Tag Archives: NFL

Today’s Sportstat: September 26, 2019

All four NFC North teams above .500 after three games

If you haven’t done so already, take a look at the standings in the NFL after Week #3. The thing that might pop out at you immediately is that all four teams in the NFC North, Chicago, Detroit, Green Bay and Minnesota, are all above .500 after three games, the only division with all four teams above .500 after Week #3.

The Packers top the division with a 3-0 record; the Lions are undefeated, but have a tie game on their 2-0-1 record, and the Bears and Vikings are “bringing” up the rear with very respectable 2-1 records.

Yes, we are only three weeks into the season, I know. But it got me thinking about whether or not there has been a season where all four teams in a division ended the year with records above .500.

Back in 2002, the NFL went to the current set-up with four four-team divisions in each conference. Since that year, there has not been any division where all four teams were above .500 at the conclusion of the season. There has been, however, six times when all four teams ended the season at .500 or better. The last time it happened was in 2008 when both the NFC East and the NFC South had all four of the teams in their division end the year with an 8-8 record or better.

(Ironically, the six times it happened were in three years; in 2002, 2007 and 2008 there were two divisions each season that had all four teams at .500 or better.)

Here is a look at the six times all four teams in a division ended the season at .500 or better.

2002 AFC West (Oakland 11-5, Denver 9-7, San Diego 8-8, Kansas City 8-8)

2002 AFC East (New York Jets 9-7, New England 9-7, Miami 9-7, Buffalo 8-8)

2007 NFC East (Dallas 13-3, New York Giants 10-6, Washington 9-7, Philadelphia 8-8)

2007 AFC South (Indianapolis 13-3, Jacksonville 11-5, Tennessee 10-6, Houston 8-8)

2008 NFC South (Carolina 12-4, Atlanta 11-5, Tampa Bay 9-7, New Orleans 8-8)

2008 NFC East (New York Giants 12-4, Philadelphia 9-6-1, Dallas, 9-7, Washington 8-8)

Will the NFC North join this list? Or, could the NFC North become the first division in league history to have each team above .500 at the end of the year?

We’ve got 13 more games (14 weeks with a bye for each team) to see.

 

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

Today’s Sportstat: August 15, 2019

Highest Passer Rating for QBs at each age

If you follow the NFL, you know that the play of the quarterback is an important part of success in the league. Not only do we have young QB’s who are quickly becoming stars in the NFL (Patrick Mahomes and Jared Goff), but we are also seeing QB’s well into their 30’s and 40’s who are performing at a high level.

To put some numbers to this, let’s look at which QBs have had the most success at each age. Specifically, let’s see which QBs have the highest Passer Rating at age 21 all the way up to age 41.

Just last season Los Angeles Rams QB Jared Goff, who turned 24 during the 2018 campaign, ended his age 23 games with a Passer Rating of 109.3, highest of any QB in NFL history at that age. But he wasn’t the only player to set a record last year for the highest Passer Rating at a particular age:

  • Los Angeles Chargers QB ended his age 36 NFL games with a 110.2 Passer Rating.
  • New Orleans Saints QB Drew Brees, who was age 39 during the 2018 season, had a 115.7 Passer Rating, highest of any QB at age 39.
  • New England Patriots ageless signal-caller, Tom Brady, was age 41 during last season when he compiled a 97.7 Passer Rating, the highest of any QB at age 41.

Following are the quarterbacks who have had the highest Passer Ratings in games at ages 21-41 (minimum of 200 passes attempted to qualify for the list).

Age 21: Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay, 84.2, 2015

Age 22: Robert Griffin Jr., Washington, 102.4, 2012

Age 23: Jared Goff, L.A. Rams, 109.3, 2017-18

Age 24: Nick Foles, Philadelphia, 119.2, 2013

Age 25: Milt Plum, Cleveland, 110.4, 1960

Age 26: Brett Favre, Green Bay, 110.5, 1995-96

Age 27: Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay, 124.7, 2010-11

Age 28: Peyton Manning, Indianapolis, 121.1, 2004

Age 29: Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay, 110.1, 2012-13

Age 30: Tom Brady, New England, 117.2, 2007

Age 31: Matt Ryan, Atlanta, 117.1, 2016

Age 32: Drew Brees, New Orleans, 110.6, 2011

Age 33: Steve Young, San Francisco, 107.0, 1996-97

Age 34: Tony Romo, Dallas, 113.2, 2014

Age 35: Steve Young, San Francisco, 107.0, 1996-97

Age 36: Philip Rivers, L.A. Chargers, 110.2, 2017-18

Age 37: Peyton Manning, Denver, 115.1, 2013

Age 38: Drew Brees, New Orleans, 103.9, 2017

Age 39: Drew Brees, New Orleans, 115.7, 2018

Age 40: Tom Brady, New England, 102.8, 2017

Age 41: Tom Brady, New England, 97.7, 2018

One final note: Jared Goff, who set the record for highest Passer Rating for a QB age 23 last season, could drop down to second place at that age if Patrick Mahomes has anything to say about it. Mahomes who is 23 and won’t turn 24 until September 17, will have two games to play before his 24th birthday. He has a 108.6 Passer Rating at age 23, which is percentage points behind Goff who had a Passer Rating of 109.3 at age 23.

 

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

 

 

Today’s Sportstat: August 8, 2019

NFL 2018: Did preseason success predict regular season success last season?

I think most NFL experts would agree that the NFL preseason is mostly about teams finding out which players will ultimately fill out their 53-man rosters. While teams would say they “want” to win, winning a preseason contest seems to be less of a focus than playing a lot of players and evaluating talent.

