Tag Archives: NFC Championship Game

Today’s Sportstat: January 17, 2019

How many points will a team need to score to win the AFC or NFC title game?

We’re down to the final three games of the NFL season: In the AFC, the New England Patriots will travel to Kansas City to face the Chiefs; in the NFC, the New Orleans Saints will host the Los Angeles Rams. The winners will square off in the Super Bowl.

Since the NFC-AFC merger back in 1970, it appears that if a team scored 20 or more points in a conference championship game, they had a pretty good chance of winning the game and advancing to the Super Bowl. Since 1970, teams that scored 20 or more points were 82-25 (.766 winning percentage) in the conference title game. In the AFC Championship Games since ’70, teams that scored 20 or more were 43-11 (.796) while NFC teams playing in the title game were 39-14 (.736) when they scored 20+ points in the title contest.

Here’s a breakdown of record of teams in each conference championship game based on the number of points they scored in the contest.

Points scored             AFC                     NFC                     Total

0-9                                 0-10                     1-16                     1-26 .037

10-19                             5-27                     8-18                     13-45 .224

20-29                            26-9                     21-14                    47-23 .671

30-39                            12-2                     14-0                     26-2 .929

40 or more points         5-0                       4-0                       9-0 1.000

As you can see, only two teams that scored 30 or more points in a championship game since 1970 lost the title game: Indianapolis defeated the New England Patriots 38-34 in 2006 and the Denver beat Cleveland in a 1987 season title game, 38-33. The only team to win a conference title game by scoring fewer than 10 points were the Rams in 1979; they defeated Tampa Bay 9-0.

Following are 10 stats you may not know concerning the AFC and NFC Championship Games since the 1970 merger:

Most appearances: AFC (Pittsburgh, 16), NFC (San Francisco, 15)

Most wins: AFC (New England, 10), NFC (Dallas, 8)

Most losses: AFC (Pittsburgh, 8), NFC (San Francisco, 9)Last title: AFC (NY Jets, Jacksonville, Cleveland and Kansas City have never won an AFC Championship Game; Miami has the longest drought of teams that have previously won a title since 1970… they last won in 1984/ NFC (Detroit has never won an NFC Championship Game since 1970; Minnesota has the longest drought of teams that have previously won a title since 1970… they last won in 1976.

Most home games: AFC (Pittsburgh, 11), NFC (San Francisco, 9)

Most home wins: AFC (New England, 7), NFC (Washington, 5)

Most home losses: AFC (Pittsburgh, 5), NFC (San Francisco, 5)

Most away games: AFC (New England & the Raiders, 6 each), NFC (Dallas, 9)

Most away wins: AFC (New Englland, 3), NFC (Dallas, 4)

Most away losses: AFC (Raiders, 5), NFC (Dallas and Minnesota, 5 each)

 

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Packers Numbers Crunches: NFC Championship Game

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Here are several stats you may not know from the Packers 44-21 loss to the Atlanta Falcons in the NFC Championship Game on January 22, 2017 (the stats all reflect playoff games unless otherwise noted).

