If you are an NFL fan who likes parity and close games, then you have to like what has happened in the league through the first 14 games (15 weeks) of this season.
Consider this: Of the 224 games that have been played in the NFL through Week 15 (games through December 17), 121 games have been decided by one score… eight points or less. If you add the fact that there have been two games that ended in a tie that brings that number to 123. That means that 123 of the 224 games played so far in 2018, or 55%, have been decided by one score.
There have been a few teams that have lost each of their games this year by eight points or less. Topping the list are the Seattle Seahawks. They have lost six games this season, all by eight points or less; their losses have been by 3, 7, 2, 8, 5 and 3 points in 2018.
The Carolina Panthers top the league this season with the most losses by eight points or less this year with seven.
Here’s a look at what percentage of losses each NFL team have suffered this season have been by eight points or less.
100%: Seattle (6 of 6); Chicago (4 of 4); Houston (4 of 4); Kansas City (3 of 3); New Orleans (2 of 2)
88%: Carolina (7 of 8)
86%: Philadelphia (6 of 7)
80%: Pittsburgh (4 of 5)
75%: Denver (6 of 8); Green Bay (6 of 8)
67%: N.Y. Giants (6 of 9); Baltimore (4 of 6); Indianapolis (4 of 6);
60%: Jacksonville (6 of 10)
55%: Tampa Bay (5 of 9)
50%: N.Y. Jets (5 of 10); San Francisco (5 of 10); Dallas (3 of 6); Tennessee (3 of 6)
44%: Atlanta (4 of 9); Detroit (4 of 9)
43%: Cleveland (3 of 7)
40%: New England (2 of 5)
37%: Cincinnati (3 of 8)
33%: Buffalo (3 of 9); Minnesota (2 of 6); L.A. Chargers (1 of 3); L.A. Rams (1 of 3)
29%: Washington (2 of 7)
27%: Arizona (3 of 11); Oakland (3 of 11)
14%: Miami (1 of 7)
The most one-score losses the Packers have had in a season are eight. That happened in 2005 when the team suffered eight of their 12 losses by eight points or less. They lost seven one-score games in 2008 and lost six one-score games in 1984, 1991 and 2010 (in addition to this season).
The 1984 Cleveland Browns hold the NFL record for most losses by four points or less in a season with eight. New England (1993), Houston (1994), Carolina (2001) and the 2008 Packers are tied for second with seven losses by four points or less in a season. This year’s Pack has three losses by four points or less.
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PACKERSTATS-Game #14-2018 season
Written and Compiled by Jerry Tapp
Here are some of the numbers that helped define the Packers 24-17 loss to the Chicago Bears on December 16.
- Prior to last Sunday’s contest, the Packers had won five straight over the Bears in December games. Green Bay is 15-5 versus the Bears in December games since 1994.
- Prior to the game against the Packers, the Bears had lost seven straight at home in December when the temperature was 45 degrees or higher. It was 45 degrees at game time.
- Aaron Rodgers was sacked five times in the contest. Green Bay is now 3-16 since 2010 in games where the QB is sacked five or more times.
- Chicago scored first in the game. Since 1940, the Bears are 24-51-1 (.322) against the Packers when they score first in the game.
- The Pack did not score in the first quarter and have now lost eight of their last nine games when they do not score in the first quarter. Green Bay is 45-53 (.459) since 2000 in games when they do not score in the first quarter.
- Green Bay’s Mason Crosby made three field goals in the game. That’s usually good news for the Pack; the team is now 32-8-1 (.793) in games when Crosby connects on three or more field goals in a game.
- Green Bay was behind 14-3 at halftime. Since 2000, the Packers are 3-23 (.115) in road games when they are behind by 10 points or more at halftime.
- Jamaal Williams has a rushing TD in the game, the only TD scored by the Packers. The team is only 2-4 in games where Williams scores a rushing TD.
- The score was tied at 14-14 going into the fourth quarter. Green Bay has now lost five straight games on the road when the score is tied going into the fourth quarter.
- The Pack had one turnover in the game, an interception by Aaron Rodgers. The team is 2-2-1 in games this season when they do not have a turnover; they are 3-6 in games where they had at least one turnover.
- Rodgers had a Passer Rating of 68.9 in the game. Green Bay is 3-11 in games started by Rodgers where he had a Passer Rating below 70. It was the second worst Passer Rating Rodgers had in his career in a game against the Bears.
- Chicago QB Mitch Trubisky had a Passer Rating of 120.4 in the game. It was the seventh highest Passer Rating for a Chicago Bears QB in a game against the Packers in history (minimum of 10 pass attempts). He was the first QB with a Passer Rating above 120 against Green Bay since Cade McNown had a Passer Rating of 123.5 against the Pack in a game on October 1, 2000.
- Rodgers streak of no interceptions ended with 403 pass attempts. He now has two interceptions this season (with 23 TD passes). Tom Brady holds the NFL record for most TD passes in a season with only two interceptions with 28 (he did it in 2016). Second on the list is Nick Foles who had 27 TD passes and only two interceptions in 2013.