That having been said, they do keep score and there are still winners and losers in these preseason games. So we must ask the question: Does having success via a win-loss record in the preseason predict regular season success?

To answer this question (at least for the time being) let’s look at the 2018 NFL season to see how the preseason records compared with the regular season records. Here are a few bullet points:

  • Of the 12 playoff teams in 2018, nine won at least two preseason games. In fact, each of the six AFC playoff teams won at least two preseason games.
  • The Baltimore Ravens were the only team to go undefeated in the preseason last season. They made the playoffs with a 10-6 record.
  • There were four teams that did not win a preseason game in 2018: Dallas, Atlanta, Tennessee and Seattle. The Cowboys and Seahawks, however, did make the 2018 playoffs.
  • The 13 teams that won three or more preseason games in 2018 won an average of eight regular season games.
  • The nine teams that won two preseason games in 2018 won an average of 8.6 games in the 2018 regular season.
  • The six teams that won only one preseason game in 2018 won an average of 6.2 games in the ’18 regular season.
  • The four teams that did not win a preseason game in 2018 won an average of nine regular season games last year.
  • The 12 2018 playoff teams won an average of 2.2 preseason games last season.
  • The 20 teams that did not make the 2018 playoffs won an average of 1.95 preseason games last season.

Not very conclusive evidence either way, is there? It is interesting to note that five of the 12 playoff teams last season won three or more preseason games: Baltimore, Houston, Indianapolis, New England and New Orleans.

But I’m not ready to claim there is a clear link between preseason success and regular season success in the NFL. As I stated earlier, the focus on the preseason contests seems to be less about winning and more about getting reps for younger players and evaluating talent. Winning these preseason games seems to be secondary.

 

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

Todays Sportstat: July 29, 2019

Last playoff game win for each of the 32 NFL teams

NFL training camps have begun and that means the 2019 NFL season has unofficially started.

Each team has a 0-0 record and a number of the teams have Super Bowl aspirations. All teams are focused on a successful camp and getting off to a good start when the regular season begins. After that, a playoff spot is certainly a goal of every team. Once that playoff spot is secured, winning a post-season game is the next step.

Winning a playoff game, however, is not always an easy task. In fact, there are four NFL franchises that have not won a playoff game this century. The four: Cincinnati, Detroit, Cleveland and Buffalo. If we add Miami, Oakland, Tampa Bay and Washington, these are the eight NFL teams that have not won a playoff game in more than 10 years!

The Bengals have played in eight post-season games since their last playoff victory in 1990; they are 0-8 in those playoff contests. The Lions are almost as bad… they are 0-9 in playoff games since their last post-season win in the 1991 season. The Browns are 0-2 since their last playoff win in 1994 and the Bills are 0-5 in playoff games since their last post-season win in 1995.

Here is a look at the last season each of the 32 NFL franchises won a playoff game. (Current franchise city is listed.)

1990: Cincinnati

1991: Detroit

1994: Cleveland

1995: Buffalo

2000: Miami

2002: Oakland, Tampa Bay

2005: Washington

2010: Chicago, N.Y. Jets

2011: N.Y. Giants

2013: San Francisco

2014: Baltimore

2015: Arizona, Carolina, Denver

2016: Green Bay, Houston, Pittsburgh, Seattle

2017: Atlanta, Jacksonville, Minnesota, Tennessee

2018: Dallas, Indianapolis, Kansas City, L.A. Chargers, L.A. Rams, New Orleans, New England, Philadelphia

 

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

 

 

Today’s Sportstat: July 4, 2019

Who will be the best NFC team in the 2010s?

With 113 wins since 2010, the New England Patriots could go 0-16 this season and still end up with the most wins of any NFL team in the 2010s. The Pittsburgh Steelers are currently second on the list for most wins since 2010 with 94, so passing the Pats this season will not happen… the Patriots will be the NFL’s winningest team (and the winningest team in the AFC) of the 2010s when the 2019 NFL season concludes.

Over in the NFC, however, there are three teams (maybe four) that could still claim the best record in the conference for this decade. The Green Bay Packers are 89-53-2 (.625 winning percentage) this decade to hold first place with the Seattle Seahawks just percentage points behind at .622 and a record of 89-54-1. The New Orleans Saints are just a few games behind in third place for NFC teams with an 87-57 record (.604).

Who will be the worst NFL team of the 2010s? It looks like the Cleveland Browns have that title wrapped up barring a total collapse of the Jacksonville Jags and a great season for the Browns. The Jags have an 8 ½-game lead over Cleveland for the 31st spot on the list.

Here are the records of each NFL team this decade (2010-18).

AFC
New England 113-31
Pittsburgh 94-49-1
Kansas City 84-60
Baltimore 84-60
Denver 82-62
Cincinnati 75-67-2
Indianapolis 75-69
Houston 72-72
San Diego/L.A. Chargers 72-72
Miami 65-79
Buffalo 61-83
New York Jets 61-83
Tennessee 60-84
Oakland 56-88
Jacksonville 45-99
Cleveland 36-107-1

NFC
Green Bay 89-53-2
Seattle 89-54-1
New Orleans 87-57
Atlanta 82-62
Dallas 78-66
Philadelphia 78-66
Carolina 73-70-1
Minnesota 71-71-2
Arizona 70-73-1
Detroit 69-75
Chicago 68-76
San Francisco 67-76-1
New York Giants 66-78
St. Louis/L.A. Rams 64-79-1
Washington 59-84-1
Tampa Bay 52-92

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp