-2
Game #7: 8-4
Game #8: 4-8
Game #9: 8-4
Game #10: 8-4
Game #11: 5-6-1
Game #12: 8-4
Game #13: 10-2
Game #14: 6-6
Game #15: 7-5
Game #16: 9-3

Looking at this year’s schedule, the Packers play a pair of home games for Games #6 and #13; they play the 49ers at home in game #6 and Arizona at Lambeau Field in Game #13.

In the four games where they are not above .500, the Pack in 2018 play the Lions in Detroit in Game #5, the Rams in Los Angeles in Game #8, the Seahawks in Seattle in Game #11, and are at home against the Atlanta Falcons in Game #14.

 

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Today’s Sports Stat: May 6, 2018

Green Bay Packers fans were a little surprised when they used one of their draft picks on a punter. But based on history, the Pack’s selection of punter JK Scott (Alabama) in the fifth round of the NFL Draft should not have come as a surprise.

Yes, drafting a punter is not a common choice of teams, especially in these days where the draft is only seven rounds. But the history of the draft has shown that punters do have their place in the draft.

Here are 12 stats you may not know about punters being taken in the draft.

  • According to Pro Football Reference.com there have been 169 punters drafted in the NFL since 1959.
  • There were four punters drafted in this year’s draft. The highest choice was Michael Dickson by Seattle in the fifth round with the 149th pick. The Packers chose Scott with the 172 pick in that round.
  • In their team history, the Packers have drafted 13 different punters. Six of them played at least one regular season game in the league.
  • Of the 169 punters drafted into the league, 122 played at least one regular season game.
  • The highest punter selected in the draft was Russell Erxelben by the New Orleans Saints in 1979. He was selected in the first round, the 11th pick. The only other first round selection of a punter was in 1973 when the Oakland Raiders picked Ray Guy with the 23rd pick in the first round. (Note: Erxelben was also a placekicker.)
  • Here’s a by-round (rounds one through seven) breakdown of when punters have been picked in the draft since 1959: First Round-2; Second Round-4; Third Round-14; Fourth Round-13; Fifth Round-26; Sixth Round-17; Seventh Round-18.
  • The highest selection of a punter by the Packers was in 1981 when they selected Michigan State punter Ray Stachowicz with the 62nd pick in the third round. The Packers also selected Ohio State punter BJ Sander in the third round with the 87th pick in the 2004 draft.
  • In NFL Draft history, the Packers have selected the most punters, 13. They are followed by the New York Jets with 11 and the San Francisco 49ers with 10.
  • The University of Tennessee has had the most punters drafted with seven. They are followed by Michigan State, Mississippi and UCLA with five each.
  • The Wisconsin Badgers have had one punter drafted: Brad Nortman. He was chosen in the 2012 draft by the Carolina Panthers in the sixth round (207th pick).
  • The most punters chosen in an NFL Draft was in 1978 and 1979. There were seven punters chosen in each of those drafts. It’s important to remember that the NFL Draft years ago lasted upwards of 19 rounds. The draft these days lasts only seven rounds.
  • The most successful punter ever drafted by the Packers was probably Josh Bidwell. He was drafted by the Packers in the fourth round of the 1999 draft, but was diagnosed with testicular cancer and did not begin his NFL career until the 2000 season. He played four seasons with the Packers and then had five years in Tampa Bay before he ended his career with four games with the Redskins. He played in 148 NFL games and was a Pro Bowl selection in 2005 with Tampa Bay.

 

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Today’s Sports Stat: March 17, 2018

Now that the Philadelphia Eagles have won their first Super Bowl, when will they win their second one? Could they go back-to-back? Or, will they sit on one Super Bowl victory for many years?

Let’s take a look with a little historical perspective to try to explore the above questions. First, the Eagles, by winning Super Bowl #52, became the 20th NFL franchise (of the 32) to win a Super Bowl. Of those 20, 12 have won two or more Super Bowls and eight have won just one. That means that 12 of the current franchises have never won a Super Bowl; of those 12, four have never even made it to the Super Bowl… Cleveland, Detroit, Houston and Jacksonville.

Of the 12 franchises that have won two or more Super Bowls, let’s focus on when they won their first Super Bowl and when they won their second:

  • Four teams won their first and second Super Bowls in back-to-back years… Pittsburgh, Green Bay, Denver and Miami.
  • Five teams won their first and second Super Bowls within six years of each other… New England (two years), San Francisco (three years), New York Giants (four years), the Raiders (four years), Washington (five years), Dallas (six years).
  • Two teams won their first and second Super Bowls more than 10 years from each other… Colts (36 years), Ravens (12 years).

It was mentioned above that the Eagles are now one of eight franchises that has won one Super Bowl. Here’s a look at when the other seven franchises won their one and only Super Bowl.

New York Jets (won Super Bowl #3)
Kansas City Chiefs (won Super Bowl #4)
Chicago (won Super Bowl #20)
Rams (won Super Bowl #34)
Tampa Bay (won Super Bowl #37)
New Orleans (won Super Bowl #44)
Seattle (won Super Bowl #48)

What does all this mean? The 12 teams that have won multiple Super Bowls won their first and second Super Bowls within an average of about six years. Take away the Rams 36-year wait for their second Super Bowl title and the average wait for Super Bowl win #2 averages just over three years.

The Eagles could, however, go the route of the Jets and Chiefs and spend nearly a half-century waiting for their second Super Bowl crown.

When will the Eagles win (or will they ever win) their second Super Bowl? There is no secret formula we can plug in. As someone once said, “That’s why they play the games.”

 

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp