Tag Archives: Green Bay

99 Stats Until Kickoff (#68) SIX STATS you might not know about… the NFL’s Wild Card Weekend

The NFL Green Bay Packers in the shotgun forma...

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

From May 30 and every day until September 5… the start of the 2013 NFL season… Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ will publish “99 Stats Until Kickoff” a daily dose of NFL stats that will get you ready for the 2013 NFL season.)

In 2002, the NFL realigned into four divisions in each conference. In addition, the playoffs were adjusted to include the four division winners and two wild card teams in each conference. This is the current playoff system in the NFL.

The first weekend of the NFL playoffs feature two wild card teams from the AFC and two from the NFC playing the division winners in their conference with the third and fourth best records of the four division champs. This first weekend is commonly referred to as “Wild Card Weekend” (WCW).

Let’s look at some stats from “Wild Card Weekend” since that 2002 realignment… a total of 44 games.

1. The home team holds a 26-18 (a .591 winning percentage) record in WCW play. The only two years since 2002 when the home teams won all four games the first weekend of the playoffs were in 2006 and 2011. Home teams are 7-1 in the last two years of the WCW.

2. Having a better record than your opponent on WCW doesn’t matter. Teams with a better record than the opposition on WCW are 19-17 (there have been eight games between teams with the same record).

3. Eighteen of the 44 Wild Card Weekend games since 2002 have been decided by eight points or less.

4. Teams that won the first weekend went on to win the next week 16 of 44 times. In 2008, three teams that won on WCW also won the following week, most of any year.

5. Teams that scored 30 or more points on WCW since 2002 have won 19 and lost four, an .826 winning percentage.

6. Eight teams that played on WCW since 2002 have made it to the Super Bowl: Carolina (2003), Pittsburgh (2005), Indianapolis (2006), New York Giants (2007), Arizona (2008), Green Bay (2010), New York Giants (2011) and Baltimore (2012). Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, the Giants (in both 2007 and 2011) Green Bay and Baltimore won the Super Bowl those years. The last three Super Bowl champs have come from teams that played on Wild Card Weekend.

“99 Stats Before Kickoff” (Stats you need to know before the start of the 2013 NFL season) is available from e-book publisher Smashwords. Go to www.smashwords.com to download a copy, including a pdf version which can be viewed on your home computer. Cost is $2.99.

SIX STATS you might not know about… the NFL’s Wild Card Weekend

The NFL Green Bay Packers in the shotgun forma...

Image via Wikipedia

“SIX STATS…” is a bonus feature of Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ and is published every Friday.

In 2002, the NFL realigned into four divisions in each conference. In addition, the playoffs were adjusted to include the four division winners and two wild card teams in each conference. This is the current playoff system in the NFL.

The first weekend of the NFL playoffs feature the two wild card teams in the AFC and NFC playing the division winners with the third and fourth best records of the four division champs. This first weekend is commonly referred to as “Wild Card Weekend” (WCW).

Today’s blog will look back at some stats from “Wild Card Weekend” since that 2002 realignment… a total of 36 games.

1. The home team holds a 19-17 record in WCW play. The only year since 2002 that the home team won all four games the first weekend of the playoffs was in 2006. Home teams are only 7-9 in the last four years of the WCW.

2. Having a better record than your opponent on WCW doesn’t matter. Teams with a better record than the opposition on WCW are 14-14 (there have been eight games between teams with the same record).

3. Sixteen of the 36 Wild Card Weekend games since 2002 have been decided by eight points or less.

4. Teams that won the first weekend went on to win the next week on 14 occasions. In 2008, three teams that won on WCW also won the following week.

5. Teams that scored 30 or more points on WCW since 2002 have won 17 and lost four.

6. Six teams that played on WCW since 2002 have made it to the Super Bowl: Carolina (2003), Pittsburgh (2005), Indianapolis (2006), New York Giants (2007), Arizona (2008), Green Bay (2010). Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, the Giants and Green Bay won the Super Bowl those years.

BONUS STAT

How well did this year’s 12 playoff teams do against each other? Following are the records of the 12 playoff teams in regular season games against each other.

6-0: Baltimore, Green Bay

5-1: New Orleans

4-1: San Francisco

3-2: Houston

3-4: Pittsburgh

1-2: New England

1-3: Denver, New York Giants

1-4: Atlanta

1-5: Detroit

0-7: Cincinnati

How well did the teams that did not make the playoffs do against the 12 playoff teams during the regular season?

2-2: Washington

2-3: Buffalo

3-5: Tennessee

2-4: Kansas City, Oakland, San Diego

2-5: Chicago, Seattle

2-6: Tampa Bay

1-4: Dallas, Philadelphia

1-5: Arizona

1-6: Carolina, Jacksonville

1-7: Indianapolis, St. Louis

0-5: Miami, New York Jets

0-7: Minnesota

0-8: Cleveland

SIX STATS you might not know about… Super Bowl champs and Green Bay’s quest to repeat

The San Francisco 49ers' Super Bowl XXIX troph...