- Davante Adams had eight receptions for 119 yards, his fifth 100-yard receiving game this season. Robert Brooks holds the team record with nine 100-yard receiving games in 1995. Adams, if he reaches the 100-yard mark in each of the final two games, could tie Jordy Nelson and Sterling Sharpe for second on the list; Nelson had seven 100-yard games in 2014, Sharpe had seven 100-yard games in 1992.
- Scoring under 20 points in a game versus the Bears has not been a good omen for the Pack: since 1940, Green Bay is 17-63 (.213) in games against Bears when they tally less than 20 points.
Three teams (Arizona, Oakland and San Francisco) have already lost 10 games in this NFL season. With three games remaining for each of the league’s 32 teams, another 14 teams have at least seven losses and could finish the season with 10 (or more) losses.
In addition to the three teams mentioned above, here are the 14 other teams that could end the 2018 campaign with double-digit losses (current number of losses noted below):
7: Carolina, Cleveland, Denver, Green Bay, Philadelphia, Washington
8: Cincinnati, Detroit, New York Giants, Tampa Bay
9: Atlanta, Buffalo, Jacksonville, New York Jets
There are currently five teams that have not lost 10 or more games in a season this decade: Green Bay, New England, New Orleans, PIttsburgh and Seattle. Of these five, the only team in danger of losing 10 or more this season are the Packers; they would have to lose all three of their remaining games to reach 10 losses for the season.
The Patriots hold the mark for longest time since losing 10 or more games in season. They last lost double-digits in a season in 2000.
Here are the last seasons each of the 32 NFL teams lost 10 or more games in a season (through games of December 10, 2018).
2000: New England
2005: New Orleans
2008: Green Bay
2012: Detroit, Kansas City, Philadelphia
2013: Buffalo, Minnesota
2014: Atlanta, Washington
2015: Baltimore, Dallas, Tennessee
2016: Carolina, Jacksonville, Los Angeles Chargers, Los Angeles Rams
2017: Chicago, Cleveland, Denver, Houston, Indianapolis, Miami, New York Giants, New York Jets, Tampa Bay
2018: Arizona, Oakland, San Francisco
Written and Compiled by Jerry Tapp
Here are some of the numbers that helped define the Packers 34-20 win over the Atlanta Falcons on December 9.
- It was 26 degrees at game time. Since 2010, the Packers are 17-5-1 (.761 winning percentage) in games where the temperature is below 32 degrees at game time.
- Green Bay is now 12-5 (.706) since 2000 against the NFC South.
- The Packers now have an 18-16 lead in the all-time series against the Falcons (that includes a 2-2 record in the playoffs). Since 2010, Green Bay has won five of the nine games versus Atlanta.
- The Packers won the coin toss and are now 30-7-1 (.803) in games at Lambeau Field since 2010 when they win the coin toss.
- Atlanta scored first in the game. The Pack is 11-21 (.344) since 2014 in games when the other team scores first.
- Atlanta’s Julio Jones had eight receptions for 108 yards. It was his third career game against the Packers where he had 100 or more yards receiving. He is the 12th player in history to have three or more 100-yard receiving games against Green Bay. Randy Moss tops the list with seven.
- Davante Adams had another TD reception in the game, his 10th game this year with a TD reception. With three games remaining, Adams has a shot at the Green Bay record which is 11 games with a TD reception. Jordy Nelson had a TD in 11 games in 2016; Sterling Sharpe had TD catches in 11 games in 1992 and 1994.
- Bashaud Breeland had a TD on an interception, the first “Pick-6” for the Packers since Damarious Randall on October 8, 2017. The Packers have now won 16 straight when they have a player score a TD on an interception.
- Mason Crosby had a pair of field goals in the game giving him 301 for his career. He became the 31st kicker in NFL history to reach 300 made field goals in a career. His 80.1% field goal percentage ranks 20th of the 31 kickers who have 300 or more career field goals made. Three other kickers who played for Green Bay are also on the list of those with 300 or more career field goals: Ryan Longwell, Al Del Greco and Jan Stenerud.
- The Packers had a 20-7 lead at halftime. They have now won 29 straight games when they score 20 or more points by halftime in home games. Since 2000, Green Bay is 40-2 (.952) in home games when they score 20 or more points in the first half.
- Aaron Rodgers had 44 yards rushing in the game. That’s the most yards rushing for ARod in a game this season and the most since he had 60 yards rushing in a game on October 30, 2016… also a game against the Falcons.
- Randall Cobb was on the receiving end of a Rodgers TD pass. It was the 33rd game that Cobb caught a TD pass; Green Bay is 23-10 (.697) in those games.
