Tag Archives: Super Bowl

Today’s Sports Stat: February 1, 2018


In each of the past three Super Bowls, rookies have scored points in the game. Might that be the case this season?

In Super Bowl history, there have been 30 rookies who have scored points in a game. Nine of the 30 players were kickers.

Chicago Bears placekicker Kevin Butler holds the Super Bowl record for most points scored by a rookie in a Super Bowl. He tallied 14 points for the Bears in the 1986 game (Super Bowl XX).

Here are the most points scored by a rookie in a Super Bowl.

14: Kevin Butler, Chicago, 1986
12: Timmy Smith, Washington, 1988
10: Lin Elliott, Dallas, 1993
10: Justin Tucker, Baltimore, 2013
7: Matt Bahr, Pittsburgh, 1980
7: Doug Brien, San Francisco, 1995

In two Super Bowls, multiple rookies scored points for a team. In that ‘86 Super Bowl, the Bears had three rookie players score: Butler, Reggie Phillips and William “The Refrigerator” Perry. In the 1995 Super Bowl, a pair of 49ers rookies scored: William Floyd and Doug Brien.

This year’s Super Bowl teams, the Eagles and Patriots, had very different results from their rookies in the 2017 season. The Eagles’ rookies led by placekicker Jake Elliott, tallied 167 points, 117 by Elliott, 38 by running back Corey Clement, and six points each from Derek Barnett and Mack Hollins. New England, on the other hand, had only two points all season scored by a rookie… a safety by Eric Lee.

For the record, teams that have one or more rookies score points in a Super Bowl game are only 12-15 (.444 winning percentage).

 

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Today’s Sports Stat: January 31, 2018


How important is the play of the quarterback in the Super Bowl? Consider this amazing stat:

Twenty-nine of the QBs whose team won the Super Bowl had a Passer Rating above 100.0 in the game. Only five QBs whose team lost the Super Bowl had a Passer Rating above 100.0 in that Super Bowl contest.

There have been only three Super Bowls where both QBs ended the game with a Passer Rating above 100.0 (year listed is the year the game was played):

1979: Pittsburgh over Dallas (Terry Bradshaw 119.2/Roger Staubach 100.4)

2004: New England over Carolina (Tom Brady 100.5/Jake Delhomme 113.6)

2015: New England over Seattle (Tom Brady 101.1/Russell Wilson 110.6)

In last year’s Super Bowl, we saw Matt Ryan finish the game with a 144.1 Passer Rating, the highest Passer Rating for a QB whose team lost the Super Bowl. (For the record, New England’s Tom Brady had a 95.2 Passer Rating in the contest.)

Here are the 10 QB who had the highest Passer Rating in a Super Bowl that their team lost.

Matt Ryan, 2017, Atlanta… 144.1
Jake Delhomme, 2004, Carolina… 113.6
Kurt Warner, 2009, Arizona… 112.3
Russell Wilson, 2015, Seattle… 110.6
Roger Staubach, 1979, Dallas… 100.4
Ken Anderson, 1982, Cincinnati… 95.2
Colin Kapernick, 2013, San Francisco… 91.7
Tom Brady, 2012, New England… 91.1
Brett Favre, 1998, Green Bay… 91.0
Peyton Manning, 2010, Indianapolis… 88.5

In case you were wondering, the worst Passer Rating for a QB whose team lost the Super Bowl was Craig Morton for Denver in 1978; his Passer Rating in that game was 0.0.
 

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Today’s Sports Stat: January 29, 2018


For the fourth time in the last five years, the Super Bowl will feature the two teams that were their respective conference’s number one seeds, the New England Patriots and Philadelphia Eagles.

Last season, the AFC’s #1 seeded Patriots squared off against the NFC’s #2 seeded Atlanta Falcons.

The last time the Super Bowl featured no #1 seeded teams was after the 2012 season when #4 seeded Baltimore Ravens faced the #2 seeded San Francisco 49ers. In fact, since 1975 when the NFL went to a seeded format for the post-season, there has only been seven times when no #1 seed played in the Super Bowl. Here are those seasons:

1979: L.A. Rams versus Pittsburgh
1980: Philadelphia versus Oakland
1992: Dallas versus Buffalo
1997: Green Bay versus Denver
2008: Arizona versus Pittsburgh
2010: Green Bay versus Pittsburgh
2012: San Francisco versus Baltimore

If you were wondering why it’s so important to get that #1 conference seed for the playoffs, consider this:

  • Of the 86 teams that have played in the Super Bowl since 1975 (when the seeded format was instituted), 49 were #1 seeds (57%); 20 were #2 seeds (23.3%); 4 were #3 seeds; nine were #4 seeds; two were #5 seeds; and 2 were #6 seeds.
  • Of the 42 Super Bowl winners since 1975, 24 (57%) were #1 seeds. The #2 seed has won eight times; the #3 seed has won twice; the #4 seed has five Super Bowl titles; the #5 seed has won once; and the #6 seed has won twice.