Image via Wikipedia

“SIX STATS…” is a bonus feature of Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ and is published every Friday.

1. The Packers have scored 20 or more points in each of their 12 games this season. If they score 20 or more points in their remaining four games and win the Super Bowl, they would become only the third Super Bowl champion in history to score 20 or more points in every regular season game during their Super Bowl season. The other two: St. Louis Rams, 1999; Los Angeles Raiders, 1983.

2. Green Bay has allowed 30 or more points in three of their wins in 2011. Should the Pack win the Super Bowl, they would become the first Super Bowl champs to win three regular season games when allowing 30 or more points. The 2007 New York Giants and the 1983 L.A. Raiders each allowed 30 or more points in five regular season games in the year they won the Super Bowl. The Giants lost all five of those games; the Raiders lost four of those five games.

3. Green Bay is 5-0 in home games this year. Should they defeat Oakland, Detroit and Chicago in their three remaining home games and go on to win the Super Bowl, they would become the 14th Super Bowl champ to go undefeated at home in the regular season. The last team to accomplish this feat? The Indianapolis Colts in 2006.

4. Green Bay is 7-0 in away games this year. If they defeat the Chiefs on December 18 in Kansas City and go on to win the Super Bowl, the Packers would become only the fifth Super Bowl champ to go undefeated on the road. The others? San Francisco (1989), San Francisco (1984), Washington (1982) and Miami (1972).

5. The Packers defense is currently ranked 17th in the league in defense. Of the 45 Super Bowl winners, only five teams had a defense ranked outside the Top 10. The worst ranked defense of a Super Bowl champion? The 2006 Indianapolis Colts “D” was ranked 23rd. Note: Of the past five Super Bowl winners, three were ranked outside the Top 10: (New Orleans, 2009 ranked #20; New York Giants, 2007, ranked #17; the Colts in 2006, ranked 23rd).

6. The Packers have allowed 262 points to the opposition this season after 12 games, an average of 21.8 points per game. If the Packers continue at this pace, they would give up 349 points for the season. Most points given up in the regular season by a Super Bowl champ? Indianapolis in 2006 with 360.

Run or Pass. What’s been the path to NFL success after three weeks?

Giants Stadium

Image via Wikipedia

Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ is a biweekly blog published every Wednesday and Sunday with a bonus “SIX STATS…” posting every Friday.

WE INTERRUPT THE START OF THIS BLOG FOR A TRIVIA QUESTION. After the first three weeks of the NFL season only five teams are averaging four or more yards on every run and eight or more yards on every pass. Can you name the five teams? Answer to follow.

One expert calls the NFL “a passing league.” Another says “today’s marquee NFL stars are quarterbacks and receivers.” A friend of mine (a football fan) recently said to me, “If you would had asked me to name last year’s top three running backs in the NFL I’m not sure I could name them.” The point is, or maybe better stated, the question is… is the passing game the pathway to success in the NFL?

TRIVIA ANSWER: The five teams that after the first three weeks of the season were averaging four or more yards on every run and eight or more yards on every pass were Green Bay, Houston, New England, New Orleans and Arizona. They have a combined 10-5 record.

Here’s a look at the teams with the best and worst average yards per run and yards per pass:

Top Six rushing yards per play: Minnesota (5.8), Buffalo (5.6), Oakland (5.5), Philadelphia (5.4), Baltimore (5.2), Atlanta (4.8). These teams have a combined record of 9-9.

Top Six passing yards per play: New England (10.0), Dallas (8.9), Green Bay (8.9), Houston (8.9), NY Giants (8.8), Pittsburgh (8.8). These teams have a combined record of 13-5.

Bottom Four rushing yards per play: Tennessee (2.4), San Francisco (2.5), Detroit (2.8), Denver (3.2). These teams have a combined record of 8-4.

Bottom Four passing yards per play: Indianapolis (5.0), Kansas City (5.2), Seattle (5.4), Cleveland (5.7). These teams have a combined record of 3-9.

Let’s take a look at some more average run and average pass yardage stats after the first three weeks and how it translates to wins and losses:

* Teams averaging 8 or more yards per pass have a combined record of 24-12.

* Teams averaging 4.5 or more yards per run are a combined 9-18

* Teams under 7.0 yards per pass play are a combined 11-25.

* Teams averaging 7.5 or more yards per pass are 30-18; those under 7.5 are 18-30.

* If you combine each teams average yards per run and their average yards per pass, there are four teams that total 13.0 or more (Green Bay, New England, Buffalo and Houston). These four teams are a combined 10-2.

* The Tennessee Titans have the largest differential between average yards per run and average yards per pass. They are at 8.3 per pass and 2.4 per run, a difference of 5.9.