Tag Archives: Kansas City Chiefs

Who will beat the Kansas City Chiefs? Ten stats you might not know about the teams that beat the unbeatens

Kansas City Chiefs logo

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

With their 23-17 win over the Cleveland Browns, the Kansas City Chiefs became the 21st team since the start of the Super Bowl era (1966 NFL season) to start the season 8-0. The Atlanta Falcons in 2012 started the season 8-0, but eventually lost in their ninth game of the year, a 31-27 defeat at the hands of the New Orleans Saints. Two teams, the 1972 Miami Dolphins and the 2007 New England Patriots, went through their seasons undefeated.

So, will the Chiefs join the Dolphins and Patriots with an undefeated season? If not, who will be the first to defeat them in 2013?

The other 18 teams lost one or more games in their journey to try to finish the season with a perfect record. Here’s a look at 10 stats you might not know about the teams that eventually defeated the teams that started 8-0 (or better). We’ll call these teams the “Unbeaten Busters” or UB for short.

Just for the sake of clarity, the 18 teams that started the season 8-0 (or better) and then lost a game (or more) before the regular season ended were: 1969 L.A. Rams, 1973 Minnesota, 1975 Minnesota, 1977 Dallas, 1984 Miami, 1985 Chicago, 1990 N.Y. Giants, 1990 San Francisco, 1991 Washington, 1998 Denver, 2003 Kansas City, 2005 Indianapolis, 2006 Indianapolis, 2008 Tennessee, 2009 Indianapolis, 2009 New Orleans, 2011 Green Bay, 2012 Atlanta.

1. Divisional games: In only five of the 18 cases did the undefeated team lose to a team from within their division. The five: The 1977 Cowboys lost to division rival St. Louis Cardinals; the 1990 San Francisco 49ers lost to the L.A. Rams; the ’90 N.Y. Giants lost to the Philadelphia Eagles; the 1991 Redskins lost to the Cowboys; and, the 2012 Falcons lost to the division-rival Saints.

2. Outside their conference: In only four of the 18 cases did the undefeated team lose to a team in the other conference. In 2011 the NFC Green Bay Packers lost to the AFC Kansas City Chiefs. In 2006, the AFC Indianapolis Colts fell to the NFC Cowboys; in 1998, the AFC Denver Broncos lost to the NFC Giants; in 1985, the NFC’s Chicago Bears lost their only game of the season to the Miami Dolphins of the AFC.

3. Day of the game: Fourteen of the 18 games where the undefeated team finally lost were played on Sunday. Three were played on Monday Night Football, and one game was played on Saturday.

4. The next game after the loss: After being beaten for the first time that season, seven teams also lost their next game.

5. At home or on the road? Ten of the 18 teams had their undefeated season end on the road; eight lost their first game of the year at home.

6. Points scored by the UBs: Seventeen of the 18 UBs scored 20 or more points in their win over the undefeated team. The only exception was in 2011 when the Chiefs defeated the unbeaten Packers by a score of 19-14.

7. Points scored by the undefeated teams: Thirteen of the 18 undefeated teams scored under 20 points in the game they lost to break their unbeaten streak. One team, the 1975 Minnesota Vikings, scored 30 points in their first loss of the season to the Redskins.

8. Point differential: Twelve of the 18 games were decided by one score (eight points or less). The biggest blowout was in 2008 when the undefeated Tennessee Titans lost 34-13 to the New York Jets. Only one of the 18 games went into overtime; that occurred in 1984 when the Dolphins lost their first game of the season to the San Diego Chargers, 34-28.

9. The multiple UB franchises: The Dallas Cowboys franchise could be called the ultimate “Unbeaten Busters.” The Cowboys have beaten a team that started 8-0 on three occasions: 1991, defeating the Redskins; 2006, defeating the Colts; and 2009, defeating the Saints.

10. UBs with losing records: You would expect that a UB would be a team with a solid record, most likely above .500. That hasn’t always been the case. In fact, six of the UBs had a record under .500 when they defeated their unbeaten opponent. They were:

* 1984: The Chargers were 5-6 when they beat the 11-0 Dolphins.

* 1990: The Rams were 3-7 when they beat the 10-0 49ers.

* 1998: The Giants were 5-8 when they beat the 13-0 Broncos.

* 2003: The Bengals were 4-5 when they beat the 9-0 Chiefs.

* 2011: The Chiefs were 5-8 when they beat the 13-0 Packers.
* 2012: The Saints were 3-5 when they beat the 8-0 Falcons.

The Chiefs next game is at Buffalo on Sunday, November 3. They then have their bye week and get back on the field November 17 in an AFC West battle at Denver.

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

Jamaal Charles leads the Chiefs on the ground and in the air

Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ is a sports statistics blog published with a focus on stats that go beyond the numbers.

English: Jamaal Charles, a player on the Kansa...

Jamaal Charles (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Among the reasons for the improved play of the 4-0 Kansas City Chiefs this year has been running back Jamaal Charles. The sixth-year running back from Texas has been a go-to player for the K.C. offense. He has accumulated over 100 yards in offense via running and receiving in each of those first four games.