 

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Super Bowl leads after the 1st, 2nd and 3rd quarters

sb51

Okay… let’s say you are watching the Super Bowl on Sunday and the Patriots score a pair of touchdowns in the first quarter and take a 14-3 lead going into the second quarter. With an 11-point lead after the first quarter, are the Pats assured of a victory? How well have Super Bowls teams done with a lead of 10 points or more in the first quarter?

Or… let’s say New England has the lead at halftime after scoring 17 or more points in the first half. Are they on their way to a victory?

Or… finally, the Falcons surprisingly go scoreless in the first half (something that would definitely be a big deal, especially considering their high-powered offense). How many Super Bowl teams have gone on to win the big game after going scoreless in the first half?

Well… I have some answers for you. Let’s start with the lead margin after each of the three quarters. Teams with a 10-point or bigger lead after the first quarter have gone on to win eight of 10 Super Bowls (a .800 winning percentage). Even just having the lead after the first quarter is a good omen; teams with the lead after the first quarter in the Super Bowl are 27-11 (.711 winning percentage).

The chart below breaks down the leads after each of the three quarters in the previous 50 Super Bowls. There are five categories: leads of one point or more, leads of three points or more, leads of seven points of more, and those of 10 or more and 14 points or more.

SUPER BOWL LEADS 1 point or more 3 points or more 7 points or more 10 points or more 14 points or more
Lead after the 1st quarter 27-11 .711 27-11 .711 17-4 .810 8-2 .800 3-0 1.000
Lead at halftime 37-10 .787 35-7 .833 29-3 .906 24-0 1.000 15-0 1.000
Lead after the 3rd quarter 40-9 .816 40-6 .870 33-3 .917 29-1 .967 21-0 1.000

Let’s answer the other two questions from the beginning of this column. Super Bowl teams that have scored 17 or more points in the first half are 19-1. The only loss was in 1982 when the Miami Dolphins had a 17-10 lead at halftime over Washington and lost that contest 27-17.

Super Bowl teams that have held their opponents scoreless in the first half have gone 12-0. If a Super Bowl team has held their opponents to three points or less in the first half of the big game, those teams are 21-3.

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp

Good news/bad news for the Denver Broncos

Peyton

Okay Broncos fans… do you want the good news first or the bad news?

Let’s assume you want the good news first: The 2015 Denver Broncos became the first team in 38 years to win a Super Bowl after losing the Super Bowl either the previous year or two years back. The Broncos lost Super Bowl #48 to the Seattle Seahawks in 2014 but won the title two years later.

Here’s a look at the five teams in Super Bowl history to win a Super Bowl within two years of losing the title contest.

Baltimore Colts: Lost Super Bowl #3… won Super Bowl #5
Dallas Cowboys: Lost Super Bowl #5… won Super Bowl #6
Miami Dolphins: Lost Super Bowl #6… won Super Bowl #7
Dallas Cowboys: Lost Super Bowl #10… won Super Bowl #12
Denver Broncos: Lost Super Bowl #48… won Super Bowl #50

That’s the good news; now for the not-so-good news. Can the Broncos return to the Super Bowl next year to defend their title? Past history indicates there is about a one in five chance they will be back in the Super Bowl in 2017 representing the AFC.

Of the previous 49 Super Bowl champs, only 11 of them returned to the Super Bowl the following year. Following is a list of those teams.

Green Bay Packers: won Super Bowl #1… won Super Bowl #2
Miami Dolphins: Won Super Bowl #7… won Super Bowl #8
Pittsburgh Steelers: Won Super Bowl #9… won Super Bowl #10
Dallas Cowboys: Won Super Bowl #12… lost Super Bowl #13
Washington Redskins: Won Super Bowl #17… lost Super Bowl #18
San Francisco 49ers: Won Super Bowl #23… won Super Bowl #24
Dallas Cowboys: Won Super Bowl #27… won Super Bowl #28
Green Bay Packers: Won Super Bowl #31… lost Super Bowl #32
Denver Broncos: Won Super Bowl #32… won Super Bowl #33
New England Patriots: Won Super Bowl #38… won Super Bowl #39
Seattle Seahawks: Won Super Bowl #48… lost Super Bowl #49

Follow Jerry on Twitter @StatsonTapp