Tag Archives: Passer rating

Peyton vs. Eli: A statistical comparison of the Mannings

Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ is a sports statistics blog published with a focus on stats that go beyond the numbers.

Eli Manning during a 2007 training camp

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

About a year ago I posted a blog that looked at the stats of Peyton Manning and how those numbers compared to his little brother, Eli. That blog has been, by far, the most read of the blogs I have posted in the almost two years that I have been blogging. I guess people have a significant interest in all things Manning.

The crux of that blog was that while Peyton had four MVP Awards (will he pick up a fifth for this season’s work?), many records and regular season stats that put him in an elite group of quarterbacks, Eli has had a fairly nondescript regular season career. But Eli’s post-season numbers are not only better than his regular season stats, but in some cases, his playoff stats exceed Peyton’s. (Notice below how Peyton’s numbers drop in the playoffs while Eli’s rise from the regular season to the playoffs.)

Because of that blog and the fact that we have now have another season to add to these stats, I have updated these numbers to include the 2012 regular season (and the Broncos loss in the ’12 playoffs).

With Denver’s “one-and-out,” in this year’s playoffs, the case of Peyton’s regular season numbers versus his post-season numbers is again a topic for discussion. I think you’ll see the clear difference in how Peyton’s numbers take a dip when it’s playoff time, while Eli’s stats go up in the post-season. Peyton may receive his fifth league MVP for the  just-completed season, but Eli has post-season bragging rights with a pair of Super Bowl wins and two Super Bowl MVP trophies to go with those title game wins.

Here’s a quick look at some select stats for both Peyton and Eli in regular season and postseason games. (Regular season stats listed first then playoff stats.)

Wins/losses as starter             
Peyton: 154-70 (.688)/9-11 (.450)
Eli: 78-57 (.578)/8-3 (.727)

Completion pct.
Peyton: 65.2%/63.2%
Eli: 58.6%/61.5%

QB Rating        
Peyton: 95.7/88.4
Eli: 82.7/89.3

TD/Interception Ratio             
Peyton: 436-209 (2.09)/32-21 (1.52)
Eli: 211-144 (1.47)/17-8 (2.11)

TDs per game                
Peyton: 436-224 (1.95)/32-20 (1.6)
Eli: 211-137 (1.54)/17-11 (1.5)

Yards per pass attempt           
Peyton: 7.6/7.46
Eli: 7.1/7.07

Did you know? Eli is 5-1 in road playoff games; Peyton is 2-5.

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

QB success a key to NFL playoff victories

Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ is a sports statistics blog published with a focus on stats that go beyond the numbers.

Joe Montana on the set of an ESPN broadcast.

Joe Montana (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

You don’t have to be a football expert to know that having a quarterback at the top of his game can go a long ways to leading a team to a successful season. In fact, many teams in the past have seen their QB single-handedly lead their team to a title.

Case in point: One of the indicators of QB success has been the Passer Rating. The value of this formula has been enthusiastically debated, but for the sake of this blog, let’s assume that Passer Rating is a valuable tool to evaluating NFL quarterbacks. Since 1966, the start of the Super Bowl era, there have been 219 quarterbacks who have had a Passer Rating of 100.0 or higher in a playoff game. Of those 219 games, the QB’s team has won 192 of those games, a winning percentage of .877. You can certainly make the point that a good QB performance (100.0 or better) in a playoff game will lead to victory and advancement in the post-season.

Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers last weekend became the 15th QB since 1966 to have five or more playoff games with a 100.0 or higher Passer Rating. Rodgers’ Passer Rating was 104.9 in the Pack’s win over the Minnesota Vikings. Baltimore’s Joe Flacco was the only other QB last weekend to have a 100-plus Passer Rating as he had a 125.6 Passer Rating in their win over the Colts.

Here’s a look at the 15 QB’s since 1966 that have had five or more playoff games with a Passer Rating of 100 or higher.

Playoff games with 100-plus Passer Rating (since 1966), QBs
12: Joe Montana
10: Brett Favre
9: Troy Aikman
7: Tom Brady, Terry Bradshaw
6: Roger Staubach
5: Drew Brees, Jake Delhomme, John Elway, Eli Manning, Peyton Manning, Dan Marino, Aaron Rodgers, Ken Stabler, Steve Young

Here’s a few more stats regarding Passer Rating in the playoffs:

* Since 2000, there have been 77 playoff games where a QB had a Passer Rating of 100.0 or higher. Those teams have won 65 of the 77 games, a winning percentage of .844.

* Only two quarterbacks since 1966 have had a Passer Rating of 100 or higher and lost two playoff games: Joe Montana and Warren Moon.

Let’s look at the other end of the scale… QBs who had terrible games, a Passer Rating under 50 in a playoff game. Since 1966, there have been 190 playoff games where the QB had a Passer Rating under 50 in that game. Those teams have won only 24 of the 190 games, a winning percentage of only .126.