Looking at Charles’ stat line, you will see that he has now had 15 or more carries and five-plus receptions in each of the last three Kansas City victories. He is one of nine players this season who has had 15-plus carries and five-plus receptions for his team in a game. Houston‘s Arian Foster has reached the 15-5 mark twice this season.

Here’s a look at the running backs with the most 15-carry-5 reception games since 2010.

Ray Rice, Baltimore, 17 games
Arian Foster, Houston, 15 games
Matt Forte, Chicago, 7 games
Adrian Peterson, Minnesota, 7 games
LeSean McCoy, Philadelphia, 6 games
Frank Gore, San Francisco, 5 games
Peyton Hollis, Cleveland, 5 games
Fred Jackson, Buffalo, 5 games
Chris Johnson, Tennessee, 5 games

If we take those numbers a little higher, say 20 carries and 10 receptions in a game, the list of running backs who have reached this stat line is very limited; in fact, a running back with 20-plus carries and 10-plus receptions in a game has happened only 30 times since 1970 (AFL-NFL merger). It did, however, already happen here in 2013: Chicago’s Matt Forte on September 15th against Minnesota had 20 carries for 88 yards and 10 receptions for 73 yards in the Bears’ 31-30 win over the Vikings. Prior to that, the last 20-10 running back was in 2008 when Marshawn Lynch had 23 carries and 10 receptions for the Seattle Seahawks. Former Chargers running back LaDainian Tomlinson leads league with five 20-carry-10-reception games in his career.

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

NFL 3-0 teams hope hot start leads to playoffs and Super Bowl

English: New Orleans Saints Coach Sean Payton ...

The last time the New Orleans Saints and Coach Sean Payton started 3-0 they won the Super Bowl (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ is a sports statistics blog published with a focus on stats that go beyond the numbers.

Seven teams – the Chicago Bears, Denver Broncos, Kansas City Chiefs, Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints and Seattle Seahawks- are undefeated after the first three weeks of the 2013 season. For a few of these teams, the 3-0 start is something new. Here’s a quick look at the last time each of eight teams started the season 3-0.

Chicago: They won their first three games in 2010 and then lost their next contest to the New York Giants. They finished the season 11-5, made the playoffs and eventually lost to the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship Game

Denver: Last time they started the season 3-0 was in 2009. They started that season by winning six straight, had the bye week and then lost eight of their last 10. They finished the season 8-8, missing the playoffs.

Kansas City: Kansas City started 3-0 in 2010. They ended the season with 10 wins and lost a Wild Card playoff game to Baltimore. The Chiefs went 3-0 in 2010, had the bye week, and then lost their next two games.

Miami: Of the current 3-0 teams, the Dolphins have had the longest wait for a 3-0 start; they last started 3-0 in 2002. Unfortunately, they lost their fourth game in 2002 and missed the playoffs with a 9-7 record.

New England: The last time the Pats went 3-0 was their 16-0 regular season in 2007. Their only loss that season was a Super Bowl defeat at the hands of the New York Giants, 17-14.

New Orleans: Saints fans are excited about this year’s 3-0 start because they hope it mirrors their last 3-0 start; in 2009 the Saints started 3-0, extended that record to 13-0 before losing their last three games, and then won three straight to win the Super Bowl that season.

Seattle: The Seahawks last started 3-0 in 2006. They lost their fourth game that year and finished the season 9-7. They made the playoffs and won one and lost one in the playoffs that year.

In the last two seasons (2011, 2012), six teams (three each year) started 3-0. Of those six, four made the playoffs; two did not.

Of the 24 playoff teams over the past two seasons, four started the year 3-0, 12 started the season 2-1, and eight were 1-2 after three games.

Taking a look at the past 94 Super Bowl teams, a 3-0 or 2-1 start has been most common of the title game opponents (this past year’s Super Bowl opponents were both 2-1 after Week 3). Eighty-four of the 94 Super Bowl teams were either 3-0 or 2-1 to start that season, (89.4 percent). If you add in the two teams that started 2-0-1, then 86 of the 94 (91.5 percent) Super Bowl teams were either 3-0, 2-0-1 or 2-1 in the first three games in their Super Bowl year.

Here’s a breakdown of the record of the Super Bowl teams after Week 3 of that season.

Record after three games, Super Bowl teams

3-0: 48 teams (22 won the Super Bowl; 26 lost the Super Bowl)

2-0-1: 2 teams (one won the Super Bowl; one lost the Super Bowl)

2-1: 36 teams (19 won the Super Bowl; 17 lost the Super Bowl)

1-1-1: 3 teams (one won the Super Bowl; two lost the Super Bowl)

1-2: 5 teams (four won the Super Bowl; one lost the Super Bowl)

Note: The last team to win the Super Bowl after starting the season 1-2 were the New York Giants in the 2007 season.

Ravens first Super Bowl champs to get ‘blown out’ in next game

Ravens win!

(Photo credit: cizauskas)

Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ is a sports statistics blog published with a focus on stats that go beyond the numbers.

For the sake of this column, let’s define a “blow out” as a game in which a team loses by 20 or more points. With that established, the Ravens 49-27 loss to the Denver Broncos last Thursday night in the 2013 NFL season‘s first game was one of historic proportions: Baltimore‘s 22-point loss was the first time in NFL history that a Super Bowl champ lost their first game of the following season by 20 points or more.

The Raven’s 22-point loss was not the only “blow out” in Week One. The Kansas City Chiefs had the largest margin of victory in Week One with a 28-2 win over Jacksonville.

Since 2000, there have been 40 “blow outs” on Opening Weekend. Here’s a look at the teams which have won the most Opening Weekend blow outs and those teams which have lost the most Opening Weekend blow outs since 2000.

Most Opening Weekend blow out wins since 2000
3: Baltimore, Buffalo, Denver, Miami, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, San Diego
2: Chicago, Houston, Indianapolis, Kansas City, New England, Seattle
1: Green Bay, Jacksonville, Minnesota, New York Giants, New York Jets, San Francisco, Tennessee

Most Opening Weekend blow out losses since 2000
3: Cincinnati, New York Jets, Oakland
2: Cleveland, Detroit, Indianapolis, Seattle, St. Louis, Tennessee
1: Arizona, Atlanta, Baltimore, Buffalo, Carolina, Chicago, Dallas, Denver, Green Bay, Houston, Jacksonville, Kansas City, Minnesota, New England, New Orleans, Pittsburgh, San Francisco, Tampa Bay, Washington

So… is a blow out loss on Opening Weekend a bad omen? Does a blow out win signal great things for the rest of the season? If we look at the 16 games in the last five seasons that were blow outs on Opening Weekend, we can come up with some interesting stats (these stats reflect games from 2008-2012):

* Of the 16 teams that had Opening Weekend blow out wins in the past five years, eight went on to make the playoffs. Of the 16 who started the season with an Opening Weekend blow out loss, only three made the playoffs that year.

* The 16 teams that had Opening Weekend blow out wins since 2008 had a combined record of 143-112-1 (.561 winning percentage) in that season. The 16 teams that suffered Opening Weekend blow out losses since 2008 had a combined record of 103-153 (.402 winning percentage) in that season.

For the record, since the start of the Super Bowl era, three teams lost their Opening Game by 50 points or more: Denver lost 51-0 to Oakland in 1967; New Orleans lost 62-7 to Atlanta in 1973; Pittsburgh lost 51-0 to Cleveland in 1989.

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

99 Stats Until Kickoff (#49) Houston Texans double-digit points streak ends at 61 games

From May 30 and every day until September 5… the start of the 2013 NFL season… Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ will publish “99 Stats Until Kickoff” a daily dose of NFL stats that will get you ready for the 2013 NFL season.)

Houston Texans logo

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

On December 23 of last year, the Minnesota Vikings surprised the Houston Texans by defeating them 23-6 in a game played in Houston. But an even bigger surprise from that contest was that the Texans could muster only a pair of field goals in the 23-6 loss.

This was the first game since September 13, 2009 that the Texans scored less than 10 points in an NFL regular-season game, a streak of 61 games. The New Orleans Saints currently hold the active streak with 73 games straight where they have scored 10 or more points in a game.

Following are the teams that have the longest active streak of games where they have scored 10 or more points in a game.

Active streak of scoring 10-plus points in a game, Team
73 games: New Orleans Saints
62 games: New England Patriots
47 games: Atlanta Falcons
35 games: Green Bay Packers
23 games: Minnesota Vikings; Washington Redskins
20 games: Cincinnati Bengals
18 games: Pittsburgh Steelers
16 games: Denver Broncos

There were 47 times in the 2012 regular season where a team scored less than 10 points. The Kansas City Chiefs topped that list with six games. Here are the number of times this past season each team scored less than 10 points in a game:

6: Kansas City
5: New York Jets
4: Arizona
3: Jacksonville, Philadelphia, San Diego
2: Buffalo, Chicago, Miami, Oakland, St. Louis, Tennessee
1: Baltimore, Carolina, Cleveland, Dallas, Detroit, Houston, Indianapolis, New York Giants, San Francisco, Seattle, Tampa Bay
0: Atlanta, Cincinnati, Denver, Green Bay, Minnesota, New England, New Orleans, Pittsburgh, Washington

Notice the nine teams above which were not held to less than 10 points this past season. Of those nine, seven qualified for the playoffs. The other five 2012 playoff teams each were held under 10 points in only one game.

Here’s a few more interesting notes:

* The last time a playoff team scored less than 10 points in a playoff game was last season when the New York Giants defeated the Atlanta Falcons 24-2 in an NFC first-round game last year.

* The last time a Super Bowl team scored less than 10 points in the big game was Super Bowl XXXV when the Baltimore Ravens beat the Giants, 34-7 on January 28, 2001.

* The Washington Redskins last season scored 10 or more points in each of their 16 games last year. It was the first season since 1999 that the Redskins went the whole season without scoring under 10 points in a game.

“99 Stats Before Kickoff” (Stats you need to know before the start of the 2013 NFL season) is available from e-book publisher Smashwords. Go to www.smashwords.com to download a copy, including a pdf version which can be viewed on your home computer. Cost is $2.99