  1. Green Bay is now 5-4 in NFC Championship Games in the Super Bowl era (since 1966). They are 2-1 at home and 3-3 in road NFC title games. They have now lost three of the last four NFC title games in which they played. Their nine Championship Game appearances is tied for seventh most in the league and their four losses is tied for eighth.
  2. The Packers are now 13-11 in playoff games when they do not score first in the contest.
  3. Green Bay is 1-2 in playoff games when Mason Crosby misses a field goal.
  4. The Pack did not score in the first quarter (the Falcons had a 10-0 lead). They are now 10-8 in playoff games when they do not score in the first quarter… they have lost five of their last eight.
  5. Green Bay had a pair of turnovers in the game and are now 3-9 in playoff games when they commit two or more turnovers.
  6. Atlanta had a 24-0 lead at halftime. The Packers have now been scoreless in the first half of two playoff games since 1966, both at the hands of the Falcons (the other game was a 27-7 loss to Atlanta in 2002). NFL teams are 17-88 (.162 winning percentage) in playoff games when they do not score in the first half.
  7. Atlanta QB Matt Ryan had a Passer Rating of 139.4 in the game. It was the third best Passer Rating in a playoff contest against the Packers (Kurt Warner has the best at 154.1 with Arizona on January 10, 2010). Green Bay is 2-7 in playoff games when the opposing QB has a Passer Rating over 100.
  8. Atlanta receiver Julio Jones had nine receptions for 180 yards. It was the most receiving yards versus the Packers in a playoff game by an opposing player. The Pack is 1-4 in playoff games when an opposing player has 150 or more yards receiving.
  9. The Falcons had 493 total yards of offense in the game. The Packers have lost six of the last seven playoff games when they allow 400 or more total yards.
  10. Aaron Rodgers’ Passer Rating for the game was 91.6. When Rodgers’ PR is 100 or better the team is 6-1 in playoff games; when his PR is under 100, the Packers are 3-6 in playoff contests.
  11. Rodgers had an interception in the game… Green Bay is now 2-6 in playoff games when Rodgers throws an interception.
  12. Atlanta scored in every quarter in the game. When the opposition scores in every quarter of a playoff game, the Pack is 3-7.
  13. Rodgers led the team with 46 yards rushing. That was the second most rushing yards for him in a playoff game; the most was 66 yards rushing against the New York Giants on January 15, 2012.
  14. The Falcons converted on 76.9 percent of their third downs. That was the highest percentage against the Packers in a playoff game. Green Bay is 5-6 in playoff games when the opponents convert 50% or more of their third downs.
  15. Atlanta tallied 10.3 yards per pass play in the game, the second most in a playoff game versus the Packers. Green Bay is now 0-5 when the opponents average 8.0 of more per pass play in a playoff contest.
  16. Green Bay had only 26:21 time of possession in the game and are now 2-5 in playoff games when their T.O.P. is under 27 minutes.
  17. The Pack has now lost five straight and 10 of their last 12 playoff games when they score less than 24 points.
  18. The Packers are now 1-12 in playoff games when they allow 30 or more points, and are 0-9 all-time when they allow 32 or more points in a playoff contest.

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99 Stats Until Kickoff (#69) Six Stats you may not know about… the NFL Conference Championship Games

self made by user, taken 30 Nov 2006 Category:...

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

From May 30 and every day until September 5… the start of the 2013 NFL season… Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ will publish “99 Stats Until Kickoff” a daily dose of NFL stats that will get you ready for the 2013 NFL season.)

Last year’s Conference Championship Games included the Baltimore Ravens going to New England in a rematch of the 2011 AFC title game, and the Atlanta Falcons hosting the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship Game. The Ravens, Patriots and 49ers were each in the conference title game the previous year.

Here are a few stats that you may find interesting about previous conference championship games.

(Note: The following stats reflect the NFC and AFC Conference Championship games that have been played since the 1970 merger of the NFL and AFL… 43 years, a total of 86 games.)

1. The home team has won 56 and lost 30 in conference championship games (a .651 winning percentage). In the last seven conference championship weekends, the home teams are 9-5. In the 43 seasons, there has been only three times where both the home teams lost: 1992, 1997 and last year. Both home teams (New England and Atlanta) were defeated in the conference title games this past season.

2. In 29 of the 86 games (33.7%) the game was decided by eight points or less. Twelve of the 86 games were decided by three points or less; 15 of the 84 were decided by 20 points or more. In the last seven seasons, nine of the 14 conference championship games were decided by one score (eight points or less).

3. Teams that scored less than 20 points in a conference championship game since 1970 has won only 13 and lost 66 (a .165 winning percentage). Teams that scored 30 or more points have won 30 and lost only 2 (a .938 winning percentage). The only teams to score 30 or more points in a conference championship game since 1970 and lose? Cleveland in 1987 when they scored 33 in their loss to Denver; and in 2006 when the Patriots scored 34 in their loss to the Colts.

