Tag Archives: NFL

Today’s Sportstat: August 15, 2019

Highest Passer Rating for QBs at each age

If you follow the NFL, you know that the play of the quarterback is an important part of success in the league. Not only do we have young QB’s who are quickly becoming stars in the NFL (Patrick Mahomes and Jared Goff), but we are also seeing QB’s well into their 30’s and 40’s who are performing at a high level.

To put some numbers to this, let’s look at which QBs have had the most success at each age. Specifically, let’s see which QBs have the highest Passer Rating at age 21 all the way up to age 41.

Just last season Los Angeles Rams QB Jared Goff, who turned 24 during the 2018 campaign, ended his age 23 games with a Passer Rating of 109.3, highest of any QB in NFL history at that age. But he wasn’t the only player to set a record last year for the highest Passer Rating at a particular age:

  • Los Angeles Chargers QB ended his age 36 NFL games with a 110.2 Passer Rating.
  • New Orleans Saints QB Drew Brees, who was age 39 during the 2018 season, had a 115.7 Passer Rating, highest of any QB at age 39.
  • New England Patriots ageless signal-caller, Tom Brady, was age 41 during last season when he compiled a 97.7 Passer Rating, the highest of any QB at age 41.

Following are the quarterbacks who have had the highest Passer Ratings in games at ages 21-41 (minimum of 200 passes attempted to qualify for the list).

Age 21: Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay, 84.2, 2015

Age 22: Robert Griffin Jr., Washington, 102.4, 2012

Age 23: Jared Goff, L.A. Rams, 109.3, 2017-18

Age 24: Nick Foles, Philadelphia, 119.2, 2013

Age 25: Milt Plum, Cleveland, 110.4, 1960

Age 26: Brett Favre, Green Bay, 110.5, 1995-96

Age 27: Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay, 124.7, 2010-11

Age 28: Peyton Manning, Indianapolis, 121.1, 2004

Age 29: Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay, 110.1, 2012-13

Age 30: Tom Brady, New England, 117.2, 2007

Age 31: Matt Ryan, Atlanta, 117.1, 2016

Age 32: Drew Brees, New Orleans, 110.6, 2011

Age 33: Steve Young, San Francisco, 107.0, 1996-97

Age 34: Tony Romo, Dallas, 113.2, 2014

Age 35: Steve Young, San Francisco, 107.0, 1996-97

Age 36: Philip Rivers, L.A. Chargers, 110.2, 2017-18

Age 37: Peyton Manning, Denver, 115.1, 2013

Age 38: Drew Brees, New Orleans, 103.9, 2017

Age 39: Drew Brees, New Orleans, 115.7, 2018

Age 40: Tom Brady, New England, 102.8, 2017

Age 41: Tom Brady, New England, 97.7, 2018

One final note: Jared Goff, who set the record for highest Passer Rating for a QB age 23 last season, could drop down to second place at that age if Patrick Mahomes has anything to say about it. Mahomes who is 23 and won’t turn 24 until September 17, will have two games to play before his 24th birthday. He has a 108.6 Passer Rating at age 23, which is percentage points behind Goff who had a Passer Rating of 109.3 at age 23.

 

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

 

 

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Today’s Sportstat: August 8, 2019

NFL 2018: Did preseason success predict regular season success last season?

I think most NFL experts would agree that the NFL preseason is mostly about teams finding out which players will ultimately fill out their 53-man rosters. While teams would say they “want” to win, winning a preseason contest seems to be less of a focus than playing a lot of players and evaluating talent.

That having been said, they do keep score and there are still winners and losers in these preseason games. So we must ask the question: Does having success via a win-loss record in the preseason predict regular season success?

