99 Stats Until Kickoff (#56) How many wins will get an NFL team in the playoffs?
From May 30 and every day until September 5… the start of the 2013 NFL season… Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ will publish “99 Stats Until Kickoff” a daily dose of NFL stats that will get you ready for the 2013 NFL season.)
(Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Since 1990, when the NFL went to six teams from each conference making the playoffs, there have been 276 teams that have played in the NFL playoffs. Here’s a breakdown of the number of regular season wins by each of those teams.
7 wins: 1 team… Seattle in 2010 (0.4 percent)
8 wins: 9 teams (3.3 percent)
9 wins: 42 teams (15.2 percent)
10 wins: 70 teams (25.4 percent)
11 wins: 58 wins (21.0 percent)
12 wins: 44 teams (15.9 percent)
13 wins: 35 teams (12.7 percent)
14 wins: 13 teams (4.7 percent)
15 wins: 3 teams… Minnesota in 1998; Pittsburgh in 2004; Green Bay in 2011 (1.1 percent)
16 wins: 1 team… New England in 2007 (0.4 percent)
Here’s a breakdown of how many teams with 8 or more wins in the regular season since 1990 made the playoffs.
8 wins: 86 teams won 8 games; 9 made the playoffs; 77 did not… 10.5%
9 wins: 81 teams won 9 games; 42 made the playoffs; 39 did not… 51.9%
10 wins: 78 teams won 10 games; 70 made the playoffs; 8 did not… 89.7%
11 wins: 59 teams won 11 games; 58 made the playoffs; 1 did not… 98.3%
12 wins: 44 teams won 12 games; 44 teams made the playoffs… 100%
13 wins: 35 teams won 13 games; 35 teams made the playoffs… 100%
14 wins: 13 teams won 14 games; 13 teams made the playoffs… 100%
15 wins: 3 teams won 15 games; 3 teams made the playoffs… 100%
16 wins: 1 team won 16 games; 1 team made the playoffs… 100%
Here’s a few more interesting stats:
* 96.1% of the teams that won 10 or more games since 1990 made the playoffs.
* New England is the only team since 1990 to win 11 games in the regular season and not make the playoffs.
You want a sure thing? It looks like 12 wins is that sure thing. Teams have a great chance with 10 or 11 wins. Nine wins? Teams have about a 50-50 chance.
“99 Stats Before Kickoff” (Stats you need to know before the start of the 2013 NFL season) is available from e-book publisher Smashwords. Go to www.smashwords.com to download a copy, including a pdf version which can be viewed on your home computer. Cost is $2.99
99 Stats Until Kickoff (#44) How many points did it take to win a regular-season game in 2012?
From May 30 and every day until September 5… the start of the 2013 NFL season… Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ will publish “99 Stats Until Kickoff” a daily dose of NFL stats that will get you ready for the 2013 NFL season.)
How many points does an NFL team need to score to win on a consistent basis? Looking at the 256 regular season games from last season, here’s a breakdown of win-loss records when teams scored in a certain range of points in a game.
Points, Record when teams scored that range of points
0-9 points: 3-44 .064
10-19 points: 32-115 .218
20-29 points: 106-78-2 .575
30-39 points: 84-17 .832
40-49 points: 22-1 .957
50 points or more: 8-0 1.000
Here are a few additional stats:
* The most frequent scores were 13 points (teams scored 13 points in 37 games) and 24 points (teams scored 24 points in 37 games) Next was 23 points, which was scored by 34 teams last year.
* Teams that scored 25 or more points in a game were 161-35, an .821 winning percentage.
* Teams that scored under 25 points usually had a losing record, but teams had winning records in three point totals less than 25 points… teams were 7-6 when scoring 19 points; 20-14 when scoring 23 points; and 21-14-2 when scoring 24 points.
* Most points scored to lose a game last year was 41. Fewest points to win a game was seven.
* Teams were 35-194 (.180) when they scored under 20 points.
* Teams that scored 35 or more points in a game were 61-3 (.953).
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NCAA men’s Division 1 basketball tourney seed matchups for the first round
Image via Wikipedia
Sports Stats ‘on Tapp’ is a sports statistics blog published multiple times weekly that focuses on stats that go beyond the numbers.
The NCAA men’s Division I basketball tourney begins tomorrow with first round games on Thursday and Friday. Here’s a look at how the seed matchups have played out in the first round in the past 10 tournaments (2002-2011).
Seed matchups in the First Round, higher seed won-lost record
#1 vs. #16 40-0
#8 vs. #9 22-18
#5 vs. #12 24-16
#4 vs. #13 31-9
#6 vs. #11 25-15
#3 vs. #14 37-3
#7 vs. #10 25-15
#2 vs. #15 40-0
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