The last quarterback to win a playoff game with a Passer Rating under 50 was Ben Roethlisberger. On January 23, 2011 in the Steelers 24-19 win over the New York Jets, Roethlisberger had a Passer Rating of 35.5.

Five quarterbacks have had four or more playoff games with a Passer Rating under 50. Craig Morton tops the list with five such games. Mark Brunell, Pat Haden, Ron Jaworski and Jim Kelly each had four.

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

Peyton vs. Eli: A quick stats comparison

Eli Manning during a 2007 training camp
Eli Manning… Image via Wikipedia

Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ is a biweekly blog published every Wednesday and Sunday with a bonus “SIX STATS…” posting every Friday.

Sports radio has been buzzing over the last 24 hours with discussion about the Mannings. Part of the debate is whether or not Eli has surpassed Peyton as the better quarterback. I’m not going to offer my opinion on that discussion, but if you look at the stats below you will see a very distinct slant in their careers. While Peyton has four MVP Awards, many records and regular season stats that put him in an elite group, Eli has had a fairly non-descript regular season career, but his post-season numbers are not only better than his regular season stats, but in some cases, his playoff stats exceed Peyton’s. (Notice how Peyton’s numbers drop in the playoffs while Eli’s rise from the regular season to the playoffs)

Here’s a quick look at some select stats for both Peyton and Eli in regular season and postseason games.

******                                                PEYTON                                             ELI

Stat category                  Regular Season/Playoffs        Regular Season/Playoffs

Wins/losses as starter         141-67 (.678)/9-10 (.474)                69-50 (.580)/7-3 (.700)

Completion pct.                             64.9%/63.1%                                     58.4%/59.8%

QB Rating                                          94.9/88.4                                           82.1/87.5

TD/Interception Ratio      399-198 (2.02)/29-19 (1.53)         185-129 (1.43)/16-8 (2.00)

TDs per game                      399-208 (1.92)/29-19 (1.53)         185-120 (1.54)/16-10 (1.6)

Yards per pass attempt                     7.6/7.51                                            7.03/7.03

 

Did you know? Eli is 5-1 in road playoff games; Peyton is 2-5.

 

NFL QBs: Success with a 100.0+ Passer Rating

Jay Cutler of the Chicago Bears warming up bef...

Jay Cutler... Image via Wikipedia

Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ is a biweekly blog published every Wednesday and Sunday

Now that the NFL has officially kicked off the 2011 season with the first week of pre-season games, let’s look at a few numbers of interest.

It goes without saying that a quarterback who has a good game will have a positive affect on his team’s success. One of the ways to gauge a QB’s success in a game is the Passer Rating. If we establish a rating of 100 or better as a QB who has had a real good game, how well have some of the teams of the game’s best signal-callers (past and present) done in these games? First, let’s look at some of today’s quarterbacks. (Minimum of 15 regular season games with a Passer Rating of 100 or more)

Active Quarterback                                  W-L           Pct.

Jay Cutler                                                           21-0          1.000

Matt Ryan                                                          16-0          1.000

Tom Brady                                                         60-3           .952

Donovan McNabb                                            43-4           .915

Ben Roethlisberger                                          38-4           .905

Joe Flacco                                                           17-2           .895

Peyton Manning                                                73-9          .890

Drew Brees                                                        44-9           .830

Tony Romo                                                        28-6           .824

David Garrard                                                   22-6           .786

Matt Hasselbeck                                               29-8           .784

Aaron Rodgers                                                  20-7           .741

Matt Schaub                                                       17-7           .708

Michael Vick                                                      17-7            .708

Matt Cassel                                                        12-5            .706

Eli Manning                                                       19-8           .704

Jason Campbell                                                11-5            .688

WE INTERRUPT THIS BLOG FOR A TRIVIA QUESTION: What is considered a “perfect passer rating?” 150, 158.3, 140, or 145.5? Answer at end of blog.

How do these active QBs above compare to some of the NFL’s best? Here’s how some of the retired QB’s fared in regular season games when they had a 100 or higher Passer Rating in a game (the list includes those QBs who passed for 250 or more TDs in their career)

Retired Quarterbacks                               W-L          Pct.

Johnny Unitas                                                    37-0          1.000

Drew Bledsoe                                                      38-2           .950

Brett Favre                                                          99-9            .917

Joe Montana                                                       64-6           .914

Warren Moon                                                     40-4           .909

John Elway                                                         54-10          .844

Dan Fouts                                                            35-7            .833

Fran Tarkenton                                                  62-15          .805

Dave Krieg                                                          46-12          .793

Dan Marino                                                        53-14           .791

Sonny Jurgensen                                               31-13-3       .691

Vinny Testaverde                                              32-17           .653

TRIVIA ANSWER: A perfect passer rating is considered to be 158.3.

Did you know? Only three quarterbacks have passed for three or more “perfect games” in their career… Peyton Manning (4), Ben Roethlisberger (3) and Kurt Warner (3)