To answer this question (at least for the time being) let’s look at the 2018 NFL season to see how the preseason records compared with the regular season records. Here are a few bullet points:

  • Of the 12 playoff teams in 2018, nine won at least two preseason games. In fact, each of the six AFC playoff teams won at least two preseason games.
  • The Baltimore Ravens were the only team to go undefeated in the preseason last season. They made the playoffs with a 10-6 record.
  • There were four teams that did not win a preseason game in 2018: Dallas, Atlanta, Tennessee and Seattle. The Cowboys and Seahawks, however, did make the 2018 playoffs.
  • The 13 teams that won three or more preseason games in 2018 won an average of eight regular season games.
  • The nine teams that won two preseason games in 2018 won an average of 8.6 games in the 2018 regular season.
  • The six teams that won only one preseason game in 2018 won an average of 6.2 games in the ’18 regular season.
  • The four teams that did not win a preseason game in 2018 won an average of nine regular season games last year.
  • The 12 2018 playoff teams won an average of 2.2 preseason games last season.
  • The 20 teams that did not make the 2018 playoffs won an average of 1.95 preseason games last season.

Not very conclusive evidence either way, is there? It is interesting to note that five of the 12 playoff teams last season won three or more preseason games: Baltimore, Houston, Indianapolis, New England and New Orleans.

But I’m not ready to claim there is a clear link between preseason success and regular season success in the NFL. As I stated earlier, the focus on the preseason contests seems to be less about winning and more about getting reps for younger players and evaluating talent. Winning these preseason games seems to be secondary.

 

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

Todays Sportstat: July 29, 2019

Last playoff game win for each of the 32 NFL teams

NFL training camps have begun and that means the 2019 NFL season has unofficially started.

Each team has a 0-0 record and a number of the teams have Super Bowl aspirations. All teams are focused on a successful camp and getting off to a good start when the regular season begins. After that, a playoff spot is certainly a goal of every team. Once that playoff spot is secured, winning a post-season game is the next step.

Winning a playoff game, however, is not always an easy task. In fact, there are four NFL franchises that have not won a playoff game this century. The four: Cincinnati, Detroit, Cleveland and Buffalo. If we add Miami, Oakland, Tampa Bay and Washington, these are the eight NFL teams that have not won a playoff game in more than 10 years!

The Bengals have played in eight post-season games since their last playoff victory in 1990; they are 0-8 in those playoff contests. The Lions are almost as bad… they are 0-9 in playoff games since their last post-season win in the 1991 season. The Browns are 0-2 since their last playoff win in 1994 and the Bills are 0-5 in playoff games since their last post-season win in 1995.

Here is a look at the last season each of the 32 NFL franchises won a playoff game. (Current franchise city is listed.)

1990: Cincinnati

1991: Detroit

1994: Cleveland

1995: Buffalo

2000: Miami

2002: Oakland, Tampa Bay

2005: Washington

2010: Chicago, N.Y. Jets

2011: N.Y. Giants

2013: San Francisco

2014: Baltimore

2015: Arizona, Carolina, Denver

2016: Green Bay, Houston, Pittsburgh, Seattle

2017: Atlanta, Jacksonville, Minnesota, Tennessee

2018: Dallas, Indianapolis, Kansas City, L.A. Chargers, L.A. Rams, New Orleans, New England, Philadelphia

 

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Today’s Sportstat: July 4, 2019

Who will be the best NFC team in the 2010s?

With 113 wins since 2010, the New England Patriots could go 0-16 this season and still end up with the most wins of any NFL team in the 2010s. The Pittsburgh Steelers are currently second on the list for most wins since 2010 with 94, so passing the Pats this season will not happen… the Patriots will be the NFL’s winningest team (and the winningest team in the AFC) of the 2010s when the 2019 NFL season concludes.

Over in the NFC, however, there are three teams (maybe four) that could still claim the best record in the conference for this decade. The Green Bay Packers are 89-53-2 (.625 winning percentage) this decade to hold first place with the Seattle Seahawks just percentage points behind at .622 and a record of 89-54-1. The New Orleans Saints are just a few games behind in third place for NFC teams with an 87-57 record (.604).

Who will be the worst NFL team of the 2010s? It looks like the Cleveland Browns have that title wrapped up barring a total collapse of the Jacksonville Jags and a great season for the Browns. The Jags have an 8 ½-game lead over Cleveland for the 31st spot on the list.