4. Teams that had the better regular season record have won the conference championship game 53 times and lost 22 (a .707 winning percentage). In 11 games the teams playing for the conference championship had the same regular season record.

5. Scoring more points in the playoff game the weekend prior to the conference championship is not a big factor in determining who will win the conference title game. The team that scored more points of the two conference championship game foes the previous week won 45 and lost 37 (in four cases the teams scored the exact number of points the previous week).

6. Winning the playoff game the weekend prior to the conference championship by a bigger margin than your conference championship game foe was a little bit more of a determining factor to who wins the conference championship game. The team that won the divisional playoff game by a bigger margin the week before won 54 times and lost 26 (a .675 winning percentage). In six cases the conference championship game teams won by the same margin the previous week.

“99 Stats Before Kickoff” (Stats you need to know before the start of the 2013 NFL season) is available from e-book publisher Smashwords. Go to www.smashwords.com to download a copy, including a pdf version which can be viewed on your home computer. Cost is $2.99.

99 Stats Until Kickoff (#65) An NFL rarity! AFC and NFC Championship Game losers return to those games the following year

From May 30 and every day until September 5… the start of the 2013 NFL season… Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ will publish “99 Stats Until Kickoff” a daily dose of NFL stats that will get you ready for the 2013 NFL season.)

Veterans Stadium during the 1980 NFC Champions...

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

For the first time since the mid-1990s, we had two teams last season that lost in their respective conference championship game in a year both return to those same title games the following year.

After the 2011 regular season, the San Francisco 49ers were defeated by the New York Giants in the NFC Championship Game. They returned to the title game this past year to face the Atlanta Falcons and defeated the Falcons to reach the Super Bowl. Also after the ’11 season, the Baltimore Ravens lost to the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship Game. The Ravens got another shot at the Pats in this year’s AFC title game and beat them on their way to becoming the eventual Super Bowl champs.

The 49ers and Ravens were the eighth pair of teams in the history of the NFL playoffs (since 1966, the Super Bowl era) to return to the conference championship games after both losing in them the previous years. The other times it happened: Cleveland and Oakland (both lost in conference title games in 1968 and then played in those title games the following year); L.A. Rams and Oakland (1974); L.A. Rams and Oakland (1975); L.A. Rams and Houston (1978); Dallas and San Diego (1980); Washington and Cleveland (1986); Dallas and Pittsburgh (1994).

Here are a few more stats from the teams that lost conference championship games since 1966 (46 seasons, 92 teams):

* The Chicago Bears and New York Jets were the conference championship game losers after the 2010 season. Neither team made the playoffs in 2011. That was the fifth time in history that both conference championship game losers failed to make the playoffs the following year. The other years that happened: 1985, 1989, 1991 and 2005.

* Sixty of the 92 conference championship game losers made the playoffs the following year, 32 did not. Of the 32 teams, the New York Jets have missed the playoffs three times after losing the conference championship game the prior year. Nine teams have done this twice: Cleveland, L.A. Rams, Chicago, Carolina, Minnesota, Oakland, Pittsburgh, Miami and Denver.

* Nineteen teams have lost the conference championship game in consecutive seasons. The Jets did it in 2009 and 2010. The last NFC team to lose consecutive NFC title games? The Philadelphia Eagles. They lost NFC title games in 2001, 2002 and 2003. The other teams to lose three straight conference title games are the Los Angeles Rams (1974, 1975, 1976), Dallas (1980, 1981, 1982), Oakland (1968, 1969, 1970) and Oakland (1973, 1974, 1975).

* Nine teams lost a conference title game in a season and then won the Super Bowl the following year. The Baltimore Ravens became the ninth team to accomplish this feat this past season. The others: San Francisco (1983), Chicago (1984), Washington (1986), San Francisco (1993), Dallas (1994), Green Bay (1995), Oakland (1975) and Pittsburgh (2004).

* Five teams lost a conference title game and then lost in the Super Bowl the following season. The San Francisco 49ers this past year became the fifth team when they lost last year’s Super Bowl to Baltimore after losing in the NFC Championship Game the previous year. The others: L.A. Rams (1978), Philadelphia (2003), Pittsburgh (1994) and New England (2006).

* The Ravens and 49ers became only the second set of teams in history to both lose the conference title game in one season and then face off against each other in the Super Bowl the following year. The only other time that happened was in 1994 when Dallas and Pittsburgh lost conference title games and then played each other in the Super Bowl the following season.

* Six of the last nine teams that lost in the NFC Conference Championship Game failed to make the playoffs the next season.

“99 Stats Before Kickoff” (Stats you need to know before the start of the 2013 NFL season) is available from e-book publisher Smashwords. Go to www.smashwords.com to download a copy, including a pdf version which can be viewed on your home computer. Cost is $2.99.

99 Stats Until Kickoff (#46) Teams with more field goals than touchdowns in a season

New Orleans Field Goal

(Photo credit: Steve Selwood)

From May 30 and every day until September 5… the start of the 2013 NFL seasonSports Stats ‘on Tapp’ will publish “99 Stats Until Kickoff” a daily dose of NFL stats that will get you ready for the 2013 NFL season.)

In the 2011 season, the San Francisco 49ers went 13-3, qualified for the playoffs, and fell one game short of making the Super Bowl. An interesting stat about the ‘Niners 2011 season was that they had more field goals made than touchdowns scored for the regular season. They were the 62nd NFL team since 1970 to accomplish this feat, and only the 13th such team to make the playoffs in a season when they had more field goals than TDs.

Last season we saw two teams, Oakland and Kansas City, have more field goals than touchdowns during the 2012 regular season. The Raiders had 28 TDs and 31 field goals, while the Chiefs had 18 touchdowns and 28 field goals. The remaining 30 NFL teams had more TDs than field goals made.

Of the 64 teams that are now in this category (more FGs than TDs in a season since 1970), the 2011 49ers are the only team to win 13 regular-season games in that season.

Following are the 13 NFL teams since 1970 that had more field goals than touchdowns in a season when they made the playoffs.

Team, Year, Field Goals made/Touchdowns scored (playoff outcome)

San Francisco 49ers, 2011: 44/35 (lost NFC Championship Game)

Tennessee Titans, 2007: 35/28 (lost Wild Card game)

Baltimore Ravens, 2000: 35/32 (Won Super Bowl)

Miami Dolphins, 1999: 39/30 (Lost AFC divisional playoff game)

Carolina Panthers, 1996: 37/36 (Lost NFC Championship Game)

Indianapolis Colts, 1996: 36/30 (Lost Wild Card game)

Dallas Cowboys, 1996: 32/27 (Lost NFC divisional playoff game)

Los Angeles Raiders, 1993: 35/29 (Lost AFC divisional playoff game)

Detroit Lions, 1993: 34/28 (Lost Wild Card game)

Washington Redskins, 1982: 20/19 (Won Super Bowl)

Tampa Bay Bucs, 1982: 18/15 (Lost Wild Card game)

Green Bay Packers, 1972: 33/29 (Lost NFC divisional playoff game)

Washington Redskins, 1971: 29/27 (Lost NFC divisional playoff game)

Here’s a few additional stats about teams that had more field goals than touchdowns in a season:

* Of the 64 teams that had more FGs than TDs in a season, only 16 (25 percent) finished the season at .500 or above.

* The 44 field goals made in 2011 by the 49ers were the most FGs made by a team that had more FGs than TDs in a season. The Arizona Cardinals in 2005 had 43 field goals (and only 26 TDs) to rank second in that category.

* The 2011 49ers were a plus-nine in FGs over TDs (44 FGs/35 TDs). That was the ninth time since 1970 that a team had a plus-nine (or more) in that category in a season. Kansas City in 2012 became the tenth team in this category when they had 10 more field goals than touchdowns. Arizona’s plus-17 (43 FGs/26 TDs) in 2005 is the largest disparity of FGs to TDs in a season since 1970.

* The last season where no teams had more FGs than TDs was in 2006.

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