- Rodgers broke the NFL record for most passes without an interception with 358 pass attempts. To put that record in perspective, there have been 930 times when a QB has passed 358 or more times in an NFL season. The fewest interceptions by a QB with 358 or more pass attempts in a season are two by Tom Brady in 2016. Of those 930 QBs with 358 or more pass attempts in an NFL season, 806 of those QBs had at last 10 interceptions that season.
- Clay Matthews had a sack. Green Bay is 45-18-1 (.711) in games when Matthews has at least a half-sack or more in a contest.
- Green Bay had scored 34 points heading into the fourth quarter. They have won 94 of their last 98 games where they had 30 or more points on the scoreboard heading into the fourth quarter.
- Breeland became the 12th Packer since 2002 to have an interception and fumble recovery in the same game for the team.
- Aaron Jones had a rushing TD for the fifth straight game. He became the 110th player in NFL history to have a rushing TD in five straight games. Other Packers on the list: Paul Hornung (7 straight games), Ryan Grant and Terdell Middleton (six straight games each). The NFL record is 18 straight games with a rushing TD by LaDainian Tomlinson.
- Rodgers had two TD passes and no interceptions in the game. It was the 69th game in his career that he had at least two TD passes and no interceptions in a game. He is fifth in this stat in the league; Tom Brady has 100 games, Drew Brees 77, Brett Favre 74 and Peyton Manning 73. Green Bay is 59-10 (.855) in games when Rodgers has two or more TD passes with no interceptions in a game.
- The Pack has now won 15 straight at home when they tally 30 or more points in a game. The team is 57-3 (.950) since 2000 at home when they reach the 30 point mark.
- Green Bay had zero turnovers. They are 38-4-2 (.886) at home since 2000 when they do not have a turnover in the game.
PACKERSTATS-Game #12-2018 season
Written and Compiled by Jerry Tapp
Here are some of the numbers that helped define the Packers 20-17 loss to the Arizona Cardinals on December 2.
One of the frustrating aspects of statistics is that what can seem obvious isn’t always the case. Based on the history and stats entering the game against the Arizona Cardinals, there was no way the Cards would beat the Pack, at least that’s what the numbers “told us.” But as we have all learned, “that’s why they play the game” and don’t just trust the stats.
Prior to the game Sunday against the Cardinals…
… the Packers had been 11-2 at home in the Mike McCarthy era (since 2006) against the NFC West and they had won six straight;
… the team was 22-4 in home games in December since 2006;
… the Packers had won eight of their last nine games that were the 12th game of the season;
… Green Bay had won eight straight at home versus the Cardinals, who had not beaten the Packers in Green Bay since 1949.
- It was Aaron Rodgers birthday. He is now 1-1 on his birthday. He won on December 2, 2012 versus the Vikings on his birthday.
- The temperature was 34 at game time. The Cardinals have now won four straight in games where the temperature is below 40 degrees. They are 4-8 in such games since 2000.
- Green Bay has now lost seven of their last games when they do not score in the first quarter. The Packers are 45-52 (.489) since 2000 in games where they do not score in the first quarter. They are 22-18 (.550) since 2000 in home games when they do not score in the first quarter.
- Davante Adams has caught 85 passes this year; he has been targeted 127 times… that’s a percentage of 66.7. That’s the highest catch percentage of his career.
- Mason Crosby missed a last-second field goal in the game. Green Bay is 0-3-1 this season when Crosby misses a field goal in the game. They are 5-9-1 since 2015 in games when Crosby misses a field goal.
- The Packers held a three-point lead at halftime, 10-7. The team is now 61-4-1 at home since 2006 when they have the lead at halftime.
- Jimmy Graham had eight receptions in the game, the most in a game for the Packers. It is the most receptions he has had in a game since he had eight for the Seattle Seahawks in a game on November 7, 2016.
- Rookie running back Chase Edmonds had a pair of TDs for the Cards. It was the first time that a rookie had two TDs in a game versus the Packers since Robert Kelley had three for the Washington Redskins in a game on November 20, 2016.
- Green Bay was behind 17-10 going into the fourth quarter. The Packers are now 14-35-1 (.290) since 2000 in games at Lambeau when they are trailing going into the fourth quarter.
- Aaron Jones has scored a TD in five of his last six games for the Pack.
- The Packers are now 4-7-1 for the season. The last time the Packers ended the season with only four wins was in 2005, Mike Sherman’s last season and the year prior to Mike McCarthy taking over the head coaching duties.
- Rookie Arizona QB Josh Rosen became the seventh rookie QB to defeat the Packers in game since 2000. The others six: Dak Prescott, Andrew Luck, Russell Wilson, Josh Freeman, Matt Ryan and Kyle Orton.
- The Packers have now lost 10 of their last 11 home games when they score fewer than 20 points. Since 2000, the Packers are 14-22 (.389) in games at Lambeau when they score less than 20 points.
- Aaron Rodgers attempted 50 passes in the game, the sixth time in his career that he had 50 or more pass attempts in a contest. The Packers are 1-5 in such games.