Here are the records of each NFL team this decade (2010-18).

AFC
New England 113-31
Pittsburgh 94-49-1
Kansas City 84-60
Baltimore 84-60
Denver 82-62
Cincinnati 75-67-2
Indianapolis 75-69
Houston 72-72
San Diego/L.A. Chargers 72-72
Miami 65-79
Buffalo 61-83
New York Jets 61-83
Tennessee 60-84
Oakland 56-88
Jacksonville 45-99
Cleveland 36-107-1

NFC
Green Bay 89-53-2
Seattle 89-54-1
New Orleans 87-57
Atlanta 82-62
Dallas 78-66
Philadelphia 78-66
Carolina 73-70-1
Minnesota 71-71-2
Arizona 70-73-1
Detroit 69-75
Chicago 68-76
San Francisco 67-76-1
New York Giants 66-78
St. Louis/L.A. Rams 64-79-1
Washington 59-84-1
Tampa Bay 52-92

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

Today’s Sportstat: May 27, 2019

Six stats you may not know about Bart Starr the draft choice

NFL and Green Bay Packers icon/legend Bart Starr passed away on May 26 at the age of 85.

Starr’s passing has brought about a slew of articles, Facebook postings and remembrances from across the country. He was universally loved and admired. It seems that everyone has a Bart Starr story; mine goes back more than 50 years when as a youngster I heard him speak at a local high school. His message was one that extoled the virtues of putting God first in your life followed by family, friends and then self. Like many others in the audience that day, I shook his hand after the event and got an autograph. He was the first “celebrity” I ever met. He never disappointed me… even when he took over as head coach of the Packers and they were, shall we say, “less than successful.”

But I want to deal with one aspect of Starr’s career; he was an eighth round selection, the 200th pick of the Packers in the 1956 NFL Draft. Players picked that low don’t usually have NFL careers let alone become a star and a Hall of Famer. Here are a few stats you may not know about Bart Starr the draft pick and how that translated to his illustrious career.

  • There have been a handful of NFL players who made the Pro Football Hall of Fame that were not drafted. In addition, there have been eight of the 279 Hall of Famers, like Starr, who were drafted lower than 200th in the draft. They are: Bart Starr (#200), Richard Dent (#203), Art Donovan (#204), Ken Houston (#214), Andy Robustelli (#228), Raymond Berry (#232), Lou Creekmur (#243) Chris Hanburger (#245) and Rosey Brown (#321). Starr is the lowest QB drafted to make the Hall; when Tom Brady is elected five years after his retirement, he will take a spot behind Starr… he was the #199 player drafted in the 2000 draft.
  • There were 360 players drafted in the ’56 draft. Of those 360, only four went on to eventually make the Pro Football Hall of Fame: Lenny Moore (the #9 pick that year), Forrest Gregg (the 20th pick that year), Sam Huff (the 30th pick that year), and Starr (the 200th selection).
  • Of the players taken in the ’56 draft, Starr is second on the list with most NFL games played with 196. The only player taken in the 1956 NFL Draft with more career NFL games is fellow QB Earl Morrall who was the second pick in the first round of that draft. He p;layed 255 career games in the league.
  • There were 19 quarterbacks selected in that 1956 draft. Starr was the ninth QB selected.
  • The Packers chose 29 players in that draft. As the 200th pick, Starr was the 16th player drafted by the Pack that year. Of those 29 picks by the Packers, only seven went on to have careers in the NFL and only four played 100 or more games in the league: Starr (196), tackle Forrest Gregg (193), tackle Bob Skoronski (146) and defensive back Hank Gremminger (131). The Pack’s #1 pick that year was halfback Jack Losch from Miami whose NFL career included only the 12 games he played with Green Bay in the 1956 NFL season.
  • Starr was one of six University of Alabama players chosen in the ’56 draft. Of the six, Starr was the only one ever to play a game in the NFL.

 

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp